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0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495

ProbationPolymarket
0xc7d02944a76b9f83b199e9090ecc92c82d241f8a
Tracking since Nov 8, 2026 · bankroll $245.6K
Quality score
0
Newas of Nov 9, 2026
PnL 30d
+$5,698
PnL 90d
+$5,718
ROI 90d
+1%
on $869.7K deployed
Entry edge
50%
1215 resolved markets
Volume 90d
$3.7M
59255 trades
Breadth 90d
6662
distinct markets
Quality score — 90 days
Delayed 1h · as of 14:04
MarketOutcomeSizeAvg priceCurrentValuePnL
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No4.9K42¢98¢$4,808+$2,738
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?No3.3K75¢100¢$3,302+$813
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No3.8K71¢83¢$3,119+$467
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?No3.1K80¢100¢$3,067+$605
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026?No2.5K94¢99¢$2,503+$112
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes3K36¢79¢$2,422+$1,322
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?No3.1K51¢77¢$2,422+$828
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?No2.4K95¢97¢$2,321+$43
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?No2.5K72¢93¢$2,309+$530
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?No2.2K68¢96¢$2,150+$622
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No2.1K98¢98¢$2,096+$7
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No2K94¢96¢$1,933+$32
Trump out as President before 2027?No1.9K95¢98¢$1,899+$47
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?No1.9K88¢97¢$1,868+$171
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2.9K62¢62¢$1,820+$3
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes1.8K97¢98¢$1,795+$19
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes2K27¢89¢$1,737+$1,216
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes1.7K96¢99¢$1,697+$44
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No1.7K95¢98¢$1,640+$43
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No1.6K94¢98¢$1,607+$75
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No1.6K80¢96¢$1,558+$256
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?No1.8K78¢86¢$1,542+$135
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?Yes2.1K73¢73¢$1,528+$1
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?No1.5K93¢98¢$1,502+$83
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No1.6K74¢93¢$1,440+$288
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?No1.5K97¢98¢$1,437+$10
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?No1.7K66¢80¢$1,392+$259
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No1.5K81¢93¢$1,390+$176
Iran leadership change by November 30?No1.4K95¢98¢$1,380+$33
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No1.4K86¢98¢$1,372+$162
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes1.7K67¢81¢$1,358+$232
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes3.8K34¢35¢$1,343+$40
Trump impeached and removed before 2028?No1.6K75¢83¢$1,335+$122
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?No1.5K88¢87¢$1,299-$23
GTA 6 launch postponed again?No1.3K97¢98¢$1,294+$14
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?Yes1.6K33¢82¢$1,275+$757
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?No2K59¢61¢$1,200+$46
Will there be no GPT Astra 6.1+ release by November 30, 2026?No1.3K83¢95¢$1,200+$153
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?No1.5K82¢79¢$1,193-$47
Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?No1.2K94¢98¢$1,187+$50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No1.4K52¢83¢$1,186+$454
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes1.9K46¢63¢$1,185+$311
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No1.4K57¢84¢$1,158+$369
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?No1.4K26¢83¢$1,155+$791
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?No1.4K75¢80¢$1,139+$68
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%?Yes1.3K73¢84¢$1,115+$142
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?No1.3K76¢87¢$1,110+$135
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?No1.1K94¢96¢$1,105+$27
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?No1.1K90¢97¢$1,067+$76
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No1.2K69¢90¢$1,047+$240
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No1K98¢99¢$1,032+$14
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?No2.4K31¢43¢$1,028+$306
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?No1.1K94¢96¢$1,022+$20
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?Yes1.3K57¢81¢$1,016+$300
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?No1K93¢99¢$1,014+$65
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No1.1K76¢95¢$1,013+$200
Aryeh Deri out as Shas Leader by December 31?Yes5.2K12¢20¢$1,005+$384
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No1.1K41¢93¢$1,001+$562
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes1K76¢98¢$999+$218
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes2.6K39¢39¢$991-$18
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?No1.1K51¢92¢$984+$435
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?No1K95¢96¢$981+$11
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No1K39¢95¢$980+$573
Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026?No1K86¢96¢$973+$103
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No1K94¢95¢$970+$5
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?No1K95¢95¢$968-$2
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No995.893¢97¢$967+$41
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes1.2K49¢82¢$962+$389
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No999.997¢96¢$960-$7
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No977.193¢98¢$959+$47
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Yes1.8K29¢53¢$930+$417
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?No2K42¢47¢$919+$92
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes2.6K52¢35¢$918-$426
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Yes1K46¢89¢$916+$439
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes971.793¢94¢$913+$8
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No1.2K74¢77¢$899+$36
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No973.384¢92¢$895+$80
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?No913.397¢98¢$895+$8
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No1.4K77¢64¢$884-$188
GTA VI released by November 30?Yes880.795¢98¢$867+$31
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No90685¢96¢$865+$93
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No895.235¢96¢$863+$550
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Yes912.565¢94¢$862+$268
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No884.195¢97¢$859+$22
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?No92495¢92¢$852-$23
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?No1K74¢83¢$842+$87
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No886.985¢92¢$820+$67
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Yes1.2K72¢69¢$810-$35
US imports Russian diesel by November 15?No827.494¢97¢$805+$29
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes801.695¢100¢$800+$37
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026?No85151¢94¢$796+$363
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No944.982¢82¢$779+$0
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?No2K31¢38¢$777+$145
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No784.391¢99¢$775+$62
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes815.293¢95¢$771+$11
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes792.274¢97¢$770+$187
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes783.996¢98¢$770+$15
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2.3K33¢33¢$757-$7
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No768.397¢98¢$754+$11
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes1.1K55¢67¢$729+$134
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No1K44¢71¢$724+$278
No one announced as next James Bond?No771.481¢94¢$724+$99
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Yes2.5K23¢30¢$723+$157
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?No77885¢92¢$713+$51
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No891.150¢78¢$695+$247
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2.5K24¢27¢$693+$92
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?Yes745.492¢93¢$692+$7
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.5K38¢45¢$690+$111
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?No707.796¢97¢$685+$5
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes2.7K13¢26¢$682+$350
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes87242¢77¢$667+$301
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?No680.298¢98¢$664+$1
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?No776.484¢85¢$661+$8
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No67087¢97¢$651+$65
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes895.850¢72¢$649+$203
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes802.450¢79¢$637+$233
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?No645.367¢98¢$635+$204
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes1.6K67¢39¢$633-$433
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes643.394¢98¢$631+$29
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic738.270¢85¢$624+$106
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes3.5K10¢18¢$620+$250
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No656.588¢94¢$616+$36
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No1.4K32¢43¢$609+$155
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No628.797¢96¢$605-$3
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No634.480¢95¢$604+$96
Will Ivanka Popović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes2.2K6.7¢27¢$597+$451
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the United States by December 31, 2027?No592.187¢100¢$590+$74
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?No601.643¢98¢$590+$329
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No616.786¢95¢$586+$56
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?No600.423¢98¢$585+$446
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes1.7K43¢34¢$585-$172
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No714.879¢81¢$580+$15
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?No577.255¢99¢$569+$254
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?No609.577¢93¢$567+$98
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes2.2K67¢25¢$566-$924
Will Person N win the 2027 French presidential election?No553.397¢98¢$541+$6
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes3.9K16¢14¢$539-$72
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes1.8K9.3¢30¢$539+$373
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No99951¢52¢$519+$10
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No536.881¢96¢$517+$83
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?No542.293¢95¢$512+$8
Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?No69082¢73¢$506-$61
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?No56488¢90¢$505+$10
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes563.589¢89¢$502+$1
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes518.674¢97¢$502+$118
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Yes1.4K33¢34¢$499+$15
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?No56384¢89¢$498+$25
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?No55195¢90¢$498-$23
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?No617.882¢81¢$497-$10
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?No495.790¢100¢$494+$50
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?No51673¢94¢$487+$110
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?No1K44¢48¢$487+$38
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No538.454¢88¢$476+$184
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes491.393¢96¢$473+$16
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?No522.592¢89¢$466-$13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?No57645¢80¢$458+$199
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?No467.642¢98¢$457+$260
Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader?No496.689¢91¢$451+$8
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?No450.587¢100¢$448+$55
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?No478.645¢93¢$446+$229
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?No511.892¢87¢$445-$27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.8K13¢12¢$441-$52
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?Yes1.2K23¢37¢$440+$164
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Yes1.2K37¢36¢$424-$1
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Yes1.6K22¢27¢$421+$78
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No423.796¢98¢$417+$9
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes790.227¢52¢$415+$201
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?No424.496¢97¢$413+$3
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?No507.757¢81¢$411+$120
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?No408.295¢100¢$406+$18
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes1.6K4.6¢24¢$394+$318
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes1.4K27¢28¢$393+$12
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Yes1.4K33¢28¢$391-$72
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?Yes390.198¢99¢$388+$7
AI bubble burst in 2026?No415.588¢93¢$386+$19
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?No385.391¢100¢$385+$34
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2.4K11¢16¢$383+$133
Israeli Knesset election annulled?No390.997¢98¢$383+$4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4.6K8.7¢8.2¢$382-$22
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes3.8K12¢9.9¢$381-$79
Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?No437.370¢87¢$380+$75
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes3.3K13¢12¢$377-$49
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No37884¢99¢$376+$58
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No411.665¢90¢$372+$104
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes3K11¢12¢$369+$54
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No373.496¢98¢$366+$7
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?No363.492¢99¢$360+$25
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?No367.384¢96¢$351+$41
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?No352.592¢98¢$346+$21
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?No1.3K25¢27¢$342+$31
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes382.383¢89¢$341+$25
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes1.2K22¢29¢$338+$79
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes372.224¢90¢$335+$247
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?No34791¢96¢$334+$18
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes1K32¢33¢$334+$8
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes1.5K17¢22¢$328+$75
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Yes939.526¢35¢$326+$80
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes343.985¢94¢$324+$32
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?No335.296¢97¢$324+$2
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes525.430¢61¢$323+$166
Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?No495.561¢64¢$317+$15
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?No628.531¢50¢$314+$117
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?No2K41¢15¢$311-$517
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?No326.878¢95¢$309+$53
Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO?Yes1.1K34¢27¢$302-$79
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Yes2.3K15¢13¢$299-$55
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?No32493¢92¢$298-$1
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.5K20¢20¢$297-$8
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?Yes1.2K33¢25¢$295-$103
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes1.7K8.1¢17¢$295+$154
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes1.3K28¢24¢$294-$62
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No299.593¢98¢$293+$14
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Yes1.2K6.4¢25¢$292+$218
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?No490.389¢59¢$289-$149
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes2.3K41¢13¢$287-$665
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No29095¢99¢$286+$10
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No42379¢68¢$286-$47
US military draft authorized in 2026?No287.795¢98¢$283+$9
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes760.727¢37¢$281+$77
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No295.385¢95¢$279+$28
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?No280.173¢99¢$277+$72
Iran nuclear test before 2027?No275.895¢98¢$269+$8
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes28891¢93¢$268+$8
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 9?No266.496¢100¢$266+$9
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No1.3K25¢20¢$266-$71
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?No839.916¢31¢$265+$130
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?No267.632¢98¢$263+$177
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No27871¢94¢$261+$65
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.8K6.2¢9.3¢$258+$85
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?No333.960¢77¢$257+$57
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 15, 2026?No259.196¢99¢$256+$7
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?No25797¢100¢$256+$8
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?Yes25995¢99¢$256+$9
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?No29570¢87¢$255+$49
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes1.9K13¢13¢$254+$14
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No568.653¢45¢$253-$49
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Yes1.2K9.8¢21¢$249+$133
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?No334.575¢74¢$248-$2
Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?No26092¢94¢$244+$4
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes930.524¢26¢$240+$17
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026No243.994¢98¢$239+$10
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No261.692¢91¢$238-$3
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?No315.242¢75¢$236+$104
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1.6K3.0¢14¢$234+$186
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?Yes244.458¢95¢$233+$91
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes260.879¢89¢$232+$26
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes1.4K16¢16¢$230+$3
Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?No23393¢97¢$227+$9
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?No230.595¢98¢$226+$7
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?No23191¢97¢$224+$14
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes228.198¢98¢$223+$1
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes225.998¢98¢$222+$2
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.5K11¢15¢$220+$55
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?Yes1.2K22¢18¢$219-$47
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes391.456¢56¢$219$0
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes220.396¢97¢$214+$3
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes63819¢33¢$214+$93
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes749.432¢28¢$214-$26
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026?Yes1.5K13¢14¢$213+$15
Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026?Yes236.437¢88¢$209+$123
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.5K0.7¢13¢$209+$198
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?No278.544¢74¢$207+$84
Will The Batman: Part II be delayed?No32966¢63¢$207-$10
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?No205.694¢99¢$204+$10
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No226.753¢89¢$203+$84
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?No20860¢97¢$202+$77
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes1.3K29¢15¢$198-$192
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?No200.870¢98¢$197+$57
Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027?Yes24873¢80¢$197+$16
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?No217.386¢90¢$197+$10
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?Yes564.650¢35¢$196-$89
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Yes1.6K33¢12¢$195-$333
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No220.193¢89¢$195-$9
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?No204.279¢96¢$195+$34
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No2.4K34¢8.0¢$195-$622
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 12, 2026?Yes607.925¢32¢$194+$43
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes214.472¢90¢$194+$40
Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?No198.993¢97¢$193+$8
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No199.694¢96¢$192+$4
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?Yes1.7K15¢11¢$192-$72
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?Yes30511¢63¢$191+$158
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026?Yes47420¢40¢$190+$94
Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?No206.586¢92¢$189+$12
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?Yes35638¢53¢$187+$51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Yes21667¢86¢$187+$43
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?No19294¢97¢$186+$6
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes191.712¢97¢$186+$163
Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?No189.795¢98¢$186+$5
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Yes184.196¢100¢$183+$7
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?No2.8K35¢6.5¢$182-$797
Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?No181.776¢100¢$182+$44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes1.9K22¢9.5¢$181-$247
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes4688.1¢39¢$180+$142
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes1.1K25¢16¢$180-$93
Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?No22097¢81¢$179-$34
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes214.866¢83¢$178+$37
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes2.4K9.1¢7.4¢$178-$40
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 16?Yes177.293¢100¢$176+$11
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Yes610.230¢28¢$174-$10
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes1.8K38¢9.6¢$173-$503
USMCA extended in 2026?No18565¢93¢$172+$52
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No17697¢98¢$172+$2
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes185.291¢92¢$171+$1
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No248.142¢68¢$170+$66
Iran Nuke before 2027?No172.896¢97¢$168+$2
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1.4K68¢12¢$168-$790
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢9.5¢$165+$152
Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Yes196.921¢84¢$165+$122
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No166.494¢98¢$162+$6
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?No16887¢97¢$162+$16
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?No161.191¢100¢$161+$15
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?No163.794¢98¢$161+$6
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes163.996¢98¢$160+$2
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Yes236.361¢68¢$160+$15
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?No161.892¢98¢$159+$10
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes1.4K19¢11¢$159-$106
Will Person H win the next Serbia presidential election?No168.986¢93¢$158+$12
Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026?No1914.3¢82¢$157+$149
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Yes8857.0¢18¢$155+$93
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes1.5K15¢10¢$155-$64
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?No158.694¢97¢$154+$6
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?Yes91420¢17¢$153-$29
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?No1.4K21¢11¢$152-$134
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes913.435¢17¢$151-$165
Natural Disaster in 2026?No156.228¢97¢$151+$107
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?No19945¢76¢$151+$62
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Yes1.7K31¢9.0¢$150-$372
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes1.5K21¢10¢$150-$165
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No151.796¢98¢$149+$3
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?No15880¢94¢$149+$22
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2.6K2.2¢5.5¢$147+$88
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?Yes2K17¢7.5¢$146-$185
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No16681¢88¢$146+$12
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?Yes324.369¢45¢$146-$77
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes766.919¢19¢$146-$4
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No147.194¢98¢$145+$6
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30?No2.2K8.0¢6.6¢$144-$31
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes20059¢72¢$144+$26
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.9K18¢7.5¢$143-$202
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026?No149.392¢96¢$143+$5
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes1.2K5.9¢12¢$142+$69
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?No14696¢97¢$142+$2
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes21624¢66¢$142+$89
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes410.240¢34¢$142-$21
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?No146.894¢95¢$140+$2
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No144.394¢97¢$140+$4
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?No141.894¢98¢$139+$6
Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?No139.797¢99¢$139+$4
Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP?No142.291¢97¢$138+$9
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 12% or more?No13793¢100¢$137+$10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?Yes186.937¢73¢$136+$68
Will Deiveson Figueiredo become UFC champion in 2026?No136.991¢99¢$136+$11
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?No135.489¢99¢$135+$14
Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?No19635¢68¢$134+$66
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Yes145.247¢92¢$134+$66
Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?No15132¢89¢$134+$85
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No140.995¢95¢$134+$0
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?No173.344¢77¢$133+$57
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?No135.591¢97¢$132+$8
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?No465.520¢28¢$130+$38
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes2.1K8.6¢6.3¢$130-$48
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch?No171.191¢76¢$130-$27
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?No14371¢90¢$129+$28
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?No134.694¢96¢$129+$3
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No136.384¢94¢$129+$14
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?No166.872¢77¢$128+$8
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?No14886¢87¢$128+$1
Viktor Orbán arrested by...?Yes1.2K11¢11¢$128-$5
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?No132.987¢96¢$128+$12
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?No172.972¢74¢$127+$3
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?Yes12959¢98¢$127+$51
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No148.346¢85¢$127+$59
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Yes23225¢55¢$127+$69
Will Marco Rubio be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?No12893¢99¢$126+$7
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by November 30?No138.168¢92¢$126+$32
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?No12991¢97¢$125+$8
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?Yes157.373¢79¢$125+$10
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes3.9K3.1¢3.2¢$125+$2
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No13495¢93¢$125-$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No151.678¢82¢$124+$5
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes249.333¢49¢$123+$42
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes571.818¢22¢$123+$20
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes2.9K13¢4.2¢$123-$260
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?Yes128.394¢96¢$123+$2
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?Yes1.6K12¢7.7¢$123-$69
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?Yes1.6K21¢7.5¢$121-$224
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No121.273¢99¢$119+$31
Will Nicki Minaj be the next White House Press Secretary?No121.196¢99¢$119+$3
Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026?No125.281¢95¢$119+$18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1.5K7.6¢7.6¢$118+$0
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No131.839¢89¢$117+$66
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No12879¢91¢$116+$15
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No118.596¢98¢$116+$3
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes1.8K14¢6.5¢$116-$132
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?No132.163¢88¢$116+$33
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes166.369¢70¢$116+$1
Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO?Yes540.925¢21¢$115-$20
Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes342.654¢33¢$115-$70
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No12488¢92¢$115+$6
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Yes164.529¢69¢$114+$67
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?No141.432¢80¢$114+$68
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No143.369¢79¢$113+$14
Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government?No14775¢77¢$113+$3
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Yes153.923¢73¢$113+$78
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?No129.629¢87¢$113+$75
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?No399.620¢28¢$112+$30
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes333.416¢34¢$112+$57
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026?Yes13086¢86¢$111-$1
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No113.696¢98¢$111+$2
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.3% before 2027?No12087¢92¢$111+$7
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No114.776¢96¢$110+$23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes3.2K29¢3.4¢$110-$818
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Yes11594¢95¢$109+$1
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?No11046¢98¢$108+$58
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?Lockheed Martin17050¢64¢$108+$23
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?No11183¢97¢$108+$16
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?No119.380¢90¢$107+$11
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No11384¢94¢$107+$12
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?No2.7K13¢3.9¢$107-$241
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Yes12184¢88¢$107+$5
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?No11093¢95¢$105+$3
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1.6K3.0¢6.5¢$105+$57
Will Cory Booker be the next Senate Majority Leader?No104.593¢100¢$104+$7
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes24246¢43¢$104-$6
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes116.335¢89¢$104+$63
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?No147.170¢70¢$104+$0
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes1.6K15¢6.5¢$102-$141
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?No142.781¢72¢$102-$14
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Yes14657¢70¢$101+$18
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?No100.697¢100¢$100+$2
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1.7K2.9¢5.9¢$100+$52
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?No104.141¢95¢$99+$56
US imports Russian diesel by January 31?No123.678¢79¢$98+$1
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?No35734¢27¢$98-$22
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?No10195¢97¢$98+$1
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes2.3K7.5¢4.2¢$98-$77
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes2.5K1.9¢3.9¢$97+$50
Will Srđan Amidžić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes1.9K7.5¢5.0¢$96-$47
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No9897¢98¢$96+$1
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No101.273¢94¢$96+$22
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?No94.993¢100¢$95+$7
Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?No9895¢97¢$95+$1
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?Yes570.534¢17¢$94-$100
Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?No12054¢78¢$94+$29
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Yes189.116¢49¢$94+$64
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?No9795¢96¢$93+$0
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No10038¢93¢$92+$55
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?Yes34932¢26¢$91-$20
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?No93.587¢97¢$91+$9
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31?No9296¢99¢$91+$3
Will Clavicular visit Japan in 2026?Yes39037¢23¢$90-$54
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?No250.837¢36¢$89-$4
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?No9193¢97¢$88+$4
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?No90.894¢97¢$88+$3
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?Yes468.923¢19¢$88-$21
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes91.746¢96¢$88+$46
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?No95.346¢92¢$88+$44
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No2.7K15¢3.2¢$87-$312
US recession by end of 2026?Yes2.3K5.5¢3.8¢$87-$40
Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?No88.296¢98¢$87+$3
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?No13053¢67¢$86+$18
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No9093¢96¢$86+$3
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No818.730¢10¢$86-$160
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Yes95.771¢88¢$85+$16
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2.4K2.7¢3.5¢$84+$19
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?No10067¢84¢$84+$17
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?No101.568¢82¢$84+$15
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No758.537¢11¢$83-$196
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by December 31?Yes21140¢39¢$83-$1
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No8475¢98¢$83+$20
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No111.556¢74¢$82+$20
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?Yes445.719¢18¢$82-$3
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?No440.912¢19¢$82+$28
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?No10371¢79¢$81+$8
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?Yes1.5K11¢5.4¢$81-$79
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No8878¢92¢$81+$12
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes26132¢31¢$81-$3
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?No8294¢99¢$81+$3
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?No8487¢96¢$80+$8
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes117.574¢67¢$79-$8
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?No8371¢96¢$79+$20
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?Yes540.812¢15¢$79+$17
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes366.628¢21¢$79-$24
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by March 31, 2027?Yes22052¢36¢$78-$36
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?No8092¢97¢$78+$4
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3602.8¢22¢$77+$67
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?Yes522.926¢15¢$77-$58
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?No79.494¢97¢$77+$2
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?No84.988¢90¢$76+$1
Will Variational launch a token by November 30, 2026?No79.375¢96¢$76+$16
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No78.393¢97¢$76+$3
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Yes885.728¢8.5¢$75-$177
Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg?No91.892¢82¢$75-$10
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No82.649¢91¢$75+$35
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?No8286¢91¢$74+$4
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?No8059¢93¢$74+$27
Will Enrique Galindo Ceballos win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?No81.623¢90¢$73+$54
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?No8331¢87¢$73+$47
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No102.931¢70¢$72+$40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No7892¢92¢$72+$1
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.2K7.2¢5.8¢$72-$17
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Yes1.1K6.0¢6.5¢$72+$6
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?Yes77.217¢93¢$72+$58
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Yes24028¢30¢$71+$4
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?No87.378¢81¢$71+$3
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes1.5K3.6¢4.5¢$70+$14
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?No73.488¢95¢$70+$5
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?No8369¢84¢$70+$12
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?No99347¢7.0¢$70-$401
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?No101.360¢68¢$69+$8
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Yes540.326¢13¢$69-$72
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?No1.4K37¢5.0¢$69-$431
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes656.210¢11¢$69+$3
Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No7278¢95¢$69+$12
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes20925¢33¢$68+$15
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes1531.5¢45¢$68+$66
Will New York Giants win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?No70.993¢96¢$68+$2
Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?Yes27631¢24¢$68-$17
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?No87.668¢77¢$67+$8
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes2221.5¢30¢$67+$64
Will Elon Musk attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No6995¢97¢$67+$2
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes2.4K25¢2.8¢$67-$532
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes581.817¢11¢$67-$32
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?No6797¢99¢$66+$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Yes344.225¢19¢$66-$21
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?No76.785¢86¢$66+$1
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No70.863¢92¢$66+$21
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?No7089¢93¢$65+$3
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes72.756¢89¢$65+$25
Will USD be at least 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?No6894¢96¢$65+$1
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?No3.2K4.5¢2.0¢$65-$81
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes563.937¢11¢$65-$143
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?No66.996¢96¢$65+$0
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes337.949¢19¢$64-$102
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?No6585¢98¢$64+$8
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.4K1.8¢2.6¢$64+$20
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?No526.618¢12¢$63-$32
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No77.795¢80¢$63-$11
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?Yes89.963¢69¢$62+$6
Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2027?No49513¢13¢$62-$5
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?Yes7082¢87¢$61+$4
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?No6369¢97¢$61+$17
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No87.977¢69¢$61-$7
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Yes8478¢71¢$60-$6
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?No6771¢89¢$60+$12
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?No9752¢61¢$59+$9
Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Yes531.120¢11¢$58-$47
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?No6094¢97¢$58+$2
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes174.241¢33¢$58-$13
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1.6K3.0¢3.6¢$58+$11
Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes31115¢19¢$58+$11
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?No58.546¢98¢$57+$31
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?No12039¢48¢$57+$10
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31?Yes1K12¢5.5¢$57-$70
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?No12821¢45¢$57+$30
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?No59.640¢96¢$57+$33
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?No84.869¢67¢$57-$2
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Yes482.268¢12¢$57-$271
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes389.77.6¢14¢$57+$27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?No85.169¢66¢$56-$3
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Yes57.769¢97¢$56+$16
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?No319.618¢17¢$56-$2
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2027?No14767¢38¢$56-$43
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2.4K2.7¢2.3¢$56-$9
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3602.8¢16¢$56+$46
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Yes1K11¢5.5¢$56-$57
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?No5765¢98¢$56+$19
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?No246.620¢22¢$55+$5
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?Yes56.178¢99¢$55+$11
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027?No95.371¢58¢$55-$12
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1.9K2.8¢2.9¢$55+$3
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?Yes1.3K40¢4.3¢$55-$451
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes2K2.9¢2.8¢$55-$2
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?No54.895¢99¢$54+$2
Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election?Yes238.222¢23¢$54+$2
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?No55.968¢96¢$54+$16
Will the Joint List be in the next Israeli government?Yes1.4K6.5¢3.9¢$54-$34
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes594.830¢9.0¢$54-$125
Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2.1K3.3¢2.5¢$53-$16
US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026?No5965¢91¢$53+$15
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes17535¢31¢$53-$8
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Yes1.1K22¢4.8¢$53-$193
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No5494¢98¢$53+$3
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Yes279.144¢19¢$53-$69
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes54.99.1¢97¢$53+$48
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes1.3K4.0¢3.9¢$53-$1
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Yes952.18.0¢5.5¢$52-$24
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?Yes890.85.9¢5.8¢$52-$1
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?No5689¢93¢$52+$2
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.8K1.9¢2.9¢$52+$18
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes575.850¢9.0¢$52-$238
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?No61.171¢84¢$52+$8
Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes130.430¢39¢$52+$12
Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch?No7146¢73¢$51+$19
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes928.510¢5.5¢$51-$43
US imports Russian diesel by March 31?Yes208.438¢24¢$51-$28
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?Yes401.610¢13¢$51+$9
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.0T and $2.25T?Yes1.3K12¢3.8¢$50-$109
Will Yaron Zelekha be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?No51.584¢97¢$50+$7
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes400.99.5¢13¢$50+$12
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes1.1K7.0¢4.8¢$50-$24
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?No942.64.2¢5.2¢$49+$10
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No50.794¢98¢$49+$2
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes1.2K14¢4.0¢$49-$119
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?No7651¢65¢$49+$10
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?Yes525.217¢9.3¢$49-$39
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by November 30, 2026?No243.649¢20¢$49-$71
Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026?No64.375¢75¢$49+$0
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Yes1.3K17¢3.7¢$48-$170
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?No48.461¢100¢$48+$19
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027?No59.591¢81¢$48-$6
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes509.212¢9.4¢$48-$15
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes779.24.9¢6.1¢$48+$10
Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg?No49.557¢97¢$48+$20
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?Yes1.3K10¢3.7¢$48-$87
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?No6767¢71¢$48+$3
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes1.1K58¢4.3¢$47-$591
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes98.56.0¢48¢$47+$41
Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?No5821¢82¢$47+$35
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?Yes47.576¢99¢$47+$11
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?No4987¢96¢$47+$5
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?No48.292¢98¢$47+$3
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?Yes1.4K11¢3.4¢$47-$109
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 8.00% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?No5377¢88¢$47+$6
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes169.340¢27¢$47-$21
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Yes1K19¢4.6¢$47-$142
Will Republicans win the Alaska Governor election and Democrats win the Alaska Senate election?No46.597¢100¢$47+$1
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes56.947¢81¢$46+$19
Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond?Yes2651.5¢17¢$46+$42
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes11941¢39¢$46-$3
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Yes178.916¢26¢$46+$17
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by December 31?No5166¢89¢$46+$12
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes476.371¢9.5¢$45-$293
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes18329¢25¢$45-$8
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?No45.680¢98¢$45+$8
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?Yes57410¢7.8¢$45-$15
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?Yes6016¢74¢$44+$35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes68.831¢65¢$44+$23
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?No45.688¢97¢$44+$4
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?No4595¢98¢$44+$1
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes121.740¢36¢$44-$5
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes265.318¢17¢$44-$3
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?No44.792¢98¢$44+$3
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?Yes6063¢73¢$44+$6
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes4498¢99¢$44+$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?Yes1.2K2.5¢3.5¢$43+$13
Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?No4482¢98¢$43+$7
Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Yes135.76.2¢32¢$43+$35
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes3.7K9.7¢1.1¢$43-$317
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes1K3.5¢4.0¢$42+$6
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.8¢2.4¢$42+$29
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Yes1.3K2.1¢3.2¢$42+$15
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes833.53.8¢5.0¢$42+$10
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes418.325¢10¢$42-$64
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢1.9¢$42+$26
Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?No5263¢80¢$42+$9
Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes151.725¢27¢$41+$3
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No45315¢9.0¢$41-$27
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027?Yes180.823¢23¢$41-$2
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?No47.345¢86¢$41+$19
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Yes1.7K5.2¢2.3¢$40-$50
Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?No6847¢60¢$40+$9
Ostium FDV above $4B one day after launch?No40.598¢99¢$40+$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?Yes838.46.7¢4.7¢$40-$17
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes982.81.0¢4.0¢$40+$30
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?Yes19632¢20¢$40-$24
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes336.521¢12¢$39-$30
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No4086¢98¢$39+$5
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes49037¢8.0¢$39-$140
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes45.272¢87¢$39+$7
Will there be between 115m and 120m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Yes284.621¢14¢$39-$20
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes923.314¢4.2¢$39-$93
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No4854¢81¢$39+$13
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?No40.461¢95¢$39+$14
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?No39.396¢98¢$38+$1
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?No4178¢94¢$38+$6
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?No3991¢98¢$38+$3
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes1.6K5.1¢2.3¢$38-$45
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Yes2.5K15¢1.5¢$38-$334
Will Lakhwinder Jhaj win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?No38.597¢99¢$38+$1
Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?No4096¢95¢$38-$1
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes2.9K2.3¢1.3¢$37-$29
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K1.9¢1.7¢$37-$4
Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?No42.483¢88¢$37+$2
Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?No144.421¢25¢$37+$6
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No38.732¢95¢$37+$24
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?Yes1.6K12¢2.3¢$36-$157
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes1.4K3.3¢2.5¢$36-$11
Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?No62.538¢58¢$36+$13
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes184.921¢19¢$36-$4
Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Yes765.715¢4.7¢$36-$80
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No3795¢97¢$36+$1
Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?No114.450¢31¢$35-$22
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?No202.422¢17¢$35-$10
Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch?No4086¢88¢$35+$1
Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?No5632¢63¢$35+$17
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No35.193¢99¢$35+$2
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?Yes8318¢42¢$35+$20
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1.6K3.0¢2.1¢$35-$13
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?No34.883¢99¢$34+$6
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 18% or more?No206.714¢17¢$34+$5
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?No30930¢11¢$34-$58
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes19017¢18¢$34+$1
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes69726¢4.8¢$33-$145
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.6K0.9¢2.1¢$33+$20
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes2.1K48¢1.5¢$33-$1,001
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.7K5.2¢1.9¢$33-$57
Gemini Carbon released by November 10, 2026?No108.444¢31¢$33-$14
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes15046¢22¢$33-$36
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?Yes18268¢18¢$33-$91
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes8458¢39¢$33-$16
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes44.570¢73¢$33+$2
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?No34.561¢94¢$33+$12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?No5066¢65¢$33-$1
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K2.0¢1.5¢$32-$10
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?Yes2651.5¢12¢$32+$28
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes463.717¢7.0¢$32-$45
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?No8448¢39¢$32-$8
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?Yes87317¢3.7¢$32-$120
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes47.850¢68¢$32+$8
Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes106.930¢30¢$32$0
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?No3491¢93¢$32+$1
Will James Talarico be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes19814¢16¢$32+$3
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes11925¢27¢$32+$2
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?Yes480.75.3¢6.5¢$31+$6
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes971.713¢3.2¢$31-$93
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes20022¢16¢$31-$13
Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?No5489.3¢5.7¢$31-$20
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?Yes10830¢28¢$31-$2
Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?No32.294¢95¢$31+$1
Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?Yes97.19.7¢32¢$31+$21
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Yes1K10¢3.0¢$31-$70
Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?No92618¢3.3¢$31-$138
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?No32.442¢93¢$30+$17
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?Yes780.916¢3.8¢$30-$96
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No30.897¢98¢$30+$0
Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?Yes56.637¢53¢$30+$9
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No30.686¢98¢$30+$4
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes1.2K25¢2.5¢$30-$258
Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?No56.855¢52¢$30-$1
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes44.961¢66¢$30+$2
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?No3227¢92¢$30+$21
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?No3093¢99¢$30+$2
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes36950¢8.0¢$30-$156
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?Yes34.859¢85¢$29+$9
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?Yes960.719¢3.0¢$29-$153
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Yes41854¢7.0¢$29-$194
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?No3878¢77¢$29-$0
Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?Yes302.421¢9.5¢$29-$34
Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day?No41.326¢70¢$29+$18
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Yes48.645¢59¢$29+$7
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes1.1K5.4¢2.6¢$29-$29
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes515.85.3¢5.5¢$29+$1
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?No2994¢99¢$29+$1
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes1.5K6.4¢1.9¢$29-$65
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?No3089¢94¢$28+$2
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?No30.879¢91¢$28+$4
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes19422¢14¢$28-$15
Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?Yes15611¢18¢$28+$11
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes1122.4¢25¢$28+$25
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes33.136¢82¢$27+$15
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?No42.432¢64¢$27+$14
Will Dejan Šoškić win the next Serbia presidential election?No27.396¢99¢$27+$1
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes180.611¢15¢$27+$8
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3602.8¢7.5¢$27+$17
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?Yes1.4K12¢1.9¢$27-$148
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes912.519¢2.9¢$27-$146
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes590.83.8¢4.5¢$27+$4
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky governor race in 2027?No113.420¢24¢$27+$4
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?No18326¢14¢$27-$21
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?No3251¢83¢$26+$10
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?Yes1.3K4.3¢2.0¢$26-$30
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Yes488.728¢5.3¢$26-$109
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢1.2¢$26+$11
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?Yes76.745¢34¢$26-$9
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?No26.894¢97¢$26+$1
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes470.725¢5.5¢$26-$92
Pacifica FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes385.19.5¢6.7¢$26-$11
Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government?Yes2155.0¢12¢$26+$15
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027?No28.875¢90¢$26+$4
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?No28.980¢89¢$26+$3
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes1.6K2.6¢1.6¢$26-$16
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢1.2¢$26+$10
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢1.6¢$26+$14
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes2.4K2.1¢1.0¢$25-$25
Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes928.0¢28¢$25+$18
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Yes14520¢18¢$25-$4
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes590.0¢43¢$25+$25
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?No562.512¢4.5¢$25-$42
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2027?No3063¢84¢$25+$6
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No28.166¢89¢$25+$7
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?No26.558¢94¢$25+$10
Will Aleksandar Repić win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?No2598¢100¢$25+$1
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes816.24.0¢3.0¢$25-$8
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?No58.544¢42¢$25-$1
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 13, 2026?No70.937¢35¢$25-$2
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Yes232.840¢10¢$24-$69
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?No7519¢33¢$24+$10
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes7637¢32¢$24-$4
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026?No2740¢90¢$24+$14
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes963.19.0¢2.5¢$24-$62
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?No4153¢59¢$24+$2
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes1.5K4.3¢1.6¢$24-$38
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?No2595¢95¢$24+$0
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes6956¢35¢$24-$15
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 9, 2026?No2492¢98¢$23+$1
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by January 31, 2027?Yes6569¢36¢$23-$21
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3602.8¢6.5¢$23+$13
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes44.557¢53¢$23-$2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1.9K1.7¢1.2¢$23-$9
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes4754¢50¢$23-$2
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?No332.314¢7.0¢$23-$22
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?Yes655.13.0¢3.5¢$23+$4
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Yes14233¢16¢$23-$24
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?Yes8413¢28¢$23+$12
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by December 31?Yes24342¢9.5¢$23-$78
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by December 31, 2026?Yes69.933¢32¢$23-$0
Ledger IPO before 2027?Yes306.224¢7.3¢$23-$51
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢1.0¢$22+$7
Will Jordan Love win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes195.35.6¢11¢$22+$12
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No22.898¢98¢$22+$0
Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?No246.0¢94¢$22+$21
Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?Yes3096.9¢7.2¢$22+$1
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes1265.2¢18¢$22+$16
Will Zoran Stojiljković be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes3.4K1.2¢0.7¢$22-$19
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Yes2218.0¢10¢$22+$4
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?Yes314.49.0¢7.0¢$22-$6
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes22.893¢96¢$22+$1
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes4357.6¢5.0¢$22-$11
Will Josh Fryday win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?No2269¢100¢$22+$7
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes83.328¢26¢$22-$2
Will Harry Styles appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?No23.193¢94¢$22+$0
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?No2390¢94¢$22+$1
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 14?Yes2298¢98¢$22+$0
Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No2296¢98¢$22+$1
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1.2K3.0¢1.8¢$22-$13
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?Yes2416¢90¢$22+$18
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes2231¢98¢$21+$15
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No2297¢97¢$21+$0
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?No22.183¢96¢$21+$3
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by December 31?No2368¢92¢$21+$5
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?Yes690.922¢3.0¢$21-$133
Vanta IPO before 2027?Yes732.37.2¢2.8¢$21-$32
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?No2295¢95¢$21-$0
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1.4K3.0¢1.5¢$21-$22
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027?Yes4764.5¢4.3¢$21-$1
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?No2293¢94¢$21+$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes1K2.2¢2.1¢$21-$2
Will Iran target Qatar by December 31, 2026?No2516¢82¢$20+$16
Will Sabrina Carpenter appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?No2292¢92¢$20+$0
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?No22.786¢89¢$20+$1
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1.9K0.7¢1.0¢$20+$6
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢1.1¢$20+$7
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes2.8K2.4¢0.7¢$20-$49
Will Paddy Pimblett become UFC champion in 2026?No20.475¢97¢$20+$4
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Yes280.611¢7.0¢$20-$11
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes43.157¢46¢$20-$5
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by December 31?No4930¢40¢$20+$5
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Yes797.82.4¢2.4¢$20+$0
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?No2476¢81¢$19+$1
Will Chuang Ching-cheng win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?No2286¢88¢$19+$1
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Yes267.94.4¢7.2¢$19+$8
Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes58.377¢33¢$19-$25
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?No160.661¢12¢$19-$79
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?No2083¢96¢$19+$3
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Yes737.97.8¢2.6¢$19-$39
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?No351.17.7¢5.4¢$19-$8
Will Discord’s market cap be between $8B and $11B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes68233¢2.8¢$19-$208
Epic Games IPO before 2027?Yes1.1K11¢1.7¢$19-$107
Will Newt Gingrich attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No2094¢95¢$19+$0
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?Yes3622.6¢5.3¢$19+$9
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?Yes251.313¢7.5¢$19-$13
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No7139¢27¢$19-$9
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Yes21.557¢86¢$19+$6
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?Yes290.0¢64¢$19+$19
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?No28.169¢66¢$19-$1
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes18.893¢98¢$18+$1
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes85.211¢22¢$18+$9
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1K2.0¢1.7¢$18-$2
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.8¢$18+$2
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30, 2026?Yes22010¢8.3¢$18-$4
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No3146¢59¢$18+$4
Printr FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes2004.7¢9.0¢$18+$9
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?Yes5978.1¢3.0¢$18-$30
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?Yes52.516¢34¢$18+$9
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14?Yes2369.0¢7.5¢$18-$4
Will Anthropic raise between $65B and $75B in its IPO?No2280¢80¢$18+$0
ByteDance IPO before 2027?Yes8205.9¢2.1¢$18-$31
Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?Yes105.422¢17¢$18-$5
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?Yes27019¢6.5¢$18-$32
Ramp IPO before 2027?Yes1K10¢1.7¢$18-$87
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?No2884¢63¢$18-$6
Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Yes60.811¢29¢$17+$11
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes1.5K2.2¢1.1¢$17-$17
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢1.1¢$17+$5
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?Yes10234¢17¢$17-$17
Printr FDV above $200M one day after launch?No1993¢91¢$17-$0
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes204.510¢8.4¢$17-$3
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes49.96.0¢34¢$17+$14
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?No1979¢90¢$17+$2
Maduro guilty of all counts?No25.574¢66¢$17-$2
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Yes26010¢6.5¢$17-$9
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5360.7¢3.1¢$17+$13
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?Yes9411¢18¢$17+$7
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?No118.313¢14¢$17+$1
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Yes2587.0¢6.5¢$17-$1
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Yes28.56.5¢59¢$17+$15
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by March 31, 2027?Yes19711¢8.5¢$17-$5
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No22311¢7.5¢$17-$8
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?Yes144.617¢12¢$17-$8
Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?No16.997¢98¢$17+$0
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for North Korea by December 31?No1796¢98¢$17+$0
Will Trump meet with Andy Burnham by November 30, 2026?No17.674¢94¢$17+$4
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?Yes892.82.2¢1.8¢$17-$4
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?No1796¢97¢$16+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?No910.717¢1.8¢$16-$138
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes4232¢39¢$16+$3
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Yes3304.0¢5.0¢$16+$3
Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes12018¢14¢$16-$5
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No201.946¢8.0¢$16-$76
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2.5K1.2¢0.7¢$16-$15
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?No16.591¢98¢$16+$1
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes917.93.8¢1.7¢$16-$19
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes14621¢11¢$16-$15
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?No16.325¢98¢$16+$12
Yoon out of custody before 2027?Yes623.94.1¢2.5¢$16-$10
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Yes349.233¢4.5¢$16-$100
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes184.416¢8.5¢$16-$15
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes328.57.0¢4.7¢$16-$8
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Yes14035¢11¢$15-$34
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Turkey by December 31, 2026?No1689¢96¢$15+$1
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.4K0.7¢1.1¢$15+$5
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?No75.722¢20¢$15-$1
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?No313.7¢49¢$15+$14
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?Yes575.68.0¢2.6¢$15-$31
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?Yes16.685¢92¢$15+$1
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes604.60.7¢2.5¢$15+$11
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?Yes1.2K2.0¢1.3¢$15-$9
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?Yes280.419¢5.3¢$15-$39
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes23.961¢63¢$15+$0
Printr FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes166.24.1¢9.0¢$15+$8
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes119.513¢12¢$15-$1
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?No1.7K13¢0.8¢$15-$218
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.1K0.7¢1.4¢$15+$7
Will Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed?Yes2840¢53¢$15+$4
Modi out by December 31, 2026?Yes1.1K2.2¢1.4¢$15-$8
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes2077¢74¢$15-$1
Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO?No16.386¢90¢$15+$1
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?No881.624¢1.6¢$15-$194
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Yes1.1K1.8¢1.3¢$15-$6
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?Yes24.567¢59¢$14-$2
Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?No21.754¢66¢$14+$3
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No2032¢71¢$14+$8
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes7660.7¢1.8¢$14+$9
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?Yes658.32.2¢2.1¢$14-$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?No2067¢71¢$14+$1
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 13?No365.51.8¢3.8¢$14+$7
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes2.1K9.0¢0.6¢$14-$180
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?No1495¢100¢$14+$1
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?Yes6611¢21¢$14+$7
Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2.1K3.8¢0.7¢$14-$68
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No14.394¢97¢$14+$0
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?No4148¢34¢$14-$6
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6?Yes25.317¢54¢$14+$9
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes35.434¢38¢$14+$2
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5790.7¢2.4¢$14+$9
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes3K9.2¢0.4¢$14-$265
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?No17.349¢78¢$14+$5
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes1K14¢1.3¢$13-$129
Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?No5525¢25¢$13-$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes44017¢3.0¢$13-$59
Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2027?No5315¢25¢$13+$5
Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?No73.612¢18¢$13+$5
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes253.510¢5.2¢$13-$13
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?Yes97.811¢13¢$13+$2
Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes8453¢16¢$13-$32
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes12446¢11¢$13-$44
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?Yes18.660¢69¢$13+$2
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No136.139¢9.5¢$13-$40
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027?No1557¢85¢$13+$4
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No17.773¢71¢$13-$0
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by November 30, 2026?Yes3548¢36¢$13-$4
California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?Yes198.66.9¢6.3¢$13-$1
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?Yes422.112¢2.9¢$12-$39
Will Dana F. White Jr be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes1.3K3.4¢0.9¢$12-$32
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?Yes2924.7¢4.3¢$12-$1
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Yes1.2K6.5¢1.0¢$12-$68
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes524.70.9¢2.3¢$12+$7
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes90.825¢13¢$12-$10
Will New York Giants win the 2026 NFC East?Yes20.457¢59¢$12+$1
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes1.1K13¢1.1¢$12-$131
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?Yes1818¢67¢$12+$9
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Yes6317¢19¢$12+$1
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No12.196¢99¢$12+$0
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes642.21.2¢1.8¢$12+$4
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes1.4K2.6¢0.8¢$12-$24
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.5¢$12-$4
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.5¢$12-$4
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.5¢$12-$4
Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026?No16.256¢72¢$12+$3
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Yes7833¢15¢$12-$14
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No63191¢1.8¢$12-$564
Will Cruz Pérez Cuéllar win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?No1948¢61¢$12+$2
Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch?No12.833¢91¢$12+$7
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?Yes8518¢14¢$11-$4
Israel military action against Yemen by December 31?No13.255¢87¢$11+$4
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes2.1K5.7¢0.5¢$11-$106
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?No1251¢95¢$11+$5
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes413.70.7¢2.7¢$11+$8
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1.6K3.0¢0.7¢$11-$37
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 15%-18%?Yes9450¢12¢$11-$36
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No11.786¢95¢$11+$1
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes200.510¢5.5¢$11-$9
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes662.11.9¢1.6¢$11-$2
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Yes33914¢3.2¢$11-$37
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes237.44.9¢4.5¢$11-$1
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Yes4822¢23¢$11+$0
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes269.533¢4.0¢$11-$77
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?Yes1026.0¢11¢$11+$5
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes152.822¢7.0¢$11-$23
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Yes205.26.9¢5.2¢$11-$3
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?Yes53219¢2.0¢$11-$90
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?Yes371.67.0¢2.8¢$11-$15
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes77.617¢14¢$11-$3
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?OpenAI116.97.0¢9.0¢$11+$2
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?No1.3K16¢0.8¢$11-$197
Will Denis Zvizdić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes20023¢5.2¢$10-$35
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?No11.472¢91¢$10+$2
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes670.0¢16¢$10+$10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes18.850¢55¢$10+$1
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes137.123¢7.5¢$10-$22
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes171.137¢6.0¢$10-$53
Will Scott Black win the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election?No10.358¢99¢$10+$4
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?Yes75.813¢13¢$10+$1
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026Yes881.85.5¢1.1¢$10-$38
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes3.4K1.2¢0.3¢$10-$31
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes361.94.0¢2.8¢$10-$4
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No33.934¢29¢$10-$2
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No10.793¢93¢$10+$0
Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?No25.862¢38¢$10-$6
Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes3.3K1.2¢0.3¢$10-$30
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Yes204.138¢4.8¢$10-$68
Trump goes to space in 2026?No1097¢99¢$10+$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Yes617.23.2¢1.6¢$10-$10
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Yes9426¢11¢$10-$15
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?No2849¢35¢$10-$4
Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch?Yes150.29.8¢6.5¢$10-$5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez not run for Senate or President in 2028?Yes389.95.6¢2.5¢$10-$12
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Yes84.821¢11¢$10-$8
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?No13.966¢70¢$10+$1
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1.6K3.0¢0.6¢$10-$38
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes207.24.5¢4.6¢$10+$0
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.4¢$10-$6
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.4¢$10-$6
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.4¢$10-$6
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?No11.571¢84¢$10+$1
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes398.85.6¢2.4¢$10-$13
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes615.90.7¢1.5¢$10+$5
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?Yes359.98.1¢2.6¢$10-$20
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?No416.83.4¢2.2¢$9-$5
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Yes1245.0¢7.5¢$9+$3
Brex IPO before 2027?Yes1.2K5.0¢0.8¢$9-$49
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?No48.263¢19¢$9-$21
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Yes1689.0¢5.5¢$9-$6
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?Yes2565.0¢3.6¢$9-$4
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?Yes407.32.9¢2.2¢$9-$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes3962.3¢2.3¢$9+$0
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.5¢$9-$3
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.5¢$9-$3
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Yes2125¢43¢$9+$4
Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027?No2542¢36¢$9-$2
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?Yes24.335¢37¢$9+$0
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?Yes3986.6¢2.3¢$9-$17
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Yes7716¢12¢$9-$4
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes63.218¢14¢$9-$2
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes93.15.0¢9.5¢$9+$4
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3602.8¢2.5¢$9-$1
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?Yes3378.0¢2.5¢$9-$18
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?No996¢95¢$9-$0
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.2K0.7¢0.7¢$9-$0
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes106.613¢8.0¢$9-$5
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI460.52.6¢1.8¢$9-$3
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Yes10022¢8.5¢$9-$14
Will Anthropic IPO on November 18, 2026?Yes119.812¢7.0¢$8-$6
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026?No8.982¢95¢$8+$1
Will Trump meet with King Mohammed VI in 2026?Yes103.526¢8.0¢$8-$19
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes2.1K9.3¢0.4¢$8-$183
Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government?Yes13.227¢62¢$8+$5
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes961.418¢0.8¢$8-$160
Celonis IPO before 2027?Yes112.617¢7.2¢$8-$10
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?Yes318.719¢2.5¢$8-$53
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes734.78.2¢1.1¢$8-$52
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.3K0.6¢0.6¢$8-$1
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by November 30, 2026?Yes3523¢23¢$8+$0
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?Yes103.54.0¢7.7¢$8+$4
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes74.28.6¢11¢$8+$2
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?Yes3065.3¢2.6¢$8-$8
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Yes323.41.9¢2.4¢$8+$2
Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election?No3622¢22¢$8$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes2.6K9.5¢0.3¢$8-$241
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes1.4K2.3¢0.5¢$8-$24
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.4¢$8-$5
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?Yes236.48.3¢3.3¢$8-$12
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes76.714¢10¢$8-$3
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes213.55.4¢3.5¢$8-$4
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31?No8.189¢93¢$8+$0
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.3¢$7-$8
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.3¢$7-$8
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No187.13.4¢4.0¢$7+$1
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Yes16825¢4.5¢$7-$35
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes99.617¢7.5¢$7-$9
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes304.23.7¢2.4¢$7-$4
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.4¢$7-$5
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%?Yes23318¢3.1¢$7-$34
Another GTA VI trailer released by November 30?Yes35.822¢21¢$7-$1
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes182.96.6¢4.0¢$7-$5
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?No7.596¢98¢$7+$0
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes1.3K2.3¢0.5¢$7-$23
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1.6K3.0¢0.4¢$7-$41
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes2548.2¢2.9¢$7-$14
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes225.142¢3.2¢$7-$87
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?Yes270.618¢2.6¢$7-$42
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?Yes2274.7¢3.1¢$7-$3
Will Nancy Guthrie be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes818.4¢8.8¢$7+$0
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes4.7K2.8¢0.1¢$7-$127
Will Huang Shih-chieh win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?Yes96.86.4¢7.3¢$7+$1
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes1943¢37¢$7-$1
Placeholder 10 announced as next James Bond?Yes2651.5¢2.6¢$7+$3
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes4.7K2.2¢0.1¢$7-$97
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes4.7K2.2¢0.1¢$7-$97
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027?No8.942¢77¢$7+$3
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8124.9¢0.8¢$7-$33
Will Jonathan Reynolds be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Yes1478.8¢4.7¢$7-$6
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?No27.519¢25¢$7+$2
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Yes10466¢6.5¢$7-$62
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes4.5K2.7¢0.1¢$7-$117
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?No795¢96¢$7+$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes1.2K4.3¢0.5¢$7-$45
Will Chris Bryant be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Yes40322¢1.7¢$7-$84
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Yes45.818¢14¢$7-$2
Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes29411¢2.3¢$7-$26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes7318¢9.0¢$7-$7
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.9¢$7+$1
Will Anthropic IPO by November 24, 2026?No72.84.0¢9.0¢$7+$4
Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboYes2172.6¢3.0¢$7+$1
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Yes21.233¢31¢$6-$1
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No7.757¢83¢$6+$2
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Yes40117¢1.6¢$6-$61
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes213.82.4¢3.0¢$6+$1
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes4.2K2.2¢0.1¢$6-$88
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?Yes6446¢9.8¢$6-$23
Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?Epic Games126.48.7¢4.9¢$6-$5
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?Yes2504.5¢2.5¢$6-$5
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?Yes87.210¢7.0¢$6-$3
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?No29.337¢21¢$6-$5
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes136.141¢4.5¢$6-$50
Theo James announced as next James Bond?Yes2651.5¢2.3¢$6+$2
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes23.95.1¢25¢$6+$5
Will Candidate X be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes201.0¢30¢$6+$6
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Yes331.72.1¢1.8¢$6-$1
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes4K0.7¢0.1¢$6-$22
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?No9.438¢63¢$6+$2
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?No19815¢3.0¢$6-$23
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.8¢0.4¢$6-$7
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes3.9K0.7¢0.1¢$6-$21
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes3.9K0.7¢0.1¢$6-$21
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?No96.83.1¢6.0¢$6+$3
Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027?No36.352¢16¢$6-$13
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by November 30, 2026?Yes88.66.2¢6.5¢$6+$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes11733¢5.0¢$6-$32
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.3¢$6-$6
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?No654¢95¢$6+$2
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1.6K3.0¢0.4¢$6-$42
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1900.00 and 1999.99 at the end of December 2026?No6.192¢93¢$6+$0
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?No2217.0¢2.5¢$6-$10
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes122.315¢4.6¢$6-$13
Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1.2K1.4¢0.4¢$6-$12
Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes4128¢14¢$6-$6
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?No204.37.7¢2.7¢$6-$10
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes275.21.9¢2.0¢$6+$0
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes6.967¢79¢$6+$1
Will Detroit Lions win the 2026 NFC North?Yes2020¢28¢$6+$2
Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2027?No5.796¢96¢$5+$0
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.7¢$5-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?Yes685.2¢8.0¢$5+$2
Will Anthropic IPO on November 24, 2026?Yes2126.9¢2.5¢$5-$9
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?Yes3865.4¢1.4¢$5-$15
Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?No15.434¢35¢$5+$0
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes14924¢3.6¢$5-$30
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes2.1K0.9¢0.3¢$5-$14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes194.38.2¢2.7¢$5-$10
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes357.71.8¢1.4¢$5-$1
Will Greek Left Alliance (ELAS) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?Yes901.6¢5.8¢$5+$4
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Yes51516¢1.0¢$5-$79
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?No603.23.1¢0.8¢$5-$14
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?Yes269.42.4¢1.9¢$5-$1
Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes3.4K1.2¢0.1¢$5-$36
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes34115¢1.5¢$5-$46
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by December 31?Yes24.335¢21¢$5-$3
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5360.7¢0.9¢$5+$1
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?Yes2209.6¢2.3¢$5-$16
Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes93.63.1¢5.4¢$5+$2
Will Aid Ávila Covarrubias win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?Yes1406.3¢3.6¢$5-$4
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.7¢$5-$1
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.7¢$5-$1
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes9115¢5.5¢$5-$9
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes719.0¢7.0¢$5-$1
Printr FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes143.16.6¢3.4¢$5-$5
Printr FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes57.34.9¢8.6¢$5+$2
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Yes517.14.1¢0.9¢$5-$16
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?Yes288.327¢1.7¢$5-$73
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?Yes4892.3¢1.0¢$5-$6
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes4.9K2.3¢0.1¢$5-$109
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?Yes143.77.0¢3.4¢$5-$5
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?Yes1.2K12¢0.4¢$5-$146
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?Yes106.99.3¢4.5¢$5-$5
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3602.8¢1.4¢$5-$5
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Yes1543.1¢3.1¢$5+$0
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?Yes10.556¢46¢$5-$1
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Yes96.845¢5.0¢$5-$39
5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes62.89.7¢7.5¢$5-$1
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes348.216¢1.3¢$5-$51
Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes1K14¢0.4¢$5-$138
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes4.7K2.2¢0.1¢$5-$100
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes4.7K2.2¢0.1¢$5-$100
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes4.7K2.2¢0.1¢$5-$100
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes4.7K2.2¢0.1¢$5-$100
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes4.7K2.2¢0.1¢$5-$100
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes4.7K2.2¢0.1¢$5-$100
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes4.7K2.2¢0.1¢$5-$100
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes4.7K2.2¢0.1¢$5-$100
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes4.7K2.2¢0.1¢$5-$100
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No1723.3¢2.7¢$5-$1
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?Yes748.0¢6.2¢$5-$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes277.13.3¢1.6¢$5-$5
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes252.84.4¢1.8¢$5-$7
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes4.5K2.3¢0.1¢$4-$97
Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes1.3K14¢0.3¢$4-$181
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?No4.893¢93¢$4+$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?No27736¢1.6¢$4-$95
Discord IPO before 2027?Yes145.111¢3.0¢$4-$12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes14.718¢30¢$4+$2
Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes3423¢13¢$4-$3
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $500B by December 31?Yes120.99.0¢3.6¢$4-$6
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?No4229¢11¢$4-$8
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?Yes4927¢9.0¢$4-$9
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes1.3K11¢0.3¢$4-$131
Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes1123.0¢3.9¢$4+$1
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes1531¢29¢$4-$0
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.3¢$4-$8
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5360.7¢0.8¢$4+$0
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?No1474.1¢2.9¢$4-$2
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.5¢$4-$2
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.5¢$4-$2
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.5¢$4-$2
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?Yes273.917¢1.5¢$4-$42
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes2.8K1.0¢0.1¢$4-$24
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No349.71.9¢1.2¢$4-$2
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes172.4¢25¢$4+$4
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Yes4634.4¢0.9¢$4-$16
Will Amcha Yisrael be in the next Israeli government?Yes1544.3¢2.7¢$4-$2
Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes70.53.1¢5.9¢$4+$2
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.3¢$4-$8
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.3¢$4-$8
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.3¢$4-$8
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes155.92.1¢2.6¢$4+$1
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2230.7¢1.8¢$4+$2
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Yes152.718¢2.7¢$4-$23
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?Yes130.43.8¢3.2¢$4-$1
Rippling IPO before 2027?Yes106.619¢3.8¢$4-$16
Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes62.96.2¢6.5¢$4+$0
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes3736¢11¢$4-$9
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Yes126.65.6¢3.2¢$4-$3
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?Yes238.35.5¢1.7¢$4-$9
Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?Yes8923¢4.5¢$4-$17
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1.6K3.0¢0.3¢$4-$44
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1.6K3.0¢0.3¢$4-$44
Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?Yes114.945¢3.5¢$4-$48
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?Yes364.93.3¢1.1¢$4-$8
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.0%?Yes308.5¢13¢$4+$1
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes118.44.8¢3.3¢$4-$2
Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026?Yes3322¢12¢$4-$3
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes1493.4¢2.6¢$4-$1
Macron out by December 31, 2026?Yes269.44.4¢1.4¢$4-$8
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Dune 3125.814¢3.1¢$4-$13
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Yes376.0¢11¢$4+$2
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Yes64.210¢6.0¢$4-$3
Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?No3.997¢99¢$4+$0
Deel IPO before 2027?Yes23124¢1.7¢$4-$51
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.5K0.9¢0.2¢$4-$10
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?No743¢54¢$4+$1
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3602.8¢1.1¢$4-$6
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?No1613¢24¢$4+$2
Russia coup attempt in 2026?Yes192.42.1¢1.9¢$4-$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?Yes62.54.0¢6.0¢$4+$1
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Yes105.51.9¢3.5¢$4+$2
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes2201.9¢1.7¢$4-$0
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes1959.9¢1.9¢$4-$16
Stripe IPO before 2027?Yes171.87.0¢2.1¢$4-$8
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes915.11.2¢0.4¢$4-$7
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes723.23.0¢0.5¢$4-$18
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by December 31, 2026?No544¢73¢$4+$1
Negative GDP growth in 2026?Yes128.54.1¢2.8¢$4-$2
Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes3119¢12¢$4-$2
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?Yes1593.1¢2.2¢$4-$1
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Yes6540¢5.5¢$4-$22
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Yes81.28.8¢4.3¢$4-$4
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No537.28.2¢0.6¢$3-$41
Will Abstract launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes826.5¢4.3¢$3-$2
Will BP be acquired before 2027?Yes101.828¢3.4¢$3-$25
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3602.8¢0.9¢$3-$7
Will Stefan Krkobabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes3.4K1.2¢0.1¢$3-$38
Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes3.4K1.2¢0.1¢$3-$38
Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?Yes505.0¢6.8¢$3+$1
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?Yes674.37.3¢0.5¢$3-$46
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?Yes93.420¢3.6¢$3-$15
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?Yes2409.1¢1.4¢$3-$18
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes2.2K1.2¢0.1¢$3-$25
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Yes67.114¢5.0¢$3-$6
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?Yes2788.0¢1.2¢$3-$19
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Yes2923¢12¢$3-$3
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes1.3K16¢0.3¢$3-$207
Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes11113¢3.0¢$3-$11
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?Yes7.251¢46¢$3-$0
Will Lebanon join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes46.57.0¢7.1¢$3+$0
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T?Yes1959.9¢1.7¢$3-$16
Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?Yes2651.5¢1.3¢$3-$1
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes29.818¢11¢$3-$2
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes2024¢17¢$3-$2
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes802.8¢4.1¢$3+$1
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?Yes5710¢5.8¢$3-$2
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Yes71.911¢4.5¢$3-$5
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)?Yes344.14.6¢0.9¢$3-$13
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Yes65.911¢4.9¢$3-$4
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.1¢$3-$13
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.1¢$3-$13
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.1¢$3-$13
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.1¢$3-$13
Will the New Mexico 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes337.719¢0.9¢$3-$61
Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes4021¢8.0¢$3-$5
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No3.735¢86¢$3+$2
Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?Yes8816¢3.6¢$3-$11
Will Lisa Nandy be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Yes808.5¢4.0¢$3-$4
Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?Yes11.326¢28¢$3+$0
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes1506.0¢2.1¢$3-$6
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes2252.2¢1.4¢$3-$2
Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?Yes299.96.1¢1.0¢$3-$15
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No209.115¢1.5¢$3-$29
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?Yes202.34.9¢1.5¢$3-$7
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Yes106.311¢2.9¢$3-$9
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?Yes91.546¢3.4¢$3-$39
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Yes115.32.0¢2.7¢$3+$1
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes1633.2¢1.9¢$3-$2
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?No482¢77¢$3-$0
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?Yes14336¢2.1¢$3-$48
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes767.99.5¢0.4¢$3-$70
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?Yes109.613¢2.8¢$3-$11
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3602.8¢0.9¢$3-$7
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?No12.524¢24¢$3+$0
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?No616.5¢5.0¢$3-$1
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes2K1.2¢0.1¢$3-$21
Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No2657.8¢1.1¢$3-$18
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027?Yes35.731¢8.5¢$3-$8
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?Yes61.18.0¢4.9¢$3-$2
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?Yes46.231¢6.5¢$3-$11
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes1512¢20¢$3+$1
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 17, 2026?Yes1461.4¢2.1¢$3+$1
Will Abdul El-Sayed be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes2211¢14¢$3+$1
Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?Yes2204.6¢1.4¢$3-$7
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes59.417¢5.0¢$3-$7
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes1613¢19¢$3+$1
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes2.9K1.7¢0.1¢$3-$47
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes2.9K1.2¢0.1¢$3-$32
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?No485.76.2¢0.6¢$3-$27
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?No6.723¢44¢$3+$1
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?Yes2317¢13¢$3-$1
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes1542.2¢1.8¢$3-$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?No374¢94¢$3+$1
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Yes626.17.1¢0.4¢$3-$41
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?Yes26.75.8¢11¢$3+$1
StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes330.531¢0.8¢$3-$100
Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Yes723.4¢3.9¢$3+$0
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?No98.210¢2.8¢$3-$7
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?Yes13.722¢20¢$3-$0
Will there be no Gemini Carbon release by November 30, 2026?Yes1461.4¢1.9¢$3+$1
Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes14911¢1.8¢$3-$13
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?Yes224.1¢13¢$3+$2
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No189.13.7¢1.4¢$3-$4
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.1K0.7¢0.3¢$3-$5
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1800.00 and 1899.99 at the end of December 2026?Yes395.4¢7.0¢$3+$1
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes7762.4¢0.4¢$3-$16
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.4¢$3-$3
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.4¢$3-$3
Databricks IPO before 2027?Yes123.630¢2.1¢$3-$34
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes1399.1¢1.9¢$3-$10
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31?Yes4219¢6.3¢$3-$5
Will Democrats win the Alaska Governor election and Republicans win the Alaska Senate election?Yes145.53.9¢1.8¢$3-$3
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?No19.424¢14¢$3-$2
Will Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1.3K1.4¢0.2¢$3-$16
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$3-$10
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?Yes1K14¢0.3¢$3-$140
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?No2.690¢98¢$3+$0
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $130B by November 30?Yes20.412¢13¢$3+$0
Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes16.98.1¢15¢$3+$1
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Yes123.512¢2.0¢$3-$13
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes1222.3¢2.1¢$3-$0
Will Lindsey Graham be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Yes23716¢1.1¢$2-$36
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Yes4522.3¢0.5¢$2-$8
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.8¢0.1¢$2-$10
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$9
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$9
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$9
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$9
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$9
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$9
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$9
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$9
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$9
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$9
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$9
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$9
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$9
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes141.67.0¢1.7¢$2-$7
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?Yes225.12.3¢1.1¢$2-$3
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31?Yes13.724¢18¢$2-$1
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?Yes328.33.1¢0.7¢$2-$8
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?Yes186.85.8¢1.3¢$2-$8
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes970.52.4¢0.2¢$2-$20
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1.6K3.0¢0.1¢$2-$45
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?Yes6921¢3.5¢$2-$12
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?Yes2023¢12¢$2-$2
Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?No4.252¢57¢$2+$0
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?Yes44.84.6¢5.3¢$2+$0
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.6K0.9¢0.1¢$2-$12
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?Yes116.15.0¢2.0¢$2-$3
Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?Yes1193.5¢2.0¢$2-$2
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Yes80.67.1¢2.9¢$2-$3
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes65.16.3¢3.6¢$2-$2
Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?No31.63.5¢7.5¢$2+$1
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes4318¢5.5¢$2-$5
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Yes674.69.9¢0.3¢$2-$64
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes903.1¢2.6¢$2-$0
Will Discord’s market cap be between $14B and $17B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes599.3¢4.0¢$2-$3
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1371.8¢1.7¢$2-$0
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026?Yes2915¢8.0¢$2-$2
Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by November 30, 2026?Yes10.611¢22¢$2+$1
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.3¢$2-$3
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes1.1K8.8¢0.2¢$2-$99
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Yes228.2¢10¢$2+$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes457.112¢0.5¢$2-$51
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?Yes113.51.6¢2.0¢$2+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?No66.37.2¢3.4¢$2-$3
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.5K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$8
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?Yes294.34.4¢0.7¢$2-$11
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?Yes259.64.7¢0.8¢$2-$10
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes8803.1¢0.3¢$2-$25
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes7332.0¢0.3¢$2-$13
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.5K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$8
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes3383.5¢0.6¢$2-$10
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?Yes73.75.4¢2.9¢$2-$2
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?Yes155.14.1¢1.4¢$2-$4
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.4K0.6¢0.1¢$2-$7
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes89.49.0¢2.4¢$2-$6
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$14
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$14
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?Yes105.31.9¢2.0¢$2+$0
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes200.546¢1.0¢$2-$90
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes4.2K1.9¢0.0¢$2-$78
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes303.6¢7.0¢$2+$1
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?Yes67.53.6¢3.0¢$2-$0
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?No2.556¢83¢$2+$1
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes8212¢2.5¢$2-$8
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes468.3¢4.5¢$2-$2
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes79.97.1¢2.5¢$2-$4
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?Yes2.454¢85¢$2+$1
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?Yes1409.6¢1.5¢$2-$11
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes1762.8¢1.1¢$2-$3
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes4K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$27
Romanian parliament dissolved by December 31?Yes16120¢1.3¢$2-$31
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.3K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$8
Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes1291.5¢1.6¢$2+$0
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes13319¢1.5¢$2-$23
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.3K0.6¢0.1¢$2-$6
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?Yes10.918¢18¢$2+$0
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3602.8¢0.5¢$2-$8
Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes80.63.4¢2.4¢$2-$1
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes3.9K0.7¢0.0¢$2-$25
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes24.638¢8.0¢$2-$7
Will Syria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes224.1¢8.9¢$2+$1
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes3.9K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$25
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes3.9K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$25
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes3.9K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$25
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes3.9K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$25
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes3.9K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$25
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes3.9K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$25
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes3.9K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$25
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Yes3724¢5.3¢$2-$7
Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1.3K1.4¢0.1¢$2-$16
Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Yes306.1¢6.5¢$2+$0
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No672¢33¢$2-$2
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?Yes204.26.7¢0.9¢$2-$12
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?No295¢96¢$2+$0
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.3¢$2-$4
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.3¢$2-$4
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Yes770.76.7¢0.2¢$2-$49
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?No2.344¢82¢$2+$1
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes60.89.1¢3.1¢$2-$4
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes33.37.0¢5.8¢$2-$0
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 31, 2026?No227¢96¢$2+$1
Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Yes2111.8¢0.9¢$2-$2
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?Yes16.32.3¢12¢$2+$2
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Yes2116¢9.0¢$2-$1
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Yes59.55.3¢3.1¢$2-$1
Will Discord’s market cap be $20B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes599.3¢3.1¢$2-$4
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes721¢26¢$2+$0
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?Yes6.712¢27¢$2+$1
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2026?No1.996¢97¢$2+$0
Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes945.3¢1.9¢$2-$3
Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes337.5¢5.4¢$2-$1
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes288.1¢6.3¢$2-$0
Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes77.22.3¢2.3¢$2+$0
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes653¢30¢$2-$1
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes141.22.6¢1.3¢$2-$2
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1.2K1.7¢0.1¢$2-$18
Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary?No1.897¢98¢$2+$0
Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?Yes359.0¢5.0¢$2-$1
Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes54.641¢3.2¢$2-$21
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?Yes4933.3¢0.4¢$2-$15
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% before 2027?No1517¢11¢$2-$1
Will Đuro Macut be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes3.4K1.2¢0.1¢$2-$40
Will Branimir Jovanović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes3.4K1.2¢0.1¢$2-$40
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes2433.0¢0.7¢$2-$6
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?Yes33.86.9¢5.0¢$2-$1
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$10
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$10
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$2-$10
Hurupay FDV above $40M one day after launch?Yes47.26.7¢3.5¢$2-$2
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?No534¢33¢$2-$0
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Yes573.4¢2.8¢$2-$0
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes461.22.9¢0.3¢$2-$12
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Yes7021¢2.3¢$2-$13
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes18.88.0¢8.5¢$2+$0
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes151.83.1¢1.0¢$2-$3
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Yes56.812¢2.8¢$2-$5
Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?Yes62.46.0¢2.5¢$2-$2
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?Yes195.5¢8.3¢$2+$1
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes43.415¢3.6¢$2-$5
Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?Yes10.916¢14¢$2-$0
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Yes90.22.3¢1.7¢$2-$0
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Yes7148¢2.2¢$2-$33
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be $2.50T or more?Yes1959.9¢0.8¢$2-$18
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in February 2027 (ET)?Yes3464.6¢0.4¢$2-$14
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?Yes257.77.9¢0.6¢$2-$19
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?Yes810.0¢1.9¢$2+$2
Will Aviv Kohavi be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1K2.8¢0.1¢$2-$27
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes3.1K1.7¢0.0¢$2-$51
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?Yes405.1¢3.8¢$2-$1
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Yes3716¢4.0¢$1-$4
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?Yes553.9¢2.7¢$1-$1
Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?Yes60.25.0¢2.4¢$1-$2
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Yes2651.5¢0.5¢$1-$3
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes2.9K1.7¢0.1¢$1-$47
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes2.9K1.7¢0.1¢$1-$47
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes2.9K1.7¢0.1¢$1-$47
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes2.9K1.7¢0.1¢$1-$47
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes2.9K1.7¢0.1¢$1-$47
Will Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes17.42.1¢8.3¢$1+$1
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.4K0.6¢0.1¢$1-$8
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.4K0.6¢0.1¢$1-$8
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.4K0.6¢0.1¢$1-$8
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.4K0.6¢0.1¢$1-$8
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.4K0.6¢0.1¢$1-$8
Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.4K0.6¢0.1¢$1-$8
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.4K0.6¢0.1¢$1-$8
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.4K0.6¢0.1¢$1-$8
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.4K0.6¢0.1¢$1-$8
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.4K0.6¢0.1¢$1-$8
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.4K0.6¢0.1¢$1-$8
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.4K0.6¢0.1¢$1-$8
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.4K0.6¢0.1¢$1-$8
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.4K0.6¢0.1¢$1-$8
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.4K0.6¢0.1¢$1-$8
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.4K0.6¢0.1¢$1-$8
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.4K0.6¢0.1¢$1-$8
Will Film/TV production expensing become law this year?Yes31.22.0¢4.6¢$1+$1
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?Yes41.329¢3.4¢$1-$10
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes474.514¢0.3¢$1-$63
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes189.73.1¢0.7¢$1-$4
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Yes221.8¢6.5¢$1+$1
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?Yes3516¢4.0¢$1-$4
Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No1.877¢81¢$1+$0
Will Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes599.3¢2.4¢$1-$4
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Yes4044.4¢0.4¢$1-$16
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1.4K2.6¢0.1¢$1-$35
Will Lionel Messi win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes2121.3¢0.7¢$1-$1
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?Yes46.48.0¢2.9¢$1-$2
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Yes35.39.0¢3.8¢$1-$2
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes49.832¢2.7¢$1-$15
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?Yes5353.3¢0.3¢$1-$16
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes25.95.6¢5.1¢$1-$0
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?Yes49.13.2¢2.7¢$1-$0
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes912.7¢1.5¢$1-$1
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?Yes43.84.7¢3.0¢$1-$1
Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes612.3¢2.1¢$1-$0
Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez before 2027?Yes50.43.8¢2.6¢$1-$1
Will Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1.3K1.4¢0.1¢$1-$17
Will Santiago Rosendo Abarca León win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1.3K1.4¢0.1¢$1-$17
Will Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1.3K1.4¢0.1¢$1-$17
Will Segundo Valdez Zavala win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1.3K1.4¢0.1¢$1-$17
Will Samir Frank Quispe Caballero win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1.3K1.4¢0.1¢$1-$17
Will Yehude Simón Munaro win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1.3K1.4¢0.1¢$1-$17
Will Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1.3K1.4¢0.1¢$1-$17
Will Flor de María Hurtado Valdez win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1.3K1.4¢0.1¢$1-$17
Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1.3K1.4¢0.1¢$1-$17
Will Jessica Viviana Linares Romero win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1.3K1.4¢0.1¢$1-$17
Will Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1.3K1.4¢0.1¢$1-$17
Will Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1.3K1.4¢0.1¢$1-$17
Will Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1.3K1.4¢0.1¢$1-$17
Will Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1.3K1.4¢0.1¢$1-$17
Will Sandro Caller Gutiérrez win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1.3K1.4¢0.1¢$1-$17
Will Rubén José Ramírez Mateo win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1.3K1.4¢0.1¢$1-$17
Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1.3K1.4¢0.1¢$1-$17
Will Heidi Alexander be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Yes8911¢1.5¢$1-$9
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?Yes36.915¢3.5¢$1-$4
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Yes19.718¢6.5¢$1-$2
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Yes46.619¢2.7¢$1-$8
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?Yes59.68.6¢2.1¢$1-$4
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026?Yes282.1¢4.5¢$1+$1
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?Yes176.23.3¢0.7¢$1-$5
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes817.812¢0.1¢$1-$100
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes315.7¢3.9¢$1-$1
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?Yes4892.3¢0.3¢$1-$10
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No423¢30¢$1+$0
Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?Yes2426¢5.0¢$1-$5
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?Yes4844.2¢0.3¢$1-$19
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T?Yes10.68.7¢11¢$1+$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Yes4813.3¢0.3¢$1-$15
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Yes5.532¢22¢$1-$1
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes226.9¢5.4¢$1-$0
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes4723.9¢0.3¢$1-$17
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes4723.9¢0.3¢$1-$17
Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes1122.4¢1.1¢$1-$1
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes2.3K3.0¢0.0¢$1-$69
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes37.53.5¢3.1¢$1-$0
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3322.8¢0.4¢$1-$8
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.1¢$1-$5
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.1¢$1-$5
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.1¢$1-$5
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.1¢$1-$5
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.1¢$1-$5
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.1¢$1-$5
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.1¢$1-$5
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.1¢$1-$5
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?Yes4634.4¢0.3¢$1-$19
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?Yes4634.4¢0.3¢$1-$19
Will The Pitt be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Yes18.88.2¢6.1¢$1-$0
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes20.13.1¢5.7¢$1+$1
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?Yes595.0¢1.9¢$1-$2
Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2814¢4.0¢$1-$3
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?No279.0¢4.1¢$1-$1
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Yes100.43.6¢1.1¢$1-$3
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?Yes452.3¢2.5¢$1+$0
Will Anthropic IPO on November 17, 2026?Yes246.1¢4.5¢$1-$0
Marco Rubio 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?Yes224.1¢5.0¢$1+$0
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026?No12.83.4¢8.5¢$1+$1
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.4¢$1-$4
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7180.7¢0.1¢$1-$4
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes38.45.0¢2.8¢$1-$1
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026?Yes17.34.3¢6.2¢$1+$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?Yes5353.3¢0.2¢$1-$17
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.0¢$1-$15
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.0¢$1-$15
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.0¢$1-$15
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.0¢$1-$15
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.0¢$1-$15
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.0¢$1-$15
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.0¢$1-$15
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.0¢$1-$15
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.0¢$1-$15
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.0¢$1-$15
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.0¢$1-$15
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.0¢$1-$15
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.0¢$1-$15
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.0¢$1-$15
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.0¢$1-$15
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.0¢$1-$15
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.0¢$1-$15
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.0¢$1-$15
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.0¢$1-$15
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.0¢$1-$15
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.1K0.7¢0.0¢$1-$15
Will Discord’s market cap be between $5B and $8B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes599.3¢1.8¢$1-$4
Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes201.0¢5.3¢$1+$1
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Yes78.33.1¢1.3¢$1-$1
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes420.70.7¢0.2¢$1-$2
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Yes40.33.4¢2.6¢$1-$0
Will Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes261.54.3¢0.4¢$1-$10
Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?Yes2315¢4.5¢$1-$2
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Yes225.5¢4.7¢$1-$0
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?No5916¢1.8¢$1-$8
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?Yes2063.3¢0.5¢$1-$6
Will Te Pāti Māori win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes2K1.3¢0.1¢$1-$26
Will Green Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes2K1.3¢0.1¢$1-$26
Will ACT New Zealand win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes2K1.3¢0.1¢$1-$26
Will New Zealand First Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes2K1.3¢0.1¢$1-$26
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 20, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.7¢$1-$1
Will Eli Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1K2.8¢0.1¢$1-$28
Will Daniel Hagari be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1K2.8¢0.1¢$1-$28
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?Yes18.413¢5.5¢$1-$1
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes3227¢3.1¢$1-$8
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 58% or higher?No3325¢3.0¢$1-$7
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 12, 2026?Yes671.4¢1.5¢$1+$0
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes46.41.6¢2.1¢$1+$0
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 18-20%?No198¢100¢$1+$0
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Yes1821¢5.5¢$1-$3
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes903.1¢1.1¢$1-$2
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?No174¢99¢$1+$0
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?Yes4892.3¢0.2¢$1-$10
Will Yair Golan be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Yes5.610¢17¢$1+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WV-02 House seat?No198¢100¢$1+$0
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes2K2.1¢0.1¢$1-$40
Obama arrested before 2027?No194¢99¢$1+$0
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes30.83.0¢3.1¢$1+$0
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?No196¢97¢$1+$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes14816¢0.7¢$1-$23
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 47 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No194¢100¢$1+$0
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Yes37.47.5¢2.5¢$1-$2
Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes5.259¢18¢$1-$2
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes1.9K2.3¢0.0¢$1-$43
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No192¢100¢$1+$0
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?No193¢98¢$1+$0
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes0.993¢100¢$1+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?No0.998¢100¢$1+$0
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes903.1¢1.1¢$1-$2
US x China Military clash before 2027?No191¢98¢$1+$0
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes23.616¢4.0¢$1-$3
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No0.974¢100¢$1+$0
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes991.6¢0.9¢$1-$1
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes27.16.1¢3.4¢$1-$1
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?No140¢93¢$1+$1
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes373.70.7¢0.2¢$1-$2
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?Yes2075.3¢0.4¢$1-$10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?Yes4.326¢22¢$1-$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?No0.964¢100¢$1+$0
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?Yes4017¢2.3¢$1-$6
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?No0.996¢100¢$1+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?Yes0.994¢100¢$1+$0
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3602.8¢0.3¢$1-$9
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3602.8¢0.3¢$1-$9
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3602.8¢0.3¢$1-$9
Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026?No0.984¢100¢$1+$0
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?No0.994¢98¢$1+$0
Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?No0.997¢96¢$1-$0
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?No0.991¢100¢$1+$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Yes594.4¢1.5¢$1-$2
Will Lamine Yamal be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No0.969¢99¢$1+$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No0.996¢98¢$1+$0
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Yes51.16.0¢1.7¢$1-$2
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Natacha Polony win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Anasse Kazib win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Sylvain Durif win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$12
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)?Yes3464.6¢0.3¢$1-$15
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes513¢17¢$1+$0
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No0.974¢97¢$1+$0
Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No0.959¢100¢$1+$0
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No0.998¢99¢$1+$0
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?Yes184.4¢4.7¢$1+$0
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?No0.966¢95¢$1+$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes337.34.4¢0.2¢$1-$14
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?No0.996¢97¢$1+$0
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes2211¢3.8¢$1-$1
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-06 House seat?No0.897¢100¢$1+$0
Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?No0.894¢98¢$1+$0
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?No0.989¢92¢$1+$0
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?Yes2011¢4.2¢$1-$1
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Yes0.876¢100¢$1+$0
Will Otzma win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No0.850¢100¢$1+$0
Will Anthropic IPO on November 23, 2026?Yes246.1¢3.5¢$1-$1
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$11
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$11
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$11
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$11
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$11
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$11
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$11
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$11
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$11
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$11
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?Yes21.47.3¢3.8¢$1-$1
Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?No0.998¢95¢$1-$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?Yes3294.4¢0.3¢$1-$14
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-36 House seat?No0.892¢100¢$1+$0
Will EUR/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026?Yes174.7¢4.8¢$1+$0
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No0.895¢98¢$1+$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?Yes538.83.3¢0.1¢$1-$17
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?Yes2025.3¢0.4¢$1-$10
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1.6K3.0¢0.1¢$1-$47
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1.6K3.0¢0.1¢$1-$47
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1.6K3.0¢0.1¢$1-$47
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1.6K3.0¢0.1¢$1-$47
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1.6K3.0¢0.1¢$1-$47
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?Yes43.53.1¢1.8¢$1-$1
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5360.7¢0.1¢$1-$3
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?Yes5353.3¢0.1¢$1-$17
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?Yes5353.3¢0.1¢$1-$17
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?Yes5353.3¢0.1¢$1-$17
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?Yes2290.0¢0.4¢$1+$1
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No0.896¢100¢$1+$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No0.898¢99¢$1+$0
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes40.22.2¢1.9¢$1-$0
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?No433¢20¢$1-$1
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No36.28.2¢2.1¢$1-$2
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026?No0.897¢100¢$1+$0
Will Zoran Tegeltija be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes4723¢1.7¢$1-$10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No0.974¢88¢$1+$0
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No0.892¢99¢$1+$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes0.896¢100¢$1+$0
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?No0.894¢98¢$1+$0
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No0.849¢94¢$1+$0
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes903.1¢0.9¢$1-$2
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?No0.897¢99¢$1+$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No0.891¢98¢$1+$0
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?No0.988¢88¢$1-$0
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes201.0¢3.8¢$1+$1
China coup attempt before 2027?No0.896¢98¢$1+$0
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No0.878¢100¢$1+$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat?Yes5003.2¢0.1¢$1-$15
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes1.5K20¢0.1¢$1-$303
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?No0.890¢93¢$1+$0
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes1.5K20¢0.1¢$1-$301
StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes124.130¢0.6¢$1-$37
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 140 million views on week 1?No0.794¢100¢$1+$0
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?No0.793¢99¢$1+$0
Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes20.81.1¢3.5¢$1+$1
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes599.3¢1.3¢$1-$5
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No0.798¢100¢$1+$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?No0.771¢100¢$1+$0
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Yes8.242¢9.0¢$1-$3
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?Yes4892.3¢0.1¢$1-$11
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?Yes4892.3¢0.1¢$1-$11
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes487.92.5¢0.1¢$1-$12
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?No0.868¢95¢$1+$0
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 16, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.5¢$1-$1
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 21, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.5¢$1-$1
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?No394.4¢1.8¢$1-$1
Will Santander fail by end of 2026?Yes651.8¢1.1¢$1-$0
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No0.795¢96¢$1+$0
Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?No0.741¢100¢$1+$0
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes4723.9¢0.1¢$1-$17
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes471.23.9¢0.1¢$1-$17
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No0.873¢94¢$1+$0
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes2001.7¢0.3¢$1-$3
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?No0.752¢100¢$1+$0
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Yes4634.4¢0.1¢$1-$20
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?Yes4634.4¢0.1¢$1-$20
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?Yes4634.4¢0.1¢$1-$20
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?Yes4634.4¢0.1¢$1-$20
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?Yes4634.4¢0.1¢$1-$20
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?Yes4634.4¢0.1¢$1-$20
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes1.4K2.7¢0.1¢$1-$37
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?Yes3464.6¢0.2¢$1-$15
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?No0.796¢100¢$1+$0
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes5.613¢12¢$1-$0
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No0.789¢97¢$1+$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes474.8¢1.5¢$1-$2
Will Venezuela become 51st state?No0.794¢99¢$1+$0
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No0.737¢100¢$1+$0
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No0.797¢100¢$1+$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No0.844¢86¢$1+$0
Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes1.3K2.8¢0.1¢$1-$37
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No0.763¢91¢$1+$0
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?No1.3K5.2¢0.0¢$1-$68
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?No0.795¢100¢$1+$0
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes2621.6¢0.2¢$1-$3
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?No0.795¢98¢$1+$0
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?No0.794¢97¢$1+$0
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?Yes425.3¢1.5¢$1-$2
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Yes260.31.6¢0.2¢$1-$4
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No0.796¢100¢$1+$0
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?No0.697¢100¢$1+$0
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes2.224¢29¢$1+$0
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?No0.795¢95¢$1+$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Yes9.212¢7.0¢$1-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?Yes0.635¢100¢$1+$0
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes3215¢2.0¢$1-$4
Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?Yes3193.5¢0.2¢$1-$11
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes255.9¢2.5¢$1-$1
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?No0.695¢100¢$1+$0
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1.3K2.6¢0.0¢$1-$32
Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1.3K1.6¢0.0¢$1-$20
Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1.3K1.6¢0.0¢$1-$20
Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1.3K1.6¢0.0¢$1-$20
Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1.3K1.6¢0.0¢$1-$20
Will Juanma Moreno be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1.3K1.6¢0.0¢$1-$20
Will Félix Bolaños be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1.3K1.6¢0.0¢$1-$20
Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1.3K1.6¢0.0¢$1-$20
Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1.3K1.6¢0.0¢$1-$20
Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1.3K1.6¢0.0¢$1-$20
Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1.3K1.6¢0.0¢$1-$20
Will Emiliano García-Page be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1.3K1.6¢0.0¢$1-$20
Will Salvador Illa be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1.3K1.6¢0.0¢$1-$20
Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1.3K1.6¢0.0¢$1-$20
Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1.3K1.6¢0.0¢$1-$20
Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1.3K1.6¢0.0¢$1-$20
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?Yes194.4¢3.3¢$1-$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?No0.736¢96¢$1+$0
Will Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Yes401.7¢1.6¢$1-$0
Human moon landing in 2026?No0.697¢99¢$1+$0
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + NZF?Yes655.4¢0.9¢$1-$3
Will Jalen Hurts win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes1122.4¢0.5¢$1-$2
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?No68.413¢0.9¢$1-$8
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?Yes31.42.2¢1.9¢$1-$0
Will Taylor Rogers be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes201.0¢3.0¢$1+$0
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?Yes9.49.8¢6.5¢$1-$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes1.2K1.6¢0.1¢$1-$19
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?No0.695¢98¢$1+$0
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?Yes1721.9¢0.4¢$1-$3
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?No0.793¢92¢$1-$0
Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes921.5¢0.7¢$1-$1
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes5.18.0¢12¢$1+$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?Yes1.2K6.7¢0.1¢$1-$77
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?Yes1.2K6.7¢0.1¢$1-$77
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?Yes1.2K6.7¢0.1¢$1-$77
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?Yes1.2K6.7¢0.1¢$1-$77
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?Yes1.2K6.7¢0.1¢$1-$77
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?Yes1.2K6.7¢0.1¢$1-$77
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?Yes1.2K6.7¢0.1¢$1-$77
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?Yes1.2K6.7¢0.1¢$1-$77
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 15, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.4¢$1-$1
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?Yes1.2K6.7¢0.1¢$1-$77
Ebola pandemic in 2026?No0.697¢99¢$1+$0
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No0.695¢100¢$1+$0
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No0.697¢98¢$1+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?No67.23.1¢0.8¢$1-$2
Will Beni Rae Harmony be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes201.0¢2.9¢$1+$0
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes0.61.7¢92¢$1+$1
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No4234¢1.4¢$1-$14
Will GBP/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026?Yes5.96.0¢9.6¢$1+$0
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?Yes102.56.3¢0.5¢$1-$6
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%?Yes46.99.5¢1.2¢$1-$4
Will the Republican Party win the NE-02 House seat?No0.683¢100¢$1+$0
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes373.70.7¢0.1¢$1-$2
Saudi troops enter Sanaa by December 31, 2026?Yes6.97.0¢8.0¢$1+$0
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No0.697¢98¢$1+$0
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes365.512¢0.1¢$1-$44
Revolut IPO before 2027?Yes1513¢3.6¢$1-$1
Will Scott Colom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.1K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$7
Will Adam Hamilton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.1K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$7
Will Shawn Fain win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.1K0.7¢0.1¢$1-$7
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No0.698¢98¢$1+$0
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3602.8¢0.1¢$1-$9
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Yes222.5¢2.5¢$1-$0
Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey before 2027?Yes166.1¢3.4¢$1-$0
Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?No0.589¢99¢$1+$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No0.594¢100¢$1+$0
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?No0.594¢99¢$1+$0
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes203.8¢2.6¢$1-$0
Will Karina Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes2121.3¢0.3¢$1-$2
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?No0.588¢100¢$1+$0
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?No0.551¢100¢$1+$0
Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?No0.591¢100¢$1+$0
Will Anthropic IPO on November 16, 2026?Yes25.54.6¢2.0¢$1-$1
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?No0.693¢95¢$1+$0
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?Yes3464.6¢0.1¢$1-$15
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?Yes2075.3¢0.3¢$1-$11
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?Yes2075.3¢0.3¢$1-$11
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?Yes2075.3¢0.3¢$1-$11
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?Yes2075.3¢0.3¢$1-$11
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes25.22.3¢2.0¢$1-$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes1K3.0¢0.0¢$1-$30
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 27, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.4¢$1-$2
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes109.8¢5.1¢$1-$0
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT?Yes285.4¢1.8¢$1-$1
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No0.633¢87¢$1+$0
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?Yes0.584¢100¢$1+$0
Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?No0.592¢100¢$1+$0
Will Somalia join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes13.38.0¢3.7¢$0-$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes323.3¢1.6¢$0-$1
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes302.2¢1.7¢$0-$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?No0.589¢95¢$0+$0
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?No970.766¢0.0¢$0-$643
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1800.00 and 1899.99 at the end of December 2026?No0.575¢93¢$0+$0
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No0.572¢92¢$0+$0
US strike on Mexico by December 31?No0.580¢97¢$0+$0
Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes201.0¢2.4¢$0+$0
Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026?Yes248.8¢2.0¢$0-$2
Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No0.590¢100¢$0+$0
Anthropic acquired before 2027?Yes333.2¢1.5¢$0-$1
Will Trevor Lawrence win the 2026 NFL MVP?No0.591¢90¢$0-$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?Yes9491.4¢0.1¢$0-$13
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?Yes9491.4¢0.1¢$0-$13
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No0.582¢86¢$0+$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Yes315.34.9¢0.1¢$0-$15
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 9%-12%?Yes157.56.3¢0.3¢$0-$10
Will South African inflation be between 2.6% and 2.9% in 2026?Yes42.95.9¢1.1¢$0-$2
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 100 and 120 million views on week 1?No0.594¢100¢$0+$0
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 9, 2026?Yes521.4¢0.9¢$0-$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?Yes28.96.2¢1.6¢$0-$1
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No0.597¢100¢$0+$0
Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes201.0¢2.3¢$0+$0
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes7.121¢6.5¢$0-$1
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 23, 2026?No0.593¢100¢$0+$0
Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes1531.5¢0.3¢$0-$2
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Yes33.92.5¢1.3¢$0-$0
Will Anthropic IPO on November 25, 2026?No0.555¢99¢$0+$0
Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?Yes213.5¢2.1¢$0-$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Yes431.6¢1.1¢$0-$0
New pandemic in 2026?No0.596¢98¢$0+$0
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?Yes223.9¢2.1¢$0-$0
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes120.7¢3.8¢$0+$0
Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes201.0¢2.3¢$0+$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?No0.595¢100¢$0+$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes897.61.8¢0.0¢$0-$16
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?No0.492¢100¢$0+$0
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes7.34.6¢6.0¢$0+$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?Yes6.78.0¢6.6¢$0-$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes8851.0¢0.0¢$0-$8
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?No94.0¢4.9¢$0+$0
Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes201.0¢2.2¢$0+$0
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?Yes818¢5.5¢$0-$1
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 19, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.3¢$0-$2
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%?Yes308.5¢1.5¢$0-$2
Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?Yes37.72.7¢1.1¢$0-$1
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes221.9¢1.9¢$0+$0
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes27.42.3¢1.5¢$0-$0
Will Juan Schiaretti win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes2121.3¢0.2¢$0-$2
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?Yes19.713¢2.1¢$0-$2
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?Yes31.26.2¢1.3¢$0-$2
Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Yes3124¢1.4¢$0-$7
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Yes1675.2¢0.3¢$0-$8
Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election?No0.574¢77¢$0+$0
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?No0.496¢99¢$0+$0
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?No0.497¢100¢$0+$0
Gavin Newsom 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?Yes224.1¢1.8¢$0-$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No0.494¢100¢$0+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?Yes202.77.2¢0.2¢$0-$14
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes114.36.4¢0.3¢$0-$7
Will Spencer Pratt be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes201.0¢2.0¢$0+$0
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes1011¢4.0¢$0-$1
Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?Yes2651.5¢0.1¢$0-$4
Richard Madden announced as next James Bond?Yes2651.5¢0.1¢$0-$4
Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?Yes2651.5¢0.1¢$0-$4
James Norton announced as next James Bond?Yes2651.5¢0.1¢$0-$4
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Yes221.8¢1.8¢$0-$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?No0.497¢100¢$0+$0
Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No0.481¢100¢$0+$0
Will Baker Mayfield win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes2622.9¢0.1¢$0-$7
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?No0.495¢100¢$0+$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes7840.3¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Anthropic by December 31?No0.495¢98¢$0+$0
Will the Republican Party and Democratic Party hold the same number of governorships after the midterms?No0.490¢100¢$0+$0
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7730.7¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes222.1¢1.8¢$0-$0
Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Yes69.97.0¢0.5¢$0-$5
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo0.498¢100¢$0+$0
Will Hogan Gidley be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes201.0¢1.9¢$0+$0
Glean IPO before 2027?Yes2716¢1.4¢$0-$4
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Yes0.425¢100¢$0+$0
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No0.491¢95¢$0+$0
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No0.489¢99¢$0+$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No0.495¢98¢$0+$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No0.487¢98¢$0+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?No0.498¢100¢$0+$0
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?Yes179.2¢2.1¢$0-$1
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 18, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.3¢$0-$2
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 26, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.3¢$0-$2
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 24, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.3¢$0-$2
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 25, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.3¢$0-$2
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?Yes72.96.6¢0.5¢$0-$4
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?No0.650¢56¢$0+$0
Modi out by December 31, 2026?No0.497¢99¢$0+$0
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Yes91.6¢4.0¢$0+$0
Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?Yes222.1¢1.6¢$0-$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?No0.495¢92¢$0-$0
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?Yes2290.0¢0.1¢$0+$0
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?Yes2290.0¢0.1¢$0+$0
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Yes222.5¢1.6¢$0-$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?No6812.2¢0.0¢$0-$15
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No0.393¢99¢$0+$0
Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes1122.4¢0.3¢$0-$2
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?No670.554¢0.0¢$0-$362
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?No0.470¢96¢$0+$0
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Yes231.9¢1.5¢$0-$0
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?No0.398¢100¢$0+$0
Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?Yes10.98.0¢3.0¢$0-$1
Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes8.56.0¢3.9¢$0-$0
Will Lauren Bis be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes201.0¢1.7¢$0+$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes1326.0¢0.3¢$0-$8
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Yes17.87.8¢1.8¢$0-$1
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes26.44.2¢1.3¢$0-$1
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?Yes734.3¢0.4¢$0-$3
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No0.395¢97¢$0+$0
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori + NZF?Yes655.4¢0.5¢$0-$3
OPEC dissolves in 2026?Yes191.6¢1.7¢$0+$0
Will Facundo Manes win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes2121.3¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes2121.3¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes2121.3¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will Nicolás del Caño win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes2121.3¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will Esteban Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes2121.3¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will Alberto Fernández win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes2121.3¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?No2512¢1.2¢$0-$3
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?Yes912¢3.5¢$0-$1
Will Laura Loomer be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes201.0¢1.6¢$0+$0
Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes11.97.1¢2.6¢$0-$1
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No0.398¢100¢$0+$0
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?No0.396¢100¢$0+$0
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes552.0¢0.5¢$0-$1
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No0.396¢97¢$0+$0
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 30, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.2¢$0-$2
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 23, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.2¢$0-$2
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?No0.389¢97¢$0+$0
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Yes11.92.9¢2.4¢$0-$0
Will Lara Trump be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes201.0¢1.5¢$0+$0
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes164.3¢1.8¢$0-$0
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?Yes13.12.9¢2.2¢$0-$0
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Yes183.9¢1.6¢$0-$0
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?No0.490¢70¢$0-$0
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes37.70.7¢0.7¢$0+$0
Will Bo Nix win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes1122.4¢0.3¢$0-$2
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Yes3.78.0¢7.5¢$0-$0
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?No0.366¢96¢$0+$0
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?Yes192.4¢1.5¢$0-$0
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?No0.392¢100¢$0+$0
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No0.390¢87¢$0-$0
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?No0.361¢96¢$0+$0
Will James Fishback win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5360.7¢0.1¢$0-$4
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5360.7¢0.1¢$0-$4
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?Yes5353.3¢0.1¢$0-$17
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?Yes5353.3¢0.1¢$0-$17
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?Yes5353.3¢0.1¢$0-$17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No0.397¢100¢$0+$0
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?No0.394¢96¢$0+$0
Will Kendrick Lamar be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Yes4.34.1¢6.0¢$0+$0
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes400.6¢0.7¢$0+$0
Will Katie Pavlich be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes201.0¢1.3¢$0+$0
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No0.372¢76¢$0+$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes341.3¢0.8¢$0-$0
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?No0.389¢95¢$0+$0
Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?No0.374¢75¢$0+$0
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?No0.393¢98¢$0+$0
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 7.0% and 8.0%?Yes4892.3¢0.1¢$0-$11
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?Yes4892.3¢0.1¢$0-$11
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?Yes9.22.3¢2.6¢$0+$0
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Yes221.8¢1.1¢$0-$0
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes96.12.5¢0.3¢$0-$2
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?Yes119.86.3¢0.2¢$0-$7
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?Yes478.45.7¢0.0¢$0-$27
Canva IPO before 2027?Yes8.26.0¢2.9¢$0-$0
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes4723.9¢0.1¢$0-$18
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes4723.9¢0.1¢$0-$18
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes4723.9¢0.1¢$0-$18
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes4723.9¢0.1¢$0-$18
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes4723.9¢0.1¢$0-$18
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes4723.9¢0.1¢$0-$18
Will Mark Kelly be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes47115¢0.1¢$0-$69
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?Yes0.530¢47¢$0+$0
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Yes463.98.1¢0.0¢$0-$37
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?No0.296¢100¢$0+$0
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?Yes2290.0¢0.1¢$0+$0
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?Yes2290.0¢0.1¢$0+$0
Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026?Yes2290.0¢0.1¢$0+$0
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?Yes41.53.3¢0.5¢$0-$1
Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?No0.615¢38¢$0+$0
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Yes726¢3.2¢$0-$2
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?No0.563¢43¢$0-$0
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 13, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%?No0.298¢99¢$0+$0
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes5.48.0¢4.0¢$0-$0
Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes28.88.5¢0.7¢$0-$2
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 31, 2026?No0.279¢100¢$0+$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?No0.747¢33¢$0-$0
Will Dandelion (Ella Langley) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No0.294¢97¢$0+$0
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?Yes6.96.0¢3.1¢$0-$0
Will Anthropic IPO on November 27, 2026?Yes175.0¢1.3¢$0-$1
Will Guillermo Moreno win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes2121.3¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes2121.3¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will Máximo Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes2121.3¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Yes0.297¢100¢$0+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?Yes4155.7¢0.1¢$0-$24
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?Yes4105.6¢0.1¢$0-$23
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?Yes4105.6¢0.1¢$0-$23
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 6% or more?Yes4105.6¢0.1¢$0-$23
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?Yes4105.6¢0.1¢$0-$23
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?Yes4105.6¢0.1¢$0-$23
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?No0.284¢92¢$0+$0
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Yes402.63.3¢0.1¢$0-$13
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?No0.286¢100¢$0+$0
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes99.416¢0.2¢$0-$16
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?No182.6¢1.1¢$0-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?Yes3895.5¢0.1¢$0-$21
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No0.293¢97¢$0+$0
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes128.70.7¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by November 30, 2026?No0.256¢91¢$0+$0
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?No0.286¢100¢$0+$0
Will Yair Golan be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Yes221.8¢0.9¢$0-$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 15, 2026?No123.2¢1.5¢$0-$0
Will Washington Commanders win the 2026 NFC East?Yes1.97.2¢9.7¢$0+$0
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3602.8¢0.1¢$0-$10
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3602.8¢0.1¢$0-$10
Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3602.8¢0.1¢$0-$10
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3602.8¢0.1¢$0-$10
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3602.8¢0.1¢$0-$10
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?Yes3605.8¢0.1¢$0-$21
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Yes0.26.0¢75¢$0+$0
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?No139¢18¢$0-$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes396.4¢0.4¢$0-$2
Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi by November 30?Yes6.43.5¢2.7¢$0-$0
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2027 (ET)?Yes3464.6¢0.1¢$0-$16
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2027 (ET)?Yes3464.6¢0.1¢$0-$16
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in July 2027 (ET)?Yes3464.6¢0.1¢$0-$16
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2027 (ET)?Yes3464.6¢0.1¢$0-$16
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in August 2027 (ET)?Yes3464.6¢0.1¢$0-$16
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2027 (ET)?Yes3464.6¢0.1¢$0-$16
Greenland snap election called by December 31?Yes3.42.8¢5.1¢$0+$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes5.623¢3.1¢$0-$1
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No0.292¢100¢$0+$0
Will Vladan Petrov win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes685.6¢0.3¢$0-$4
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No0.273¢100¢$0+$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?No0.375¢67¢$0-$0
Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?Yes1123.9¢0.1¢$0-$4
Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes1122.4¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Yes1123.9¢0.1¢$0-$4
Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?No0.297¢98¢$0+$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?Yes662.7¢0.3¢$0-$2
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?Yes308.5¢0.5¢$0-$2
Will there be between 110m and 115m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Yes329.313¢0.0¢$0-$43
Will Ivica Dačić win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes461.3¢0.4¢$0-$0
Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes461.3¢0.4¢$0-$0
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No0.294¢95¢$0+$0
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?No0.298¢100¢$0+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-07 House seat?No312.42.8¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will South African inflation be between 2.9% and 3.2% in 2026?Yes248.8¢0.7¢$0-$2
Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?Yes227.0¢0.7¢$0-$1
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No0.295¢99¢$0+$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No0.272¢73¢$0+$0
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?No0.196¢100¢$0+$0
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?No294.828¢0.0¢$0-$83
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ARPC?No0.197¢100¢$0+$0
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 14, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.1¢$0-$2
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No0.243¢96¢$0+$0
Will Anthropic IPO on November 30, 2026?Yes246.1¢0.6¢$0-$1
Will there be no Gemini Carbon release by January 3, 2027?Yes1437.4¢0.1¢$0-$10
Will Blue and White be in the next Israeli government?Yes7.46.3¢1.9¢$0-$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?No0.191¢100¢$0+$0
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Yes6.97.2¢2.0¢$0-$0
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026?Yes69.58.7¢0.2¢$0-$6
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes39.42.3¢0.4¢$0-$1
Waymo IPO before 2027?Yes6.515¢2.1¢$0-$1
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?Yes308.5¢0.4¢$0-$2
Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond?Yes2651.5¢0.1¢$0-$4
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?Yes2651.5¢0.1¢$0-$4
Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?Yes2651.5¢0.1¢$0-$4
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?Yes2651.5¢0.1¢$0-$4
Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?Yes2651.5¢0.1¢$0-$4
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?Yes2651.5¢0.1¢$0-$4
Tom Blyth announced as next James Bond?Yes2651.5¢0.1¢$0-$4
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?Yes2651.5¢0.1¢$0-$4
James Collier announced as next James Bond?Yes2651.5¢0.1¢$0-$4
Timothee Chalamet announced as next James Bond?Yes2651.5¢0.1¢$0-$4
Michael B Jordan announced as next James Bond?Yes2651.5¢0.1¢$0-$4
Nicholas Galitzine announced as next James Bond?Yes2651.5¢0.1¢$0-$4
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No0.168¢95¢$0+$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Yes221.8¢0.6¢$0-$0
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No0.728¢19¢$0-$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 17, 2026?No0.196¢100¢$0+$0
Will Patty Murray be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes2605.7¢0.1¢$0-$15
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes2590.8¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes2590.8¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes2590.8¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes2590.8¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes2590.8¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes2590.8¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes2590.8¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes2590.8¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes2590.8¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes85.60.3¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?Yes24.1¢6.3¢$0+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?Yes255.22.4¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes511.4¢0.3¢$0-$1
Will South African inflation be between 3.2% and 3.5% in 2026?Yes31.78.5¢0.4¢$0-$3
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?No0.189¢100¢$0+$0
Will USD/KRW hit 2000 (High) in 2026?Yes5.89.8¢2.1¢$0-$0
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in South Africa by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Brazil by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in another European country by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in another country by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Hungary by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in China by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Russia by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Ukraine by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Germany by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in another Middle East/North Africa country by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Qatar by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Vatican City by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Italy by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Austria by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Slovakia by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Finland by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Belarus by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Kazakhstan by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in India by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Poland by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Serbia by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Azerbaijan by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Egypt by December 31, 2027?Yes2412.3¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes1.54.4¢8.0¢$0+$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?No0.183¢98¢$0+$0
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?Yes1123.9¢0.1¢$0-$4
Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes2226.9¢0.1¢$0-$15
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31?Yes0.818¢14¢$0-$0
Will Jake Paul be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes201.0¢0.5¢$0-$0
Will Kaelan Dorr be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes201.0¢0.5¢$0-$0
Kamala Harris 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?Yes224.1¢0.5¢$0-$1
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?No0.198¢99¢$0+$0
Anduril IPO before 2027?Yes628¢1.8¢$0-$2
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?No0.182¢100¢$0+$0
Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes130.6¢0.8¢$0+$0
Will US annex any territory in 2026?Yes3.23.4¢3.3¢$0-$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?Yes2075.3¢0.1¢$0-$11
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?Yes2075.3¢0.1¢$0-$11
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?Yes2.56.6¢4.2¢$0-$0
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?Yes6844¢0.1¢$0-$30
Will Jaxson Dart win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes672.3¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Pat Adams be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes201.0¢0.5¢$0-$0
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes400.6¢0.3¢$0-$0
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF + Maori?Yes655.4¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes194.213¢0.0¢$0-$26
Hurupay FDV above $30M one day after launch?Yes3.22.2¢2.9¢$0+$0
Will Olivia Rodrigo be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Yes16.93.6¢0.5¢$0-$1
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?Yes1.315¢7.0¢$0-$0
Will Yoram Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Yes221.8¢0.4¢$0-$0
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?Yes293.7¢0.3¢$0-$1
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Yes0.626¢15¢$0-$0
Will South African inflation be between 3.5% and 3.8% in 2026?Yes248.8¢0.4¢$0-$2
Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Yes2.76.3¢3.0¢$0-$0
Will Matthew Boyle be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes201.0¢0.4¢$0-$0
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes33.1¢2.6¢$0-$0
Will Bezalel Smotrich be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Yes221.8¢0.4¢$0-$0
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes511.4¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes511.4¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes0.910¢8.3¢$0-$0
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes6.310¢1.2¢$0-$1
Will LYON be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes252.5¢0.3¢$0-$1
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes14816¢0.1¢$0-$24
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes14816¢0.1¢$0-$24
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes14816¢0.1¢$0-$24
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 29, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 22, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 28, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will South African inflation be less than 2.6% in 2026?Yes248.8¢0.3¢$0-$2
Will Anthropic IPO on November 13, 2026 or earlier?Yes246.1¢0.3¢$0-$1
Will Gemini Carbon be released between December 28, 2026 and January 3, 2027?Yes1437.4¢0.1¢$0-$11
Will Gemini Carbon be released between December 21 and December 27, 2026?Yes1437.4¢0.1¢$0-$11
Will Gemini Carbon be released between December 7 and December 13, 2026?Yes1437.4¢0.1¢$0-$11
Will Gemini Carbon be released between December 14 and December 20, 2026?Yes1437.4¢0.1¢$0-$11
Will Vojislav Šešelj win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes461.3¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Zdravko Ponoš win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes461.3¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Srđan Milivojević win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes461.3¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Savo Manojlović win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes461.3¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Aleksandar Vučić win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes461.3¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Miroslav Aleksić win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes461.3¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Miloš Jovanović win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes461.3¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?Yes178.1¢0.4¢$0-$1
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes133.26.1¢0.0¢$0-$8
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 12% or more?Yes1326.0¢0.1¢$0-$8
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 9%-12%?Yes1326.0¢0.1¢$0-$8
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes1326.0¢0.1¢$0-$8
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes1326.0¢0.1¢$0-$8
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist in the US for 2026?Yes132.0¢0.5¢$0-$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No115¢6.8¢$0-$0
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Yes2.412¢2.6¢$0-$0
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?No0.234¢27¢$0-$0
Will Ari Fleischer be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes201.0¢0.3¢$0-$0
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?Yes5.77.1¢1.0¢$0-$0
Will Sam Darnold win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes1122.4¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will Justin Jefferson win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes1122.4¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will De'Von Achane win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes1122.4¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will Myles Garrett win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes1122.4¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will Saquon Barkley win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes1122.4¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will Derrick Henry win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes1122.4¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will Ja'Marr Chase win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes1122.4¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will Puka Nacua win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes1122.4¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will Bijan Robinson win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes1122.4¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Yes2.622¢2.1¢$0-$1
Will Eli Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Yes221.8¢0.3¢$0-$0
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes513¢1.1¢$0-$1
Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes20.83.0¢0.3¢$0-$1
Will Kush Desai be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes201.0¢0.3¢$0-$0
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANAI?Yes1005.0¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?Yes975.1¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?Yes975.1¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $APBC?Yes975.1¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?Yes975.1¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLD?Yes975.1¢0.1¢$0-$5
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes140¢4.5¢$0-$0
Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Yes221.8¢0.2¢$0-$0
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes17.51.7¢0.2¢$0-$0
Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes822.3¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Jessica Faircloth win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes822.3¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes822.3¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes822.3¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes822.3¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes822.3¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Lesil McGuire win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes822.3¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Gregg Brelsford win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes822.3¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes822.3¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes822.3¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes822.3¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Hank Kroll win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes822.3¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes822.3¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Destry J. Payne Sr. win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes822.3¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes822.3¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes822.3¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will DK be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes252.5¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will IG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes252.5¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will T1 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes252.5¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Matan Kahana be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Yes221.8¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Elazar Stern be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Yes221.8¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Amir Ohana be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Yes221.8¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Yes221.8¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Maori + NZF?Yes655.4¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National?Yes655.4¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + NZF?Yes655.4¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Maori?Yes655.4¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + NZF?Yes655.4¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour?Yes655.4¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes6511¢0.1¢$0-$7
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + Labour?Yes655.4¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + NZF + Maori?Yes655.4¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + Maori?Yes655.4¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + Maori?Yes655.4¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?No551¢0.6¢$0-$3
Will National Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes602.9¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Te Pāti Māori win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes602.9¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Labour Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes602.9¢0.1¢$0-$2
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?Yes0.612¢4.5¢$0-$0
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Yes21.8¢1.5¢$0-$0
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes18.19.9¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?Yes5422¢0.1¢$0-$12
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes532.0¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes532.0¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will EUR/USD hit 1.35 (High) in 2026?Yes5.78.0¢0.4¢$0-$0
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes511.4¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes511.4¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes511.4¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes511.4¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes511.4¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes511.4¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes511.4¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes511.4¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes511.4¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes511.4¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes511.4¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes511.4¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes511.4¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes511.4¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes5014¢0.1¢$0-$7
Will Branimir Nestorović win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes461.3¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Dragan Đilas win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes461.3¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes46.14.9¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Biljana Đorđević win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes461.3¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Miloš Parandilović win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes461.3¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes452.4¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes452.4¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Steffen Krach be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes92.9¢0.3¢$0-$0
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Yes2216¢0.1¢$0-$3
Will EUR/USD hit 1.26 (High) in 2026?Yes1.27.0¢1.8¢$0-$0
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Yes3.31.7¢0.6¢$0-$0
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes8.22.6¢0.3¢$0-$0
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes400.6¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes400.6¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes400.6¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes400.6¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes400.6¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?No0.53.9¢3.4¢$0-$0
Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes28.79.6¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 12%-15%?Yes2826¢0.1¢$0-$7
Will GAM be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes252.5¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Yes521¢0.3¢$0-$1
Will G2 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes252.5¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will TES be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes252.5¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will KC be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes252.5¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will AL be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes252.5¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will KT be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes252.5¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will FLY be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes252.5¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will JDG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes252.5¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will TLAW be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes252.5¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will WBG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes252.5¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will TSW be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes252.5¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will CFO be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes252.5¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will C9 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes252.5¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will NIP be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes252.5¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will MKOI be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes252.5¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will WE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes252.5¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will DCG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes252.5¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will BFX be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes252.5¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes246.2¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Yes230.5¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Yes230.5¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Yes230.5¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Yes230.5¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Yes230.5¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Yes230.5¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Billie Jean – Michael Jackson be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Yes230.5¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Swim – BTS be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Yes230.5¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Yes230.5¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Yes230.5¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Yes230.5¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?Yes2216¢0.1¢$0-$4
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?Yes2216¢0.1¢$0-$4
Will Benny Gantz be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Yes221.8¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Yang Chiung-ying win the next Taichung Mayor election?Yes202.5¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes18.61.7¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Kristin Brinker be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes92.9¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?Yes50.5¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes1512¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes1512¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026?Yes50.5¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Morgan Wallen be the top artist for 2026?Yes50.5¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026?Yes50.5¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes0.74.3¢0.9¢$0-$0
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist in the US for 2026?Yes132.0¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will The Weeknd be the top artist in the US for 2026?Yes132.0¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Chappell Roan be the top artist in the US for 2026?Yes132.0¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Beyoncé be the top artist in the US for 2026?Yes132.0¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Lady Gaga be the top artist in the US for 2026?Yes132.0¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Morgan Wallen be the top artist in the US for 2026?Yes132.0¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?Yes1214¢0.1¢$0-$2
Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes121.5¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes121.5¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Amy Klobuchar be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes121.5¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Yes713¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Yes713¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Yes713¢0.1¢$0-$1
Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?No119¢0.3¢$0-$0
Will Chappell Roan be the top artist for 2026?Yes50.5¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Carmel Sepuloni be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes20.8¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes20.8¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Chlöe Swarbrick be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes20.8¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will David Seymour be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes20.8¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will Winston Peters be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes20.8¢0.1¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 30?No0.881¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes22.1K0.9¢0.0¢$0-$196
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes19.3K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$240
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes21.7K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$175
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No10.6K24¢0.0¢$0-$2,537
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes19.9K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$157
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes22.1K1.0¢0.0¢$0-$223
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes11.6K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$80
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes21.5K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$182
Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes21.7K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$175
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes21.8K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$175
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes21.8K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$176
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes21.8K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$176
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes13.6K1.0¢0.0¢$0-$132
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes18.8K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$145
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes21.8K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$176
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes20.1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$160
Will Rodrygo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Enzo Fernandez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Gavi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.6¢0.0¢$0-$52
Will Marc Cucurella win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.6¢0.0¢$0-$52
Will Gabriel Magalhães win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.6¢0.0¢$0-$52
Will Sadio Mané win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.6¢0.0¢$0-$52
Will Marquinhos win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.6¢0.0¢$0-$52
Will Nuno Mendes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.6¢0.0¢$0-$52
Will João Neves win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.6¢0.0¢$0-$52
Will Willian Pacho win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.6¢0.0¢$0-$52
Will Julián Quiñones win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.6¢0.0¢$0-$52
Will William Saliba win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.6¢0.0¢$0-$52
Will Ferran Torres win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.6¢0.0¢$0-$52
Will Dayot Upamecano win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.2K0.6¢0.0¢$0-$52
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Yes3.2K12¢0.0¢$0-$392
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?Yes179.0¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes4.6K17¢0.0¢$0-$798
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes4.6K17¢0.0¢$0-$798
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No0.34.2¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes5.4K17¢0.0¢$0-$940
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes326.824¢0.0¢$0-$79
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Yes1.1K47¢0.0¢$0-$521
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Yes337.813¢0.0¢$0-$43
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?Yes965.122¢0.0¢$0-$214
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?Yes32.411¢0.0¢$0-$4
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?Yes5753.3¢0.0¢$0-$19
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes151.44.7¢0.0¢$0-$7
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?Yes60.528¢0.0¢$0-$17
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?No43.357¢0.0¢$0-$25
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026?No357.233¢0.0¢$0-$120
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?No901.653¢0.0¢$0-$478
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 2, 2026?Yes282.4¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?Yes1.7K6.5¢0.0¢$0-$109
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?Yes1.7K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?Yes3050.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Team Secret Whales win Worlds 2026?Yes1.7K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win Worlds 2026?Yes1.7K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will MVK Esports win Worlds 2026?Yes1.7K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?Yes528.20.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?Yes124.55.3¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026?Yes3050.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Cloud9 win Worlds 2026?Yes1.7K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?Yes1.7K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will LYON win Worlds 2026?Yes30511¢0.0¢$0-$33
Will LOS win Worlds 2026?Yes1.7K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Atlanta United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes903.1¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Austin FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes903.1¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes903.1¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes903.1¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes903.1¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes903.1¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will CF Montréal win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes903.1¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes1893.1¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes903.1¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes410.65.1¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes903.1¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Toronto FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes903.1¢0.0¢$0-$3
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?No273.12.2¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No0.72.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No1662.2¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes1.9K14¢0.0¢$0-$261
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes526.42.2¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes1.9K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$27
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?Yes1.5K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$13
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas?Yes1.3K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan?Yes2070.6¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas and Texas?Yes1.3K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Maine?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Michigan?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Maine?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Kansas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$13
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Kansas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Iowa?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?Yes3930.7¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Maine?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Maine?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Maine?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes2070.6¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes2210.6¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?Yes1.4K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$10
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas?Yes1.6K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes8011.0¢0.0¢$0-$8
Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.1K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$8
Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.6K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$11
Will Republicans win Alaska and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.3K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.5K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$11
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?Yes1.6K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$11
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?Yes1.5K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$11
Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Kansas and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Maine and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Maine and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Michigan and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Michigan and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Ohio and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes438.53.1¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.4K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.5K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$11
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?Yes1.4K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$10
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?Yes1.7K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?Yes1.6K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$11
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds0.52.2¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes4.8K3.4¢0.0¢$0-$161
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?Yes1.8K11¢0.0¢$0-$196
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?Yes1.5K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?Yes1610.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?No282.17.3¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes470.315¢0.0¢$0-$72
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes954.837¢0.0¢$0-$349
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes260.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Miami Marlins win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes260.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will New York Mets win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes260.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes260.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Washington Nationals win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes260.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes260.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes260.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?No2.1K50¢0.0¢$0-$1,070
Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes260.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes260.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes260.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Colorado Rockies win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes260.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes30050¢0.0¢$0-$150
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes260.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will San Francisco Giants win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes260.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes254.96.5¢0.0¢$0-$17
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes929.36.9¢0.0¢$0-$64
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes2K3.0¢0.0¢$0-$59
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes5.9K5.5¢0.0¢$0-$324
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes2.4K5.5¢0.0¢$0-$133
Will Juan Soto win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1101.8¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Fernando Tatis Jr. win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1101.8¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Mookie Betts win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1101.8¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Bryce Harper win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1101.8¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Kyle Tucker win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1101.8¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Elly De La Cruz win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1101.8¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Francisco Lindor win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1101.8¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Ronald Acuña Jr. win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1101.8¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Andy Pages win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1101.8¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Corbin Carroll win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1101.8¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1101.8¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will James Wood win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1101.8¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1101.8¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Jordan Walker win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1101.8¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Otto Lopez win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1101.8¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Matt Olson win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1101.8¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No5K50¢0.0¢$0-$2,466
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No4.24.8¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?No3.9K24¢0.0¢$0-$925
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No36017¢0.0¢$0-$60
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes501.97.8¢0.0¢$0-$39
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes323.64.2¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes1688.0¢0.0¢$0-$13
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes2.3K10¢0.0¢$0-$242
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes2602.3¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No0.73.7¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes2246.5¢0.0¢$0-$15
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No290.913¢0.0¢$0-$39
Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026?Yes185.46.1¢0.0¢$0-$11
Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026?Yes21.42.4¢0.0¢$0-$1
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?Yes678.98.6¢0.0¢$0-$59
Jodar vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 22.5Under0.418¢0.0¢$0-$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes1.5K2.7¢0.0¢$0-$40
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes1.5K8.6¢0.0¢$0-$131
Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?Yes45.619¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?No1088.8¢0.0¢$0-$10
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes173.8¢0.0¢$0-$1
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes173.8¢0.0¢$0-$1
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes173.8¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Mohammad Pakpour be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.4K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.4K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Francois Hollande win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Yes7410¢0.0¢$0-$8
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?No0.87.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 12?Yes0.313¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?No16534¢0.0¢$0-$56
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?No0.515¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes3.5K40¢0.0¢$0-$1,407
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 11?No0.85.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Lindsey Graham be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes120.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?No90.916¢0.0¢$0-$14
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes18410¢0.0¢$0-$19
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?No2.7K48¢0.0¢$0-$1,294
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Yes323.952¢0.0¢$0-$168
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes18410¢0.0¢$0-$19
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes18410¢0.0¢$0-$19
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?No0.315¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?No0.350¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat?Yes17.76.0¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?Yes20.55.4¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 11?No0.84.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes28.551¢0.0¢$0-$15
Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes182.620¢0.0¢$0-$36
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes13.317¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?Yes0.622¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes1245.5¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes1245.5¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Yes1245.5¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No0.757¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 15?No0.67.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Yes1.429¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Yes2273.8¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes4.8K13¢0.0¢$0-$647
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?No2.4K5.6¢0.0¢$0-$133
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Yes937.211¢0.0¢$0-$101
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes4.8K13¢0.0¢$0-$647
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes4.8K13¢0.0¢$0-$647
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes970.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 16?No0.637¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 16?Yes0.535¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes447.89.4¢0.0¢$0-$42
Will Kush Desai be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes352.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Taylor Rogers be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes352.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Pat Adams be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes352.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Lauren Bis be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes352.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes352.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Kaelan Dorr be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes352.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Katie Pavlich be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes352.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes352.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Hogan Gidley be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes352.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes352.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes352.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes431.813¢0.0¢$0-$58
Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes352.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes352.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes210.93.9¢0.0¢$0-$8
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes109.61.8¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Ari Fleischer be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes352.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes352.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Matthew Boyle be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes352.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Spencer Pratt be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes352.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Lara Trump be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes33.82.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes352.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Beni Rae Harmony be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes352.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes352.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes352.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the Republican Party win the CT-04 House seat?Yes2502.1¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No0.62.2¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?No5462¢0.0¢$0-$33
Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat?Yes216.98.3¢0.0¢$0-$18
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes1.7K28¢0.0¢$0-$472
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes533.110.0¢0.0¢$0-$53
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?No0.76.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Blue tsunami in 2026?No29.82.0¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026?Yes580.77.1¢0.0¢$0-$41
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?Yes4219.6¢0.0¢$0-$40
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?Yes130.47.1¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?Yes145.214¢0.0¢$0-$20
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?No2.5K7.0¢0.0¢$0-$179
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1.1K0.4¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes2.5K1.0¢0.0¢$0-$26
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes3.5K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$42
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes3.5K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$42
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes3.5K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$42
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes3.5K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$42
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes3.5K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$42
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes3.5K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$42
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes3.5K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$42
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes3.5K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$42
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes3.5K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$42
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes3.5K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$42
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes3.5K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$42
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes3.5K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$42
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes3.5K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$42
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes3.5K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$42
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes3.5K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$42
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes3.5K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$42
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes3.5K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$42
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?No1.9K5.2¢0.0¢$0-$99
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes1.8K5.2¢0.0¢$0-$93
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?No2503.3¢0.0¢$0-$8
Will the Republican Party win the TX-37 House seat?Yes332.6¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat?No613.0¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes732.927¢0.0¢$0-$199
Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes910.7¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes910.7¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes910.7¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes910.7¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes910.7¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes910.7¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?No926¢0.0¢$0-$2
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes4.32.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?Yes288.515¢0.0¢$0-$44
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?Yes233.0¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?No35.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the Republican Party win the OH-11 House seat?Yes34.14.9¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will the Republican Party win the MI-12 House seat?Yes305.3¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?No1915¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will the Republican Party win the NE-02 House seat?Yes15.62.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes228.44.3¢0.0¢$0-$10
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No6305.5¢0.0¢$0-$35
Will the Republican Party win the MA-03 House seat?Yes7.92.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?No183.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?Yes2440.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Yes643.516¢0.0¢$0-$106
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?Yes159.18.0¢0.0¢$0-$13
Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat?Yes1.7K3.9¢0.0¢$0-$65
Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?No1501.7¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?Yes170.212¢0.0¢$0-$20
Will the Democratic Party win the ID-01 House seat?Yes9654.6¢0.0¢$0-$45
Will the Republican Party win the NH-02 House seat?Yes29.77.1¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?Yes195.126¢0.0¢$0-$50
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?No16841¢0.0¢$0-$68
Will Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes4591.8¢0.0¢$0-$8
Will Eduardo Pazuello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes3961.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes3961.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Anthony Garotinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes3961.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Wilson Witzel win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes3961.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will André Português win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes3961.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Lindbergh Farias win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes3961.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes3961.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes4392.0¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will André Ceciliano win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes3961.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Chico Machado win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes3961.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Fred Pacheco win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes3961.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes1.1K3.6¢0.0¢$0-$41
Will Rafa Luz win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes3961.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Colonel Busnello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes3961.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?No17.75.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes175.26.2¢0.0¢$0-$11
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes32.27.0¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes873.3¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes61.3¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?No22.86.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes106.53.0¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes873.3¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes873.3¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes873.3¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes61.3¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes873.3¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?No74.746¢0.0¢$0-$34
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat?Yes52.311¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-04 House seat?No50.53.0¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?No122.97.5¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will SPD win between 10% and 13% of all valid second votes?No0.46.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?Yes44.427¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat?No241.94.0¢0.0¢$0-$10
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Yes511.88.4¢0.0¢$0-$43
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?No1509.5¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?No40713¢0.0¢$0-$53
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$26
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1.1K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$27
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1.1K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$27
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1.1K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$27
Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1.1K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$27
Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1.1K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$27
Will Krum Zarkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1.1K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$27
Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1.1K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$27
Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1.1K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$27
Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1.1K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$27
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1.1K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$27
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes3K4.0¢0.0¢$0-$121
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Yes227.8¢0.0¢$0-$2
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?Yes1.1K22¢0.0¢$0-$236
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Yes1.1K22¢0.0¢$0-$236
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Yes967.72.2¢0.0¢$0-$21
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?No930.314¢0.0¢$0-$133
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?Yes1.1K22¢0.0¢$0-$236
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?Yes1.4K16¢0.0¢$0-$220
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Yes91.38.0¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?Yes209.86.6¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR?Yes5154.9¢0.0¢$0-$25
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of UDMR?Yes2967.0¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?No90.627¢0.0¢$0-$25
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?No2110¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?Yes24610¢0.0¢$0-$25
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?No400.927¢0.0¢$0-$108
Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026?Yes216.6¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1.4K1.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1.4K1.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes4.5K3.0¢0.0¢$0-$135
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1.4K1.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1.3K1.9¢0.0¢$0-$25
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1.4K1.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1.4K1.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1.4K1.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1.4K1.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1.4K1.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.2K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$44
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1.4K1.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1.4K1.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1.4K1.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1.4K1.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1.4K1.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1.4K1.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1.7K9.3¢0.0¢$0-$161
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes923.75.6¢0.0¢$0-$52
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1.4K1.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1.5K1.6¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1.2K1.3¢0.0¢$0-$15
Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat?No492.111¢0.0¢$0-$55
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?Yes104.5¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the Republican Party win the WI-04 House seat?Yes152.14.2¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will the Republican Party win the NY-18 House seat?Yes1.1K8.7¢0.0¢$0-$100
Will the Republican Party win the GA-06 House seat?Yes9873.4¢0.0¢$0-$34
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes1.7K4.6¢0.0¢$0-$77
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes305.75.4¢0.0¢$0-$16
Will the Republican Party win the MO-01 House seat?Yes1.1K4.7¢0.0¢$0-$51
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-01 House seat?No4.64.8¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?Yes154.56.7¢0.0¢$0-$10
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?No300.819¢0.0¢$0-$56
Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?No806.0¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?Yes365.426¢0.0¢$0-$96
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes106.313¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?No1055.1¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes526.34.4¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes3.6K15¢0.0¢$0-$543
Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes562.43.3¢0.0¢$0-$19
Will Marcel Ciolacu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K4.2¢0.0¢$0-$51
Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.6K7.8¢0.0¢$0-$127
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes586.80.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes2K12¢0.0¢$0-$247
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes65.426¢0.0¢$0-$17
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.1K7.4¢0.0¢$0-$83
Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.3K2.2¢0.0¢$0-$28
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.6K13¢0.0¢$0-$211
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes1.2K0.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Leonardo Badea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes3.2K11¢0.0¢$0-$348
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?No1159.3¢0.0¢$0-$11
Will Petar Musa win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?Yes29.434¢0.0¢$0-$10
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes3825.9¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes1495.4¢0.0¢$0-$8
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes3825.9¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes3825.9¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes1114.8¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes3825.9¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes3825.9¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes3825.9¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes358.25.9¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes3825.9¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes459.56.2¢0.0¢$0-$29
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes5999.1¢0.0¢$0-$54
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes1.9K20¢0.0¢$0-$380
Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes191.66.7¢0.0¢$0-$13
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes1.7K30¢0.0¢$0-$520
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes1.1K35¢0.0¢$0-$383
Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No478.233¢0.0¢$0-$160
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?Yes1857¢0.0¢$0-$10
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026?No1316¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?No0.210¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?No580.316¢0.0¢$0-$91
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Yes3348¢0.0¢$0-$16
Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?Yes509.49.4¢0.0¢$0-$48
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?No2.48.8¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Yes64.821¢0.0¢$0-$13
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?No1.3K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$27
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes44.82.8¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?Yes582.524¢0.0¢$0-$142
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?No43.825¢0.0¢$0-$11
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?No401.7¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?No132.430¢0.0¢$0-$39
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes2.1K8.8¢0.0¢$0-$182
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes93.226¢0.0¢$0-$24
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?No37.337¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No13.125¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes1310¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes1310¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes1.2K9.6¢0.0¢$0-$117
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes1854.9¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes1310¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes92.44.0¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes1310¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes1310¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No192.2¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes1931¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will Amcha Yisrael win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes1931¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will the Republican Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?Yes248.221¢0.0¢$0-$51
Will the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?No28.62.9¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?Yes101.6¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will annual inflation be 2.9% or less in September?Yes673.9¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will annual inflation be 3.0% in September?Yes673.9¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will annual inflation be 3.1% in September?Yes673.9¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will annual inflation be 3.2% in September?Yes673.9¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in September?Yes673.9¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?Yes2309.6¢0.0¢$0-$22
Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in September?Yes673.9¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes911.215¢0.0¢$0-$133
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes392.316¢0.0¢$0-$63
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes2930.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes2930.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Fed Pause–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes2930.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Fed Pause–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes2930.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?Yes1.3K13¢0.0¢$0-$169
Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?No2553.6¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Yes1.6K6.9¢0.0¢$0-$111
Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?Yes166.0¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?No2485.4¢0.0¢$0-$13
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?Yes2.41.8¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?Yes43.515¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?No97.64.0¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes387.8¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes1.6K6.2¢0.0¢$0-$97
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Yes0.441¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?No56528¢0.0¢$0-$156
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?No3352.1¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Yes31.81.9¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?Yes324.311¢0.0¢$0-$35
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes440.149¢0.0¢$0-$216
Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1.7K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$34
Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1.7K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$34
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1.7K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$34
Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1.7K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$34
Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1.7K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$34
Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1.7K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$34
Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1.7K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$34
Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1.7K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$34
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?No363.3¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes38.52.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes13.86.0¢0.0¢$0-$1
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes185.6¢0.0¢$0-$1
Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?No20976¢0.0¢$0-$159
Kamala Harris Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes185.6¢0.0¢$0-$1
Josh Shapiro Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes185.6¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?Yes1.7K9.6¢0.0¢$0-$161
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Yes1.6K9.7¢0.0¢$0-$157
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?Yes2.6K10¢0.0¢$0-$265
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?No625.62.4¢0.0¢$0-$15
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?Yes1.6K9.8¢0.0¢$0-$155
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?Yes2.5K9.8¢0.0¢$0-$243
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Yes3.1K7.8¢0.0¢$0-$242
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?Yes1.9K9.7¢0.0¢$0-$182
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No0.610¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes1433.4¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes1433.4¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes1433.4¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?No544.0¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?No2213¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be less than 58%?Yes3517¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 58-62%?Yes1346.3¢0.0¢$0-$8
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Yes1.1K5.0¢0.0¢$0-$53
Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?Yes169.527¢0.0¢$0-$46
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes1223.2¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?No58936¢0.0¢$0-$212
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes1223.2¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes326.14.0¢0.0¢$0-$13
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes1223.2¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes1223.2¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes1223.2¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes1223.2¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes1223.2¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes4927¢0.0¢$0-$13
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?No2.8K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$58
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes3K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$74
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes3K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$74
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes3K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$74
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes3K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$74
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes138.39.4¢0.0¢$0-$13
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes3K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$74
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?No272.711¢0.0¢$0-$30
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes3K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$74
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes3K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$74
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17?Yes17.88.5¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms?No427.576¢0.0¢$0-$324
Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?Yes75.66.3¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Yes57712¢0.0¢$0-$70
Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes53.51.8¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Shas win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes330.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will The Democrats win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes330.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Otzma Yehudit win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes330.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Blue and White win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes330.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes330.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will United Torah Judaism win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes330.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will RZP-Zehut win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes330.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Joint List win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes330.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Ra'am win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes330.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Amcha Yisrael win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes330.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Noam win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes330.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will The Reservists and the Economic Party win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes330.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes59.23.7¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes2.2K22¢0.0¢$0-$493
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes2.6K24¢0.0¢$0-$608
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Yes1.5K11¢0.0¢$0-$167
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Yes1.5K11¢0.0¢$0-$167
Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?Yes611¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Republicans win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Democrats win Maine?Yes2812¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Republicans win the Texas and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Michigan?Yes611¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Republicans win the Texas Senate seat, and Democrats win Michigan and Maine?Yes13.66.1¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Democrats win the Texas Senate seat, and Republicans win Michigan and Maine?Yes2812¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Democrats win the Texas and Maine Senate seats, and Republicans win Michigan?Yes611¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?No3511¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes1.3K59¢0.0¢$0-$746
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?No3.2K9.0¢0.0¢$0-$286
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?Yes26.642¢0.0¢$0-$11
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?No147.742¢0.0¢$0-$61
Will any other model be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?Yes69.36.6¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes1560.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Nikolai Denkov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes1560.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes1560.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Boyko Borissov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes1560.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Vassil Terziev win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes1560.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes1560.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Natalia Kiselova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes1560.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Yanaki Stoilov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes1560.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Krum Zarkov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes1560.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Atanas Atanasov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes1560.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Delyan Peevski win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes1560.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes1560.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Otzma Yehudit win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes111.13.0¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes2.7K42¢0.0¢$0-$1,128
Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes19.75.4¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes397.9¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?No4.7K33¢0.0¢$0-$1,564
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?No7112¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?No244.48.3¢0.0¢$0-$20
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?No56.46.1¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?Yes445.70.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Yes190.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?Yes430.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Yes190.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?Yes430.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Yes430.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?Yes431.6¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?Yes431.6¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?Yes431.6¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes2.8K20¢0.0¢$0-$548
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?No7597.2¢0.0¢$0-$55
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?Yes3115.4¢0.0¢$0-$17
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?Yes1136.1¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?Yes3336.1¢0.0¢$0-$20
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes1.9K9.9¢0.0¢$0-$191
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes1.7K18¢0.0¢$0-$306
Will Joint List win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes1.4K16¢0.0¢$0-$232
Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes1.4K16¢0.0¢$0-$228
Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No4712.1¢0.0¢$0-$10
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes63320¢0.0¢$0-$128
Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes249.47.3¢0.0¢$0-$18
Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes2667.3¢0.0¢$0-$19
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes2.8K8.2¢0.0¢$0-$230
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes606.62.7¢0.0¢$0-$16
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes2K28¢0.0¢$0-$549
Will Together win 7-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes74.74.0¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes313.42.8¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes5076.1¢0.0¢$0-$31
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?No280.53.7¢0.0¢$0-$10
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?Yes742.613¢0.0¢$0-$98
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Yes3.4K5.6¢0.0¢$0-$194
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes70113¢0.0¢$0-$91
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 100 and 120 million views on week 1?Yes70713¢0.0¢$0-$92
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 120 and 140 million views on week 1?Yes75413¢0.0¢$0-$100
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 140 million views on week 1?Yes1875.8¢0.0¢$0-$11
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes90.23.3¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes2K6.0¢0.0¢$0-$120
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes2.8K31¢0.0¢$0-$878
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes124.619¢0.0¢$0-$24
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes195.418¢0.0¢$0-$35
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes43.628¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?No19432¢0.0¢$0-$62
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on or prior to October 3, 2026?Yes1250.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 4, 2026?Yes1250.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 5, 2026?Yes1250.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 6, 2026?Yes1250.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 7, 2026?Yes1250.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 8, 2026?Yes1250.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 9, 2026?Yes1250.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 10, 2026?Yes1250.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 11, 2026?Yes1250.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 12, 2026?Yes1250.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 13, 2026?Yes1250.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 14, 2026?Yes398.60.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 15, 2026?Yes265.90.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 16, 2026?Yes156.20.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 17, 2026?Yes1250.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 18, 2026?Yes1250.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026?Yes830.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?Yes830.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026?Yes670.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?Yes670.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 23, 2026?Yes674.3¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026?Yes3.14.9¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 25, 2026?Yes1255.3¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?Yes625.3¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026?Yes189.94.1¢0.0¢$0-$8
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?Yes49.415¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 30, 2026?Yes250.45.2¢0.0¢$0-$13
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 31, 2026?Yes525.3¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes9012¢0.0¢$0-$11
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes1.1K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$29
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Yes14224¢0.0¢$0-$35
Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes393.68.2¢0.0¢$0-$32
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?Yes1.2K12¢0.0¢$0-$142
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Yes7134.2¢0.0¢$0-$30
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–12%?Yes7134.2¢0.0¢$0-$30
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–10%?Yes7134.2¢0.0¢$0-$30
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?Yes616.44.0¢0.0¢$0-$25
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?Yes6834.1¢0.0¢$0-$28
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?Yes716.74.2¢0.0¢$0-$30
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?Yes790.34.0¢0.0¢$0-$31
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?No0.954¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?Yes1.4K7.0¢0.0¢$0-$99
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?Yes1.1K3.8¢0.0¢$0-$43
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–10%?Yes7134.2¢0.0¢$0-$30
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–12%?Yes7134.2¢0.0¢$0-$30
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Yes7134.2¢0.0¢$0-$30
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-15 House seat?No6917¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Yes3.3K0.9¢0.0¢$0-$30
Will Yair Lapid receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Yes3K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Benny Gantz receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Yes3K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Avigdor Lieberman receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Yes3K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Yossi Cohen receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Yes3K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Yair Golan receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Yes3K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Itamar Ben Gvir receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Yes3K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Gideon Sa’ar receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Yes3K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Yariv Levin receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Yes3K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Moshe Feiglin receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Yes3K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Ayelet Shaked receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Yes3K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Yoaz Hendel receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Yes3K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Israel Katz receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Yes3K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Nir Barkat receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Yes3K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Amir Ohana receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Yes3K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Gilad Erdan receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Yes3K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Ofer Winter receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Yes3K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$23
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?No521.23.2¢0.0¢$0-$17
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes1.3K3.0¢0.0¢$0-$40
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?Yes1.4K21¢0.0¢$0-$290
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?No31.616¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?No24919¢0.0¢$0-$47
Will the Republican Party hold 40 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes1.3K11¢0.0¢$0-$143
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 41 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes1.3K11¢0.0¢$0-$143
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 42 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes1.3K11¢0.0¢$0-$143
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 43 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes75912¢0.0¢$0-$89
Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes1K12¢0.0¢$0-$123
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be less than 18%?Yes924¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 18-20%?Yes3424¢0.0¢$0-$8
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 20-22%?Yes17.824¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more?No1.2K22¢0.0¢$0-$257
Will Hudson Williams be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Yes474.1¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Michael B. Jordan be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Yes59.424¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will Timothée Chalamet be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Yes44.99.0¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Ali G be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Yes222.2¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the Republican Party win the WA-07 House seat?Yes2.9K3.6¢0.0¢$0-$105
Will Gemini Carbon be released on or prior to October 31, 2026?Yes1460.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 1, 2026?Yes1460.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 2, 2026?Yes1460.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 3, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 4, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 5, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 6, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 7, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 8, 2026?Yes1461.4¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Gemini Carbon be released prior to November 2, 2026?Yes1430.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?Yes57.97.8¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will the Republican Party win the MI-03 House seat?Yes43.97.1¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 2027?Yes3604.1¢0.0¢$0-$15
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?No5.2K4.3¢0.0¢$0-$223
Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 2027?Yes2176.4¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?Yes119.34.6¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 10?No127¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 11?No0.326¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No41.814¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 10?No0.427¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 10?No0.541¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 11?No0.26.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes2K13¢0.0¢$0-$271
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?Yes186.841¢0.0¢$0-$77
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 11?No137¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 12?Yes0.616¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13?No0.338¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?Yes0.93.3¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No0.331¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 15?No0.638¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 17?No0.411¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 17?Yes0.917¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Wuthering Heights have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes260.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes260.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes260.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes260.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes260.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes260.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will Project Hail Mary have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes260.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes260.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31?Yes9114¢0.0¢$0-$13
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?No1K56¢0.0¢$0-$569
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?No0.62.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No374.82.3¢0.0¢$0-$9
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under0.181¢0.0¢$0-$0
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners0.212¢0.0¢$0-$0
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Yes1735.0¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 30, 2026?Yes0.818¢0.0¢$0-$0
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Yes185.44.3¢0.0¢$0-$8
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?Yes7.43.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 17, 2026?Yes78.33.6¢0.0¢$0-$3
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?Yes3026¢0.0¢$0-$8
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?No412.23.3¢0.0¢$0-$14
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?No222.6¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?No1.3K7.4¢0.0¢$0-$95
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?No30.211¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?Yes1.8K24¢0.0¢$0-$430
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?No1.5K31¢0.0¢$0-$457
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?No2K49¢0.0¢$0-$994
Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?No13.74.6¢0.0¢$0-$1
Gemini 4.0 released by October 12, 2026?Yes78.43.3¢0.0¢$0-$3
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?No754.1¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will the Republican Party win the OR-05 House seat?Yes227.9¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?Yes182.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?Yes53.2¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?Yes53.2¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?Yes53.2¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Yes146.32.7¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes1.2K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes1.7K24¢0.0¢$0-$411
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes1.5K39¢0.0¢$0-$593
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Yes20136¢0.0¢$0-$73
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Yes365.540¢0.0¢$0-$148
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?No337.34.0¢0.0¢$0-$13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?No195.410¢0.0¢$0-$20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?Yes1.6K9.7¢0.0¢$0-$153
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes1.8K2.6¢0.0¢$0-$48
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 110 million views on week 1?Yes12715¢0.0¢$0-$19
Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?Yes12715¢0.0¢$0-$19
Will MrBeast's next video get between 120 and 130 million views on week 1?Yes12715¢0.0¢$0-$19
Will MrBeast's next video get between 130 and 140 million views on week 1?Yes12715¢0.0¢$0-$19
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 150 million views on week 1?No1K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$22
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Yes146.45.8¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?Yes3028¢0.0¢$0-$8
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?Yes225.62.6¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?No133.662¢0.0¢$0-$83
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?Yes28825¢0.0¢$0-$72
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?No23.841¢0.0¢$0-$10
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22.5 million views on day 1?Yes25535¢0.0¢$0-$90
Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?No6549¢0.0¢$0-$32
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?No1.3K7.0¢0.0¢$0-$92
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?Yes287.53.6¢0.0¢$0-$11
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?Yes886.7¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Yes886.7¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Yes1105.8¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?Yes88.56.7¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?Yes460.9¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 60 million views on day 1?Yes886.7¢0.0¢$0-$6
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?No1.5K89¢0.0¢$0-$1,335
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?No528.615¢0.0¢$0-$80
Paris curfew by October 19?No341.913¢0.0¢$0-$45
Paris curfew by October 21?No2K96¢0.0¢$0-$1,901
Paris curfew by October 31?No153.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No405.23.7¢0.0¢$0-$15
Will MrBeast's next video get between 160 and 170 million views on week 1?Yes921.7¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will MrBeast's next video get between 170 and 180 million views on week 1?Yes921.7¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will MrBeast's next video get between 180 and 190 million views on week 1?Yes921.7¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will MrBeast's next video get between 190 and 200 million views on week 1?Yes921.7¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will MrBeast's next video get 200 million or more views on week 1?Yes921.7¢0.0¢$0-$2
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?No326.99.9¢0.0¢$0-$32
Curfew in a major French city by November 15, 2026?No7.57.4¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?Yes1668¢0.0¢$0-$11
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes2.1K76¢0.0¢$0-$1,602
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No755.0¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?Yes4549.6¢0.0¢$0-$44
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?No641.220¢0.0¢$0-$125
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes1.9K2.2¢0.0¢$0-$41
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?No1.1K8.2¢0.0¢$0-$93
Paris curfew effectively lifted by November 7?No5510¢0.0¢$0-$6
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?Opp.118.953¢0.0¢$0-$63
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?No347.62.3¢0.0¢$0-$8
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?No2.2K28¢0.0¢$0-$617
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Yes1K2.3¢0.0¢$0-$24
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?Yes28.53.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 WinnerpaiN Gaming0.95.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Yes725.34.5¢0.0¢$0-$33
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026?No24258¢0.0¢$0-$140
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?No25.42.7¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the Republican Party win the WA-08 House seat?Yes1848.6¢0.0¢$0-$16
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-08 House seat?No1.1K9.1¢0.0¢$0-$98
Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?No46.56.4¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat?Yes0.34.7¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?No43.17.0¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?Yes344.6¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes11.718¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes333.3¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?Yes4412¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will the Republican Party win the CA-19 House seat?Yes1.1K4.6¢0.0¢$0-$52
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-09 House seat?Yes72.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the Republican Party win the HI-02 House seat?Yes684.3¢0.0¢$0-$3
FC Midtjylland vs. Bohemian FC: O/U 5.5Over0.75.2¢0.0¢$0-$0
Galatasaray SK vs. Çorum FK: O/U 2.5Under0.918¢0.0¢$0-$0
Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-1.5)Lillestrøm SK0.38.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
FC Nordsjælland vs. Silkeborg IF: Both Teams to ScoreYes0.94.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsHonvéd148¢0.0¢$0-$0
Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 3?No278.0¢0.0¢$0-$2
Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 4?No3171.9¢0.0¢$0-$6
Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 5?No1.7K4.8¢0.0¢$0-$82
GTA VI released by October 31?Yes92.72.2¢0.0¢$0-$2
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Yes551.82.7¢0.0¢$0-$15
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?No364.5¢0.0¢$0-$2
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?Yes287.96.1¢0.0¢$0-$18
Spread: Japan (-3.5)Japan0.82.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over0.915¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-05 House seat?No55.35.1¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat?No125.85.1¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-01 House seat?Yes17.85.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the Republican Party win the MI-13 House seat?Yes1.1K4.9¢0.0¢$0-$52
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?No57.64.8¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will the Republican Party win the NY-12 House seat?Yes1.1K4.2¢0.0¢$0-$44
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-03 House seat?Yes320.45.2¢0.0¢$0-$17
Will the Republican Party win the MD-07 House seat?Yes703.6¢0.0¢$0-$3
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?Yes1039¢0.0¢$0-$4
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Yes15.522¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?No981.135¢0.0¢$0-$342
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-18 House seat?No944.43.6¢0.0¢$0-$34
Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?No33.115¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?No83.714¢0.0¢$0-$12
Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes363.1¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat?No150.65.2¢0.0¢$0-$8
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-03 House seat?Yes8505.2¢0.0¢$0-$44
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-03 House seat?No44.9¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?No1.1K3.0¢0.0¢$0-$34
Will the Republican Party win the MI-11 House seat?Yes1.1K4.1¢0.0¢$0-$44
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-03 House seat?No5003.5¢0.0¢$0-$18
Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026?No482.218¢0.0¢$0-$85
Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027?No1057.8¢0.0¢$0-$8
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No3.48.8¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Yes1019.0¢0.0¢$0-$9
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?No7119¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 10, 2026?Yes0.713¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?Yes0.334¢0.0¢$0-$0
California Affordable Housing Bond PropositionNo1432¢0.0¢$0-$4
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes3.4K5.0¢0.0¢$0-$168
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes14.39.0¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?No1.1K22¢0.0¢$0-$249
Ethos FDV above $25M one day after launch?No443.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Ethos FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes2.48.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch?Yes1613¢0.0¢$0-$2
Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes1.1K5.0¢0.0¢$0-$56
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by October 31?Yes2.56.2¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat?No944.5¢0.0¢$0-$4
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?Yes1.7K7.4¢0.0¢$0-$128
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 20?Yes221.6¢0.0¢$0-$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?Yes297.6¢0.0¢$0-$2
Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?Yes1.3K3.1¢0.0¢$0-$42
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?No554.973¢0.0¢$0-$405
Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?Yes200.13.7¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Blaze?Yes2217¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?Yes3402.7¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will the Republican Party win the MI-06 House seat?Yes1K5.0¢0.0¢$0-$51
Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?No196.34.5¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes15.312¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes4.113¢0.0¢$0-$1
Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?No2.9K28¢0.0¢$0-$814
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes1.9K2.9¢0.0¢$0-$55
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Yes1.2K22¢0.0¢$0-$259
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?No999.4¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will Trump speak to Miguel Díaz-Canel by October 31?Yes377.3¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will the Republican Party win the AR-01 House seat?No181.42.4¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?No1.1K30¢0.0¢$0-$344
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?No14314¢0.0¢$0-$20
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026?No724.0¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?No222.77.0¢0.0¢$0-$16
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?No168.412¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?No112.28.6¢0.0¢$0-$10
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?No96.520¢0.0¢$0-$19
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?No36.67.0¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?Yes3621¢0.0¢$0-$8
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?No110.620¢0.0¢$0-$22
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?No603.82.3¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?No38.86.4¢0.0¢$0-$2
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Yes752.34.8¢0.0¢$0-$36
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?No224.6¢0.0¢$0-$1
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?No3185.8¢0.0¢$0-$19
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?No22.34.0¢0.0¢$0-$1
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?Yes327.0¢0.0¢$0-$2
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?Yes219.85.6¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 8, 2026?Yes339.0¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 11, 2026?No37.613¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 17, 2026?No462.1¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?No5525¢0.0¢$0-$13
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 23, 2026?No289.0¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 28, 2026?No166.0¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 29, 2026?No8814¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will the Republican Party win the CA-14 House seat?Yes2505.1¢0.0¢$0-$13
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Yes3.2K7.2¢0.0¢$0-$230
Will the Republican Party win the CA-32 House seat?Yes526.33.0¢0.0¢$0-$16
Will the Republican Party win the NY-15 House seat?Yes2.4K4.2¢0.0¢$0-$101
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat?No38.64.5¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?No606.8¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?No9913.3¢0.0¢$0-$33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of October 12 2026?Yes1298.8¢0.0¢$0-$11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of October 12 2026?Yes3.18.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?No33222¢0.0¢$0-$73
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?No660.52.6¢0.0¢$0-$17
1win FDV above $45M one day after launch?No801.6¢0.0¢$0-$1
1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?Yes9.48.0¢0.0¢$0-$1
1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes72.92.2¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?No1.7K7.9¢0.0¢$0-$132
Will Trump say "Border" 22+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Yes523.0¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?No567.0¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?No5711¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Yes2.536¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?No3.2K11¢0.0¢$0-$348
Will the Republican Party win the CA-15 House seat?Yes113.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?Yes662.8¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-11 House seat?No3002.1¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?No4.8K39¢0.0¢$0-$1,869
Counter-Strike: pugdesonesto vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffspugdesonesto0.535¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?No1656¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of November 2 2026?Yes798.922¢0.0¢$0-$173
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of November 2 2026?Yes1763.0¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?No0.53.5¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?Yes0.613¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No0.72.6¢0.0¢$0-$0
FC Voluntari vs. FC Botoşani: O/U 5.5Over0.57.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Under0.85.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Spread: AIK (-2.5)AIK0.93.2¢0.0¢$0-$0
Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over0.612¢0.0¢$0-$0
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays0.134¢0.0¢$0-$0
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia 1st Half O/U 1.5Over0.63.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Spain vs. Austria: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under0.28.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over0.627¢0.0¢$0-$0
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerSpirit0.116¢0.0¢$0-$0
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under0.20.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over0.20.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under0.217¢0.0¢$0-$0
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA Challengers0.46.3¢0.0¢$0-$0
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 1.5Over0.214¢0.0¢$0-$0
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Over0.255¢0.0¢$0-$0
Adrien Rabiot: 1+ shotsNo0.942¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 25 above $450?No0.586¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 16?Yes0.33.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 21?Yes0.52.5¢0.0¢$0-$0
Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 165.5Over0.733¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 5?No0.64.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 11?Yes0.55.5¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on July 11?No0.318¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 11?No0.922¢0.0¢$0-$0
Virtus.pro to win 2-0?No0.225¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 16?No0.62.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?No0.547¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 20?Yes0.17.7¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 21?No0.42.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 22?No12.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 27?No0.97.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 31?No0.311¢0.0¢$0-$0
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Detroit Tigers0.22.2¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 4?No0.67.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over0.726¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 9?No0.655¢0.0¢$0-$0
Ecuador to win the second half?Yes0.917¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes0.35.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 26?Yes0.935¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 27?Yes0.72.8¢0.0¢$0-$0
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Over0.12.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over0.868¢0.0¢$0-$1
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs1WIN0.735¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on June 29?Yes0.64.2¢0.0¢$0-$0
FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 3.5Over0.23.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?Yes0.314¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 10?No0.35.5¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 12?No0.132¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 12?No0.713¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?No0.938¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 17?No0.33.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 19?No0.925¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 23?No0.55.5¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 23?No0.48.9¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 25?No0.411¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 3?No0.574¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 11?Yes0.67.9¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C or higher on May 12?Yes0.18.2¢0.0¢$0-$0
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo0.56.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No0.338¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 20?Yes0.913¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No0.83.6¢0.0¢$0-$0
Valorant: Jade Lions vs 555 (BO5) - VCL Southeast Asia: PlayoffsJade Lions0.318¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 8?Yes0.15.6¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?No0.242¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on July 10?Yes0.32.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 17?Yes0.62.3¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on July 17?No0.515¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 18?No0.52.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 20?No0.49.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 20?Yes0.43.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
CA Boca Juniors vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under0.18.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 1.5Under0.83.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on August 1?No0.220¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 8?No0.251¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9?No0.325¢0.0¢$0-$0
Houston Astros vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers0.54.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 26?Yes0.435¢0.0¢$0-$0
Esenler Erokspor vs. FenerbahceEsenler Erokspor0.54.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 16?Yes0.55.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 17?No0.625¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 19?No0.646¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?Yes0.33.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer (BO3) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE PlayoffsAtrix Esports0.129¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 26?No0.736¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 4?Yes0.73.5¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will PPI YoY be 6.3% in June?Yes0.416¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 10?No0.586¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 15?No0.68.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 16?No0.631¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 20?No0.44.5¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 20?No0.514¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 24?Yes0.22.3¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 25?No0.847¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 26?No0.824¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 31?No0.420¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?No0.42.8¢0.0¢$0-$0
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Over0.110¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 6?No0.880¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes0.12.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 10?No123¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 16?Yes0.49.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 18?No0.244¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 18?No0.35.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?No0.612¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 23?Yes0.32.5¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 24?Yes0.12.2¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 24?No0.914¢0.0¢$0-$0
Grêmio FBPA vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5Over0.658¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 27?No0.417¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 27?No0.826¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 31?No0.513¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 2?No0.838¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 6?No0.521¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 8?No0.438¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 10?Yes0.511¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?No0.210¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on May 22?Yes0.92.2¢0.0¢$0-$0
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under0.622¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 15?Yes0.613¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during June 24 Rally?Yes0.446¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?No0.641¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 2?Yes0.22.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Fluminense FC0.23.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsYes0.45.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 10?No0.62.6¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 11?No0.12.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 14?No0.645¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 16?No162¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 17?No0.415¢0.0¢$0-$0
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over0.424¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 20?No0.25.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 22?No0.518¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No0.715¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 2?No0.261¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5?No124¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?No0.53.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on April 29?Yes0.623¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?No0.29.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or below on June 11?Yes13.3¢0.0¢$0-$0
Plovdiv: Inaki Montes vs Sandro KoppSandro Kopp0.944¢0.0¢$0-$0
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Over0.423¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 12?No0.84.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 12?No0.471¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 18?No0.71.8¢0.0¢$0-$0
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs G2 Gozen - Map 2 WinnerG2 Gozen0.517¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 21?Yes0.24.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 21?No0.27.8¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 22?No0.82.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 23?No0.85.9¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 25?Yes0.53.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 29?No0.968¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 31?Yes0.541¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on July 31?Yes0.92.9¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4?No0.761¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 8?No0.626¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 6?Yes0.92.3¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 15?No0.142¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 27?Yes0.68.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 5.5Over0.25.7¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 21?Yes0.22.2¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 10?No0.612¢0.0¢$0-$0
Rainbow Six Siege: Weibo Gaming vs Daystar (BO3) - Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 1 PlayoffsDaystar0.819¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 15?No0.64.3¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on July 16?Yes0.32.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 18?No0.87.5¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 19?Yes0.32.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 19?Yes0.53.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 26?No0.457¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on July 31?No0.134¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on August 2?No0.982¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 5?Yes0.38.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?No0.537¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on August 6?Yes0.13.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ruslan Tiukaev vs Ali YazdaniRuslan Tiukaev0.60.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?No0.60.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Belgium leading at halftime?No0.412¢0.0¢$0-$0
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 0 Spain?Yes0.61.6¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 29?Yes0.240¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on June 14?Yes123¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 28?Yes0.514¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 3?Yes0.846¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?No0.24.3¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 11?No19.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 12?No0.940¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 13?No0.341¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 13?No0.434¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 13?Yes0.82.6¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?No0.760¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 17?Yes0.76.3¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 22?No0.86.7¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 22?No0.442¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 94°F or higher on July 22?No0.816¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 26?No0.218¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 26?No0.523¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 9?Yes0.30.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 2?Yes0.611¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 12?Yes0.92.3¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes0.92.3¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 7?Yes0.86.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 25?No0.391¢0.0¢$0-$0
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs FOKUS - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS0.313¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 2?Yes0.420¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 4?Yes0.12.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 5?Yes13.5¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?No0.59.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 12?No0.411¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 14?No0.62.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on July 14?No0.94.7¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on July 16?No0.23.6¢0.0¢$0-$0
CD Tolima vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 3.5Under0.314¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 26?No0.120¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?No0.651¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 28?No0.642¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on August 2?No0.52.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
ITF Astana: Alibek Kachmazov vs Sora FukudaSora Fukuda0.32.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No0.22.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 9?Yes0.74.7¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 18?Yes0.221¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 25?Yes0.315¢0.0¢$0-$0
Australia to score first vs. Paraguay?Yes0.42.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 29?Yes0.219¢0.0¢$0-$0
Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ shotsNo0.711¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 10?No0.628¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?No0.82.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 12?No0.946¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 14?No0.837¢0.0¢$0-$0
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over0.18.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 16?Yes0.27.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 16?No0.820¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 17?No0.632¢0.0¢$0-$0
FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under0.14.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 22?No0.918¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 8?No0.830¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 10?No0.90.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 10?Yes0.30.0¢0.0¢$0$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 25?Yes12.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels0.869¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 3?Yes0.96.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC0.72.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?No0.62.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 2?Yes0.52.8¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?No0.627¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 11?No0.72.3¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 12?Yes0.47.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 15?Yes0.72.2¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 15?Yes0.92.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 18?No0.94.7¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 20?No0.322¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Trump say "Friend of Mine" during remarks in Georgia?No0.741¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 24?No0.97.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 25?No0.541¢0.0¢$0-$0
Exact Score: CF Cruz Azul 2 - 0 Philadelphia Union?Yes0.45.1¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6?No0.228¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 7?No0.558¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 9?No0.76.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 28?No0.356¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes21.6K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$181