Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $130.9K·Volume $3.7M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
90%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$30.0K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered89¢98¢at 17:12(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 50d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$130.9K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $30.0K riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:12
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $4,872 |
| 2w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.8¢ | $111 |
| 4w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.2¢ | $27 |
| 4w ago | boyauMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $566 |
| 5w ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 2.4¢ | $337 |
| 7w ago | justme003Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $1,530 |
| 7w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $1,500 |
| 8w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $48,216 |
| 8w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $2,659 |
| 8w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $34 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $667 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $950 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $19 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $5 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $4 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $7 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $402 |
| 9w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $4,700 |
| 9w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $4,750 |
| 9w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $2,792 |
| 9w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $94 |
| 9w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $3 |
| 9w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $4,576 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $753 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $169 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $8 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $52 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $18 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $2,386 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $5 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $108 |
| 10w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1,500 |
| 11w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $36 |
| 11w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $2,832 |
| 11w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $2,832 |
| 11w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 7.0¢ | $119 |
| 11w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 11w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $84 |
| 11w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 11w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 7.0¢ | $2 |