Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $16.6K·Volume $125.8K·Ends Jul 1, 2027
Price now:Yes17%No84%
Smart money leans
No
84% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
84%price84%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$911 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered76¢84¢at 11:49(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 232d(Jul 1, 2027)Liquidity$16.6K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $911 riding on it.
The price of 84% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 76¢; the price was 84¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $911 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:49
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 78¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 78¢ | $312 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $911 |
| 3w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $23 |
| 3w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 79¢ | $534 |
| 3w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $141 |
| 3w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $39 |
| 3w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $80 |
| 3w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $15 |
| 3w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 75¢ | $15 |
| 5w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 63¢ | $427 |
| 5w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 67¢ | $47 |
| 5w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $47 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 67¢ | $186 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 57¢ | $158 |
| 12w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 42¢ | $1 |
| 12w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $1 |