Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $24.3K·Volume $128.8K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes24%No76%
Smart money leans
No
76% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.2pp
model above price
Consensus
85%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
76%price76%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$712 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,520
72h +$2,938
Smart money entered83¢76¢at 00:12Edge left+0.2ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$24.3K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $712 riding on it.
The price of 76% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 76¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,520, +$2,938 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:12