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Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?

ActiveLiquidity $47.4K·Volume $278.6K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes10%No90%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of Nov 10, 23:58computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
90% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
90%price90%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$3,456 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$39
72h +$1,482
Smart money entered82¢90¢at Nov 10, 23:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$47.4K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $3,456 riding on it.

The price of 90% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 82¢; the price was 90¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$39, +$1,482 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of Nov 10, 23:58
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
7h agoCarMidBuyYes11¢$3
7h agoCarMidBuyYes11¢$3
7h agoCarMidBuyYes11¢$16
7h agoCarMidBuyYes12¢$267
7h agoCarMidBuyYes11¢$55
7h agoxxNyxMidSellNo88¢$177
7h agoCarMidBuyYes11¢$14
1d agoRdogTestTopBuyNo87¢$9
1d agoRdogTestTopBuyNo87¢$9
1d agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo87¢$81
1d agoRdogTestTopBuyNo87¢$9
1d agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo87¢$81
1d agoRdogTestTopBuyNo87¢$9
1d agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo87¢$93
1d agoAlegrandebigMidBuyNo87¢$93
1d ago1nvoker1MidSellYes14¢$1
1d agoCarMidBuyYes14¢$1
1d ago1nvoker1MidSellYes14¢$1
1d agoCarMidBuyYes14¢$1
1d agoCarMidBuyYes14¢$74
1d agoCarMidBuyYes14¢$74
1d ago1nvoker1MidBuyYes14¢$1
1d ago1nvoker1MidBuyYes14¢$1
1d ago1nvoker1MidSellYes17¢$75
1d ago1nvoker1MidSellYes17¢$75
1d agoxxNyxMidBuyNo81¢$19
1d agoxxNyxMidBuyNo81¢$23
1d agoxxNyxMidBuyNo81¢$19
1d agoxxNyxMidBuyNo81¢$23
1d agoxxNyxMidBuyNo81¢$120
1d ago1nvoker1MidSellYes18¢$101
1d ago1nvoker1MidSellYes18¢$101
1d agoxxNyxMidBuyNo81¢$120
1d agoCarMidSellYes16¢$79
1d agoCarMidSellYes16¢$234
1d agoRdogTestTopBuyNo86¢$54
1d agoRdogTestTopBuyNo86¢$73
1d agoRdogTestTopBuyNo86¢$73
1d agoRdogTestTopBuyNo86¢$8
1d agonmnrTopBuyNo86¢$29
1d agoRdogTestTopBuyNo86¢$54
1d agoRdogTestTopBuyNo86¢$73
1d agoRdogTestTopBuyNo86¢$73
1d agonmnrTopBuyNo86¢$29
1d agoRdogTestTopBuyNo86¢$8
1d agoRdogTestTopBuyNo86¢$18
1d agoRdogTestTopBuyNo86¢$18
1d agoCarMidBuyYes12¢$0
1d agoCarMidBuyYes12¢$0
1d agoCarMidBuyYes12¢$0