Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $11.7K·Volume $96.0K·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes16%No85%
Smart money leans
No
85% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
85%price85%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$360 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered84¢85¢at 08:06(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesin 51d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$11.7K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $360 riding on it.
The price of 85% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 84¢; the price was 85¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $360 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 08:06
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 87¢ | $2 |
| 3d ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 87¢ | $3 |
| 3d ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $60 |
| 6d ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 87¢ | $92 |
| 6d ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $201 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $25 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $54 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $16 |
| 4w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $16 |
| 4w ago | viniiTop | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $90 |
| 4w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $635 |
| 4w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $194 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $39 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $32 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $8 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 82¢ | $26 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 83¢ | $83 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 82¢ | $33 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 82¢ | $16 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 82¢ | $2 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 79¢ | $283 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 82¢ | $4 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $79 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $80 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $44 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $231 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Sell | Yes | 26¢ | $141 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 67¢ | $102 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 61¢ | $105 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 69¢ | $2,012 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 50¢ | $110 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 47¢ | $57 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 40¢ | $10 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 40¢ | $16 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 40¢ | $16 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 40¢ | $16 |
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $10 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $103 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $608 |
| 8w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 84¢ | $229 |
| 9w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $89 |
| 9w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $36 |
| 9w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $7 |
| 9w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $824 |
| 10w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 72¢ | $425 |
| 10w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 74¢ | $36 |
| 10w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 74¢ | $20 |
| 10w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $41 |
| 10w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 70¢ | $425 |
| 11w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 71¢ | $388 |