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U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?

ActiveLiquidity $14.1K·Volume $25.0K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes8%No93%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 02:52computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
93% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
93%price93%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$789 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered21¢93¢at 02:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$14.1K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $789 riding on it.

The price of 93% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 21¢; the price was 93¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $789 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 02:52
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
5w agoxxNyxMidSellNo95¢$204
10w agoHannah-MontanaMidBuyYes17¢$10
11w agoxxNyxMidSellNo89¢$20
11w agoxxNyxMidSellNo86¢$43
11w agoxxNyxMidSellNo86¢$43
11w agoxxNyxMidSellNo86¢$43
11w agoxxNyxMidBuyNo11¢$235
11w agoxxNyxMidBuyNo25¢$125
11w agoxxNyxMidBuyNo33¢$98
11w agoxxNyxMidBuyNo33¢$232
11w agoxxNyxMidBuyNo36¢$180