Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $100.5K·Volume $963.7K·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$588 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 07:27(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 50d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$100.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $588 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $588 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:27
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3w ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $64 |
| 3w ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $218 |
| 3w ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $218 |
| 3w ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $218 |
| 4w ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $129 |
| 6w ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $124 |
| 6w ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $20 |