Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?
ActiveLiquidity $19.4K·Volume $180.0K·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes98%No2%
Smart money leans
Yes
99% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.2pp
model below price
Consensus
97%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$1,928 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,655
72h +$697
Smart money entered89¢99¢at 04:20Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesin 23h 38m(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$19.4K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,928 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,655, +$697 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:20
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $852 |
| 7h ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $480 |
| 8h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $846 |
| 9h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $200 |
| 12h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $177 |
| 12h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $728 |
| 14h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $45 |
| 21h ago | seal7Top | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $1,261 |
| 1d ago | seal7Top | Buy | No | 13¢ | $128 |
| 1d ago | seal7Top | Buy | No | 13¢ | $128 |
| 1d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Sell | Yes | 74¢ | $777 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 23¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 23¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Sell | Yes | 74¢ | $777 |
| 1d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Sell | Yes | 74¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Sell | Yes | 74¢ | $70 |
| 1d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Sell | Yes | 74¢ | $70 |
| 1d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Sell | Yes | 74¢ | $142 |
| 1d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Sell | Yes | 74¢ | $142 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 23¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 23¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 23¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 23¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 23¢ | $92 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 23¢ | $92 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 23¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 23¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 23¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 23¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Sell | Yes | 85¢ | $58 |
| 2d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Sell | Yes | 85¢ | $58 |
| 2d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $248 |
| 2d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $248 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 77¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 78¢ | $39 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 16¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 16¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Buy | Yes | 83¢ | $918 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 79¢ | $119 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 78¢ | $39 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $347 |
| 2d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | No | 19¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | No | 30¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | No | 40¢ | $155 |