Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $9,956·Volume $193.0K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes88%No12%
Smart money leans
Yes
88% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
95%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
88%price88%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,662 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$623
72h +$623
Smart money entered79¢88¢at 16:15(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy18h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$9,956
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,662 riding on it.
The price of 88% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 79¢; the price was 88¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,662 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$623, +$623 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:15
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18h ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $79 |
| 18h ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $141 |
| 18h ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $141 |
| 18h ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $140 |
| 18h ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $140 |
| 4d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 16¢ | $36 |
| 4d ago | kaxel78Mid | Buy | No | 16¢ | $11 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | Yes | 78¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 22¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 25¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $56 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $34 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 21¢ | $24 |
| 2w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 15¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 15¢ | $2 |
| 2w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $2 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $15 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $15 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $22 |
| 2w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $13 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $10 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $8 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 18¢ | $15 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $16 |
| 2w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 19¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 19¢ | $17 |
| 2w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 20¢ | $35 |
| 2w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 20¢ | $28 |
| 2w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 21¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 21¢ | $16 |
| 2w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 21¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | kaxel78Mid | Buy | No | 20¢ | $7 |
| 2w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 22¢ | $51 |
| 3w ago | kaxel78Mid | Buy | No | 24¢ | $16 |
| 3w ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 24¢ | $12 |
| 3w ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $3 |
| 4w ago | kaxel78Mid | Buy | No | 24¢ | $33 |
| 4w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $38 |
| 4w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $108 |
| 4w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $68 |
| 4w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 20¢ | $51 |
| 4w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 20¢ | $51 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 80¢ | $400 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 81¢ | $405 |