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Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

ActiveLiquidity $9,956·Volume $193.0K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes88%No12%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 16:15computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
88% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
95%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
88%price88%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,662 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$623
72h +$623
Smart money entered79¢88¢at 16:15(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy18h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$9,956
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,662 riding on it.

The price of 88% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 79¢; the price was 88¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $2,662 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$623, +$623 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 16:15
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
18h agoRdogTestTopBuyYes91¢$79
18h agoRdogTestTopBuyYes91¢$141
18h agoRdogTestTopBuyYes91¢$141
18h agoRdogTestTopBuyYes90¢$140
18h agoRdogTestTopBuyYes90¢$140
4d agoklli27MidBuyNo16¢$36
4d agokaxel78MidBuyNo16¢$11
1w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyYes78¢$20
1w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo22¢$6
1w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo25¢$7
1w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyYes75¢$20
1w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyYes80¢$56
1w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyYes80¢$34
1w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo21¢$24
2w agoSpringlyFawlMidSellNo15¢$3
2w agoSpringlyFawlMidSellNo15¢$2
2w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo17¢$3
2w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo17¢$2
2w agoRdogTestTopBuyYes81¢$15
2w agoRdogTestTopBuyYes81¢$15
2w agoRdogTestTopBuyYes81¢$22
2w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo18¢$3
2w agoRdogTestTopBuyYes82¢$13
2w agoRdogTestTopBuyYes82¢$10
2w agoRdogTestTopBuyYes82¢$8
2w agoRdogTestTopBuyYes82¢$0
2w agoSpringlyFawlMidSellNo18¢$15
2w agoRdogTestTopBuyYes82¢$4
2w agoRdogTestTopBuyYes82¢$16
2w agoSpringlyFawlMidSellNo19¢$1
2w agoSpringlyFawlMidSellNo19¢$17
2w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo20¢$35
2w agoSpringlyFawlMidSellNo20¢$28
2w agoSpringlyFawlMidSellNo21¢$1
2w agoSpringlyFawlMidSellNo21¢$16
2w agoSpringlyFawlMidSellNo21¢$1
2w agokaxel78MidBuyNo20¢$7
2w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo22¢$51
3w agokaxel78MidBuyNo24¢$16
3w agoklli27MidBuyNo24¢$12
3w agoklli27MidBuyNo26¢$3
3w agoklli27MidBuyNo26¢$3
4w agokaxel78MidBuyNo24¢$33
4w agoRdogTestTopBuyYes75¢$38
4w agoRdogTestTopBuyYes75¢$108
4w agoRdogTestTopBuyYes75¢$68
4w agoSpringlyFawlMidSellNo20¢$51
4w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo20¢$51
4w agoTenebrus7TopSellYes80¢$400
4w agoTenebrus7TopSellYes81¢$405