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Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $31.8K·Volume $93.6K·Ends Mar 1, 2027
Price now:Yes35%No65%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:44computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
65% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
75%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
65%price65%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,623 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered56¢65¢at 07:44(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 110d(Mar 1, 2027)Liquidity$31.8K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is strongly betting on "No", with $1,623 riding on it.

The price of 65% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 56¢; the price was 65¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $1,623 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:44
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
3d agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes29¢$296
4d agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes33¢$15
4d agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes32¢$16
4d agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes32¢$75
5d agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo55¢$272
1w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo47¢$23
1w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo53¢$29
1w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo50¢$123
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes51¢$112
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes45¢$66
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes47¢$83
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes41¢$178
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo58¢$83
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes42¢$13
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes42¢$11
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes41¢$321
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo57¢$41
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo56¢$1,524
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes40¢$6
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes41¢$49
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo56¢$267
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo58¢$189
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo57¢$408
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo54¢$116
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes38¢$611
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes36¢$126
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes37¢$553
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes36¢$359
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo61¢$2,822
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo59¢$313
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes36¢$808
2w agofbetMidBuyYes35¢$175
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes37¢$41
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes36¢$94
2w agofbetMidBuyYes35¢$18
2w agofbetMidBuyYes35¢$0
2w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo60¢$926
3w agofbetMidBuyYes35¢$16
3w agofbetMidBuyYes35¢$3
3w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo61¢$183
3w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo50¢$362
3w agofbetMidBuyYes31¢$76
3w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo59¢$635
3w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes36¢$208
3w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo60¢$373
3w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes31¢$352
3w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes30¢$15
3w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes30¢$15
3w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo60¢$1,061
3w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyYes33¢$514