Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?
ActiveLiquidity $130.5K·Volume $1.3M·Ends Apr 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
Yes
2% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
2%price2%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$2,600 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered3.2¢1.7¢at 07:31(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 141d(Apr 1, 2027)Liquidity$130.5K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,600 riding on it.
The price of 2% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 3.2¢; the price was 1.7¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:31
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $14 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $41 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $51 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 3.9¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 3.9¢ | $23 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 3.8¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 3.9¢ | $30 |
| 1w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.3¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.3¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.3¢ | $16 |
| 1w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.3¢ | $36 |
| 1w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.3¢ | $192 |
| 2w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.3¢ | $21 |
| 2w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.2¢ | $17 |
| 2w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $180 |
| 2w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.6¢ | $250 |
| 2w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.7¢ | $343 |
| 2w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.7¢ | $19 |
| 2w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.7¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.7¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.7¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.7¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 3.7¢ | $7 |
| 3w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | Yes | 3.5¢ | $44 |
| 3w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | Yes | 3.5¢ | $58 |
| 3w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | Yes | 3.5¢ | $78 |
| 3w ago | MeckyMid | Buy | Yes | 3.3¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | MeckyMid | Buy | Yes | 3.3¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | MeckyMid | Buy | Yes | 3.3¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | MeckyMid | Buy | Yes | 3.3¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Sell | Yes | 3.6¢ | $24 |
| 4w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 3.5¢ | $10 |
| 4w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 3.5¢ | $41 |
| 4w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 3.5¢ | $81 |
| 4w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 3.3¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 3.3¢ | $32 |
| 4w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 3.3¢ | $80 |
| 4w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 3.3¢ | $11 |
| 4w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 3.3¢ | $11 |
| 4w ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | Yes | 3.2¢ | $0 |
| 4w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 4.8¢ | $10 |
| 4w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 4.8¢ | $20 |
| 4w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $95 |
| 4w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $190 |
| 4w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $267 |
| 4w ago | MenacingTurtleMid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $3 |