Kash Patel out by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $16.7K·Volume $482.6K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes19%No81%
Smart money leans
Yes
19% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
51%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
19%price19%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$2,100 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h -$620
Smart money entered67¢19¢at 18:07Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$16.7K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are narrowly leaning toward betting on "Yes", with $2,100 riding on it.
The price of 19% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 67¢; the price was 19¢ at this snapshot.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have trimmed -$620 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 18:07
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | MTDTop | Sell | Yes | 16¢ | $534 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 77¢ | $19 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 80¢ | $31 |
| 2w ago | MTDTop | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $78 |
| 2w ago | MTDTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $65 |
| 2w ago | MTDTop | Sell | Yes | 18¢ | $25 |
| 2w ago | MTDTop | Sell | Yes | 14¢ | $126 |
| 2w ago | MTDTop | Sell | Yes | 14¢ | $21 |
| 2w ago | MTDTop | Sell | Yes | 14¢ | $54 |
| 5w ago | MTDTop | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $126 |
| 5w ago | MTDTop | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | MTDTop | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $193 |