TailSlip
Log in

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?

ActiveLiquidity $35.0K·Volume $93.2K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes2%No98%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 21:26computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
94%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,733 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$17
72h +$17
Smart money entered96¢98¢at 21:26(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$35.0K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,733 riding on it.

The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $1,733 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$17, +$17 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 21:26
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo97¢$85
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo97¢$85
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo97¢$17
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo97¢$17
3d agomrworldwideTopBuyNo96¢$432
3d agomrworldwideTopBuyNo96¢$85
3d agomrworldwideTopBuyNo96¢$38
3d agomrworldwideTopBuyNo96¢$20
3d agomrworldwideTopBuyNo97¢$206
3d agomrworldwideTopBuyNo97¢$93
3d agomrworldwideTopBuyNo97¢$97
3d agomrworldwideTopBuyNo97¢$73
3d agomrworldwideTopBuyNo97¢$37
3d agomrworldwideTopBuyNo97¢$76
3d agoifyoulovemeTopSellYes1.0¢$0
4d agomrworldwideTopBuyNo96¢$567
4d agomrworldwideTopBuyNo96¢$9
6d agoG.HchenTopSellYes1.2¢$0
6d agoSpringlyFawlMidSellNo84¢$20
6d agoSpringlyFawlMidSellNo84¢$21
6d agoSpringlyFawlMidSellNo84¢$8
6d agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo86¢$51
6d agoRailcoolTopSellYes29¢$1,150
6d agoifyoulovemeTopBuyYes38¢$6
1w agolava-lavaTopBuyYes35¢$8
1w agolava-lavaTopBuyYes35¢$115
1w agoRailcoolTopBuyYes34¢$31
1w agoRailcoolTopBuyYes34¢$11
1w agoRailcoolTopBuyYes34¢$3
1w agoRailcoolTopBuyYes34¢$333
1w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo63¢$36
1w agokaxel78MidBuyNo63¢$133
1w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo63¢$38
1w agoklli27MidBuyNo63¢$141
1w agoSpringlyFawlMidBuyNo63¢$57
1w agoRailcoolTopBuyYes41¢$8
1w agoRailcoolTopBuyYes43¢$255
1w agoRailcoolTopBuyYes43¢$8
1w agoRailcoolTopBuyYes43¢$23
1w agoRailcoolTopBuyYes43¢$13
1w agoklli27MidBuyNo57¢$17
1w agoRailcoolTopBuyYes43¢$43
1w agoRailcoolTopBuyYes43¢$22
1w agoRailcoolTopBuyYes43¢$430
1w agoRailcoolTopBuyYes43¢$164
1w agoRailcoolTopBuyYes43¢$43
1w agoRailcoolTopBuyYes43¢$22
1w agoRailcoolTopBuyYes43¢$51
1w agoRailcoolTopBuyYes43¢$22
1w agoRailcoolTopBuyYes43¢$0