Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?
ActiveLiquidity $35.0K·Volume $93.2K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
94%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,733 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$17
72h +$17
Smart money entered96¢98¢at 21:26(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$35.0K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,733 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,733 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$17, +$17 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 21:26
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $85 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $85 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $17 |
| 1h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $17 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $432 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $85 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $38 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $20 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $206 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $93 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $97 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $73 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $37 |
| 3d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $76 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | Yes | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $567 |
| 4d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $9 |
| 6d ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 1.2¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $20 |
| 6d ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $21 |
| 6d ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $8 |
| 6d ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $51 |
| 6d ago | RailcoolTop | Sell | Yes | 29¢ | $1,150 |
| 6d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 38¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $115 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $31 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $11 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $333 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 63¢ | $36 |
| 1w ago | kaxel78Mid | Buy | No | 63¢ | $133 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 63¢ | $38 |
| 1w ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 63¢ | $141 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 63¢ | $57 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Buy | Yes | 41¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $255 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $23 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $13 |
| 1w ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 57¢ | $17 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $43 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $22 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $430 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $164 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $43 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $22 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $51 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $22 |
| 1w ago | RailcoolTop | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $0 |