Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?
ActiveLiquidity $18.8K·Volume $41.5K·Ends Sep 14, 2026
Price now:Yes29%No71%
Smart money leans
No
91% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
91%price91%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$4,143 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$6,288
Smart money entered89¢91¢at 07:06(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Sep 14, 2026)Liquidity$18.8K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $4,143 riding on it.
The price of 91% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 91¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$6,288 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:06
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $3,265 |
| 2d ago | ZaratustraMid | Sell | No | 88¢ | $238 |
| 2d ago | ZaratustraMid | Sell | No | 88¢ | $238 |
| 2d ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $3,265 |
| 4d ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 96¢ | $40 |
| 2w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $95 |
| 6w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $8 |
| 6w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $19 |
| 6w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $124 |
| 7w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $10 |
| 7w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $19 |
| 7w ago | DreamwireMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $35 |
| 7w ago | DreamwireMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $141 |
| 8w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $334 |
| 8w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $168 |
| 8w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $433 |
| 8w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $31 |
| 8w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $19 |
| 8w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $29 |
| 8w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $48 |
| 10w ago | ZaratustraMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $244 |