Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?
ActiveLiquidity $13.8K·Volume $78.5K·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,815 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$399
72h +$419
Smart money entered77¢100¢at 07:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy11h agoResolvesin 44h 49m(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$13.8K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,815 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 77¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,815 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$399, +$419 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $395 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 2.4¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 2.4¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 94¢ | $376 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 2.0¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $186 |
| 2d ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $188 |
| 2d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $18 |
| 3d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $116 |
| 3d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 83¢ | $86 |
| 3d ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 73¢ | $176 |
| 3d ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 74¢ | $92 |
| 3d ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 78¢ | $199 |
| 3d ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 79¢ | $126 |
| 3d ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $101 |
| 3d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 83¢ | $16 |
| 3d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $66 |
| 3d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $443 |
| 3d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $37 |
| 3d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $8 |
| 3d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $151 |
| 3d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $88 |
| 3d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $69 |
| 3d ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | No | 30¢ | $7 |
| 3d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $355 |
| 3d ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | No | 30¢ | $150 |
| 3d ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | No | 30¢ | $5 |
| 3d ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | No | 30¢ | $15 |
| 3d ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | No | 30¢ | $3 |
| 3d ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | No | 30¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | No | 29¢ | $138 |
| 3d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $9 |
| 3d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $235 |
| 3d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 58¢ | $163 |
| 4d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $28 |
| 4d ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | No | 59¢ | $141 |
| 4d ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $153 |
| 4d ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $20 |
| 4d ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $4 |
| 4d ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $34 |
| 4d ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $4 |
| 4d ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $69 |
| 4d ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $32 |
| 5d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $11 |
| 5d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | No | 63¢ | $156 |