US strike on Cuba by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $26.0K·Volume $5.5M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes8%No93%
Smart money leans
No
93% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
73%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
93%price92%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$8,991 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered91¢93¢at 14:01Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 52d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$26.0K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $8,991 riding on it.
The price of 93% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 91¢; the price was 93¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $8,991 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 14:01
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $31 |
| 4d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $2,790 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $67 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $238 |
| 1w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $1,860 |
| 2w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $2,143 |
| 2w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $531 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $1,320 |
| 5w ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Sell | No | 88¢ | $742 |
| 5w ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Sell | No | 88¢ | $4,641 |
| 7w ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Sell | No | 85¢ | $4,012 |
| 7w ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Sell | No | 86¢ | $253 |
| 7w ago | LulaVaiPerderTop | Sell | No | 86¢ | $592 |
| 11w ago | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05Mid | Sell | Yes | 16¢ | $326 |
| 11w ago | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05Mid | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $340 |
| 11w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $3,705 |
| 11w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $150 |
| 11w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $1 |
| 11w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $15 |
| 11w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $200 |
| 11w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $7 |
| 11w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $6 |
| 11w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $8 |
| 11w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $8 |
| 11w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $150 |
| 11w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $71 |
| 11w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $25 |
| 11w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $4 |
| 11w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $21 |
| 11w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $3 |
| 11w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $84 |
| 11w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $7 |
| 11w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $304 |
| 11w ago | lava-lavaTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $1,094 |