Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $79.5K·Volume $1.2M·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,040 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered95¢98¢at 07:18(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 50d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$79.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,040 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,040 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:18
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5w ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $384 |
| 5w ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1,991 |