Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $38.5K·Volume $80.8K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes6%No94%
Smart money leans
No
93% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
93%price93%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$8,104 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered92¢93¢at 21:14(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$38.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $8,104 riding on it.
The price of 93% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 93¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $8,104 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.