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Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

ActiveLiquidity $36.9K·Volume $151.1K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes16%No84%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:31computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
85% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
67%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
85%price85%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$1,351 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$722
72h +$905
Smart money entered74¢85¢at 07:31(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy11h agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$36.9K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "No", with $1,351 riding on it.

The price of 85% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 74¢; the price was 85¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$722, +$905 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:31
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
11h agoeCashTopBuyNo78¢$5
11h agoeCashTopBuyNo78¢$234
13h agoeCashTopBuyNo78¢$35
13h agoeCashTopBuyNo78¢$23
14h agoeCashTopBuyNo78¢$53
14h agoeCashTopBuyNo78¢$117
16h agoeCashTopBuyNo79¢$198
17h agotroimMidSellYes24¢$9
17h agotroimMidSellYes24¢$24
17h agotroimMidSellYes24¢$24
18h agotroimMidSellYes24¢$308
18h agotroimMidSellYes24¢$308
1d agotroimMidSellYes33¢$29
1d agotroimMidSellYes33¢$29
1d agotroimMidSellYes33¢$94
1d agotroimMidSellYes33¢$94
1d agotroimMidSellYes33¢$96
1d agotroimMidSellYes33¢$96
1d agotroimMidSellYes33¢$2
1d agotroimMidSellYes33¢$2
1d agoYouSayUpISayDownMidBuyNo72¢$72
1d agoYouSayUpISayDownMidBuyNo72¢$72
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$2
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$2
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$2
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$2
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$43
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$43
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$2
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$2
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$2
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$4
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$2
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$4
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$856
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$2
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$1
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$14
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$8
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$2
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$8
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$14
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$856
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$1
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$0
1d agotroimMidBuyYes24¢$0
2d agoYouSayUpISayDownMidSellNo75¢$9
2d agoYouSayUpISayDownMidSellNo75¢$9
2d agoYouSayUpISayDownMidBuyNo76¢$9
2d ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyNo76¢$53