Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $36.9K·Volume $151.1K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes16%No84%
Smart money leans
No
85% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
67%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
85%price85%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$1,351 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$722
72h +$905
Smart money entered74¢85¢at 07:31(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy11h agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$36.9K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "No", with $1,351 riding on it.
The price of 85% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 74¢; the price was 85¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$722, +$905 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:31
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11h ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 78¢ | $5 |
| 11h ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 78¢ | $234 |
| 13h ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 78¢ | $35 |
| 13h ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 78¢ | $23 |
| 14h ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 78¢ | $53 |
| 14h ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 78¢ | $117 |
| 16h ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 79¢ | $198 |
| 17h ago | troimMid | Sell | Yes | 24¢ | $9 |
| 17h ago | troimMid | Sell | Yes | 24¢ | $24 |
| 17h ago | troimMid | Sell | Yes | 24¢ | $24 |
| 18h ago | troimMid | Sell | Yes | 24¢ | $308 |
| 18h ago | troimMid | Sell | Yes | 24¢ | $308 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Sell | Yes | 33¢ | $29 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Sell | Yes | 33¢ | $29 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Sell | Yes | 33¢ | $94 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Sell | Yes | 33¢ | $94 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Sell | Yes | 33¢ | $96 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Sell | Yes | 33¢ | $96 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Sell | Yes | 33¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Sell | Yes | 33¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $72 |
| 1d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $72 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $43 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $43 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $856 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $856 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 75¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 75¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $53 |