Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $135.0K·Volume $1.5M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
92%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$9,385 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$8,220
72h +$8,220
Smart money entered96¢99¢at 17:12(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy23h agoResolvesin 50d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$135.0K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $9,385 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$8,220, +$8,220 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:12
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23h ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $2,620 |
| 23h ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $2,620 |
| 23h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $2,955 |
| 1w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $12 |
| 1w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $11 |
| 1w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $253 |
| 1w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $120 |
| 1w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $41 |
| 1w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $2,949 |
| 1w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $2,949 |
| 1w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 1.5¢ | $41 |
| 1w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $2,958 |
| 1w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 1.5¢ | $39 |
| 2w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 1.3¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 1.3¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 1.3¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 1.3¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 1.3¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 1.3¢ | $58 |
| 2w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 1.3¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $353 |
| 6w ago | boyauMid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $61 |
| 7w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 1.9¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 1.9¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 1.9¢ | $6 |
| 7w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 1.9¢ | $1 |
| 8w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 2.3¢ | $1 |
| 8w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 2.3¢ | $3 |
| 8w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 2.3¢ | $2 |
| 8w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 2.2¢ | $71 |
| 8w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 2.2¢ | $147 |
| 8w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 2.3¢ | $0 |
| 8w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 2.3¢ | $1 |
| 8w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 2.3¢ | $0 |
| 8w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 2.3¢ | $0 |
| 8w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 2.3¢ | $0 |
| 8w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 2.3¢ | $1 |
| 8w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 2.3¢ | $1 |
| 8w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 2.3¢ | $0 |
| 8w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 2.3¢ | $0 |
| 8w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 2.3¢ | $1 |
| 8w ago | boyauMid | Sell | Yes | 2.3¢ | $1 |