Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $20.6K·Volume $114.4K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes10%No90%
Smart money leans
No
90% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
90%price90%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$2,833 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered85¢90¢at 06:39(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$20.6K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,833 riding on it.
The price of 90% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 90¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,833 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:39
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $683 |
| 3d ago | ponydsbMid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $115 |
| 3d ago | 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $2,040 |
| 5d ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $49 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | Yes | 22¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | Yes | 22¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | Yes | 22¢ | $1 |
| 7w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | Yes | 22¢ | $39 |
| 7w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | Yes | 22¢ | $3 |
| 9w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $1 |
| 9w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $60 |