Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $6,881·Volume $30.1K·Ends Nov 19, 2026
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$2,505 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,645
72h +$4,453
Smart money entered83¢98¢at 17:25(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesin 8d(Nov 19, 2026)Liquidity$6,881
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,505 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,505 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,645, +$4,453 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:25
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $674 |
| 4h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $674 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $90 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $90 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $6 |
| 5h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $6 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $42 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $42 |
| 7h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $85 |
| 7h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $85 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 69¢ | $35 |
| 8h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 68¢ | $136 |
| 8h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 76¢ | $76 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 69¢ | $35 |
| 8h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 68¢ | $136 |
| 8h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 76¢ | $76 |
| 9h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 55¢ | $110 |
| 9h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 55¢ | $110 |
| 9h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 79¢ | $158 |
| 9h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 79¢ | $158 |
| 9h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 72¢ | $144 |
| 9h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 72¢ | $144 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $93 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $71 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $41 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $51 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $103 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 91¢ | $202 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 86¢ | $68 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 76¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 76¢ | $74 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 83¢ | $206 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 74¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 74¢ | $48 |