Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $63.8K·Volume $3.3M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes49%No51%
Smart money leans
Yes
50% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
70%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
50%price50%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$2,257 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$333
Smart money entered33¢50¢at 17:27Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$63.8K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "Yes", with $2,257 riding on it.
The price of 50% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 33¢; the price was 50¢ at this snapshot.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$333 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:27
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $40 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 58¢ | $178 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 58¢ | $178 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 58¢ | $56 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 58¢ | $178 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $40 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $43 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $43 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $22 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $22 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $33 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $33 |
| 2d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 55¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 55¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 54¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 55¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 54¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 54¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 54¢ | $7 |
| 3d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 58¢ | $17 |
| 3d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 64¢ | $4 |
| 3d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 64¢ | $4 |
| 3d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 65¢ | $15 |
| 3d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 65¢ | $4 |
| 3d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 65¢ | $4 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 66¢ | $47 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 66¢ | $17 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 66¢ | $17 |
| 4d ago | RdogTestTop | Sell | No | 64¢ | $27 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $336 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $11 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $38 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $12 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $30 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $7 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $49 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $17 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $203 |