Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
ActiveLiquidity $41.1K·Volume $468.6K·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes28%No72%
Smart money leans
No
72% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.2pp
model above price
Consensus
76%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
72%price72%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$119 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,250
72h +$1,190
Smart money entered76¢72¢at 07:34(0% priced in)Edge left+0.2ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$41.1K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $119 riding on it.
The price of 72% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 76¢; the price was 72¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $119 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,250, +$1,190 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:34
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 71¢ | $71 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $72 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $362 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 73¢ | $219 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 73¢ | $73 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $362 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 73¢ | $219 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 73¢ | $73 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 71¢ | $71 |
| 2h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $72 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $14 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $16 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $16 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $14 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $5 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $7 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $5 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $13 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $10 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $13 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $5 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $5 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $5 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $7 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $13 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $5 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $5 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $5 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $10 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $13 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $52 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $52 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $164 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $164 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $92 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $92 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $157 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $157 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $183 |
| 8h ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | No | 76¢ | $284 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $162 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $102 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $102 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $22 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $22 |
| 10h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 76¢ | $48 |