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Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?

ActiveLiquidity $41.1K·Volume $468.6K·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes28%No72%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:34computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
72% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.2pp
model above price
Consensus
76%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
72%price72%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$119 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,250
72h +$1,190
Smart money entered76¢72¢at 07:34(0% priced in)Edge left+0.2ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$41.1K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $119 riding on it.

The price of 72% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 76¢; the price was 72¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $119 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,250, +$1,190 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:34
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo71¢$71
2h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo72¢$72
2h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo72¢$362
2h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo73¢$219
2h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo73¢$73
2h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo72¢$362
2h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo73¢$219
2h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo73¢$73
2h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo71¢$71
2h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo72¢$72
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$14
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$2
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$16
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$2
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$16
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$14
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$5
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$7
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$5
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$13
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$10
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$13
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$5
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$5
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$5
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$7
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$13
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$5
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$5
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$5
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$10
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$13
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$52
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes23¢$52
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo74¢$164
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo74¢$164
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo75¢$92
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo75¢$92
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo75¢$157
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo75¢$157
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo75¢$4
7h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo75¢$4
7h agoStarMasterMidBuyYes24¢$183
8h agoStarMasterMidSellNo76¢$284
8h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes24¢$162
8h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes24¢$102
8h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes24¢$102
8h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes22¢$22
8h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes22¢$22
10h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo76¢$48