Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $181.2K·Volume $2.4M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
99%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$97.0K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$15
72h +$4,967
Smart money entered91¢97¢at 07:22(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy11h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$181.2K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $97.0K riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 91¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$15, +$4,967 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:22
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11h ago | ThanksGivingTurkey1001Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $8 |
| 11h ago | ThanksGivingTurkey1001Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 2.8¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 2.8¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $68 |
| 1d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $68 |
| 1d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $3,222 |
| 1d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $3,222 |
| 1d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | pilimiliMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $1,462 |
| 2d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $5,039 |
| 2d ago | ThanksGivingTurkey1001Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $4,702 |
| 2d ago | ThanksGivingTurkey1001Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $141 |
| 3d ago | ThanksGivingTurkey1001Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $3 |
| 3d ago | ThanksGivingTurkey1001Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $158 |
| 3d ago | ThanksGivingTurkey1001Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | ThanksGivingTurkey1001Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | ThanksGivingTurkey1001Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | ThanksGivingTurkey1001Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | ThanksGivingTurkey1001Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $2 |
| 3d ago | ThanksGivingTurkey1001Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $2,283 |
| 4d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $3,859 |
| 5d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $77 |
| 6d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $800 |
| 6d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $511 |
| 6d ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $966 |
| 6d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $19 |
| 6d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $17,205 |
| 6d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $7 |
| 6d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $10 |
| 6d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1,063 |
| 6d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $380 |
| 1w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $95 |
| 1w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $95 |
| 1w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $950 |
| 1w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $24 |
| 1w ago | ponydsbMid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $130 |
| 1w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $4 |