Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
ActiveLiquidity $403.1K·Volume $2.0M·Ends Nov 29, 2026
Price now:Yes35%No65%
Smart money leans
No
65% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
98%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
65%price65%model est.*
Smart wallets
24
$66.9K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$13.6K
72h +$29.1K
Smart money entered65¢65¢at 07:11(53% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy11h agoResolvesin 18d(Nov 29, 2026)Liquidity$403.1K
Explanation
24 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $66.9K riding on it.
The price of 65% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 65¢; the price was 65¢ at this snapshot — roughly 53% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$13.6K, +$29.1K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:11