Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $10.5K·Volume $104.6K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes69%No32%
Smart money leans
Yes
69% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
69%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
69%price69%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,213 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered55¢69¢at 06:59(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$10.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is strongly betting on "Yes", with $1,213 riding on it.
The price of 69% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 55¢; the price was 69¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,213 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:59
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | DumplingBMFMid | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $392 |
| 1w ago | Voland6777Mid | Sell | No | 25¢ | $76 |
| 1w ago | Voland6777Mid | Sell | No | 34¢ | $50 |
| 1w ago | Voland6777Mid | Sell | No | 33¢ | $64 |
| 1w ago | Voland6777Mid | Sell | No | 34¢ | $28 |
| 1w ago | Voland6777Mid | Sell | No | 34¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | Voland6777Mid | Sell | No | 34¢ | $134 |
| 2w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 62¢ | $307 |
| 2w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 65¢ | $378 |
| 2w ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | No | 25¢ | $10 |
| 2w ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | No | 30¢ | $39 |
| 2w ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | No | 30¢ | $21 |
| 2w ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | No | 30¢ | $25 |
| 2w ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | No | 34¢ | $61 |
| 2w ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | No | 34¢ | $7 |
| 3w ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | No | 39¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | No | 39¢ | $64 |
| 3w ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | No | 39¢ | $78 |
| 3w ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | No | 39¢ | $12 |
| 3w ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | No | 39¢ | $20 |
| 3w ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | No | 39¢ | $20 |
| 3w ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | No | 39¢ | $9 |
| 3w ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | No | 41¢ | $26 |
| 3w ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | No | 41¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | No | 41¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | No | 41¢ | $7 |
| 3w ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | No | 41¢ | $13 |
| 3w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 60¢ | $29 |
| 3w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 60¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 60¢ | $45 |
| 3w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 60¢ | $10 |
| 3w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 60¢ | $77 |
| 3w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 60¢ | $77 |
| 3w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 60¢ | $77 |
| 3w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 62¢ | $20 |
| 3w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 57¢ | $159 |
| 3w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 62¢ | $2 |
| 3w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 62¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 62¢ | $2 |
| 3w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 62¢ | $8 |
| 3w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 62¢ | $2 |
| 3w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 62¢ | $19 |
| 3w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 62¢ | $19 |
| 3w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 62¢ | $19 |
| 3w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 57¢ | $863 |
| 3w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 60¢ | $49 |
| 3w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 60¢ | $522 |
| 4w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 34¢ | $18 |
| 4w ago | DumplingBMFMid | Sell | Yes | 84¢ | $55 |
| 5w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 48¢ | $10 |