Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $41.6K·Volume $394.5K·Ends Dec 16, 2026
Price now:Yes97%No3%
Smart money leans
Yes
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$4,902 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$447
72h +$3,705
Smart money entered83¢97¢at 16:15(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy15h agoResolvesin 35d(Dec 16, 2026)Liquidity$41.6K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $4,902 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$447, +$3,705 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:15
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $480 |
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $480 |
| 15h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $376 |
| 15h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $376 |
| 22h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $246 |
| 22h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $246 |
| 23h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $12 |
| 23h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $12 |
| 23h ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $22 |
| 23h ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $22 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $1,115 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $1,115 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | Yes | 84¢ | $167 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 84¢ | $420 |
| 3d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 83¢ | $2 |
| 3d ago | betwickMid | Sell | Yes | 68¢ | $2,437 |
| 3d ago | betwickMid | Sell | Yes | 68¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | betwickMid | Sell | Yes | 68¢ | $1,281 |
| 3d ago | dromedaryyTop | Buy | No | 33¢ | $136 |
| 4d ago | betwickMid | Sell | Yes | 65¢ | $65 |
| 4d ago | betwickMid | Sell | Yes | 65¢ | $52 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $131 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 65¢ | $130 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 68¢ | $204 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $122 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $20 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $258 |
| 5d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $122 |
| 5d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $430 |
| 5d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $435 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $180 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 90¢ | $775 |
| 2w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $400 |
| 2w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 74¢ | $3,036 |
| 2w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $460 |
| 2w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 80¢ | $1,779 |
| 2w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 80¢ | $722 |
| 2w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $370 |
| 2w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $72 |
| 2w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $11 |