Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $1,848·Volume $127.4K·Ends Jan 5, 2027
Price now:Anthropic84%OpenAI17%
Smart money leans
Anthropic
85% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
98%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
85%price85%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$15.3K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered91¢85¢at 16:13(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 55d(Jan 5, 2027)Liquidity$1,848
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Anthropic", with $15.3K riding on it.
The price of 85% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 91¢; the price was 85¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $15.3K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:13
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | Anthropic | 92¢ | $7,360 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Anthropic | 90¢ | $452 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | Anthropic | 93¢ | $1,865 |
| 5w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | Anthropic | 90¢ | $1,359 |
| 6w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | Anthropic | 92¢ | $646 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Anthropic | 86¢ | $430 |
| 7w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | Anthropic | 89¢ | $4,450 |
| 9w ago | thoodrTop | Buy | Anthropic | 91¢ | $731 |