Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
ActiveLiquidity $30.4K·Volume $301.4K·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes92%No8%
Smart money leans
Yes
93% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
83%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
93%price93%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$146 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$283
72h +$283
Smart money entered85¢93¢at 07:37Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 20d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$30.4K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "Yes", with $146 riding on it.
The price of 93% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 93¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $146 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$283, +$283 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:37
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 9.0¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 9.0¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $136 |
| 2h ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | Yes | 89¢ | $136 |
| 15h ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 17¢ | $159 |
| 15h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $113 |
| 15h ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 20¢ | $8 |
| 18h ago | PulserMid | Buy | No | 20¢ | $12 |
| 21h ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 20¢ | $238 |
| 21h ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 20¢ | $238 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 79¢ | $79 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 79¢ | $79 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $70 |
| 1d ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $70 |
| 1d ago | congoterrierMid | Buy | No | 41¢ | $21 |
| 1d ago | congoterrierMid | Buy | No | 41¢ | $21 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 66¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 66¢ | $147 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 66¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 65¢ | $38 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 66¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 65¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 65¢ | $51 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 65¢ | $67 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 65¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 65¢ | $45 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 50¢ | $105 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 50¢ | $130 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 50¢ | $239 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 41¢ | $55 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 39¢ | $238 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 47¢ | $327 |
| 3w ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 57¢ | $194 |
| 3w ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 57¢ | $6 |
| 3w ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 57¢ | $2 |
| 3w ago | eCashTop | Sell | No | 58¢ | $377 |
| 3w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 36¢ | $700 |
| 4w ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $11 |