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Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

ActiveLiquidity $83.3K·Volume $312.5K·Ends Nov 3, 2026
Price now:Yes99%No1%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:02computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
99%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
9
$49.3K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$9,430
72h +$8,392
Smart money entered74¢99¢at 07:02(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesended(Nov 3, 2026)Liquidity$83.3K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

9 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $49.3K riding on it.

The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 74¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$9,430, +$8,392 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:02
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
5h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes99¢$3,523
5h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes99¢$3,523
19h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes99¢$1,174
19h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes99¢$1,174
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes98¢$156
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes98¢$156
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes98¢$16
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes98¢$16
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes98¢$15
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes98¢$15
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes98¢$29
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes98¢$143
1d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes98¢$49
2d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes98¢$98
2d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes98¢$10
2d agoEdgePuntaMidSellYes98¢$1,728
3d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes98¢$103
3d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes98¢$42
3d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes98¢$142
3d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes98¢$4
4d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes98¢$71
4d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes97¢$180
4d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes97¢$5,596
4d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes97¢$115
5d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes95¢$105
5d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes95¢$741
5d agoifyoulovemeTopBuyYes96¢$29
5d agoifyoulovemeTopBuyYes96¢$47
5d agoifyoulovemeTopBuyYes96¢$48
5d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes96¢$404
5d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes96¢$905
5d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes96¢$2,177
5d agoifyoulovemeTopBuyYes96¢$19
5d agoifyoulovemeTopBuyYes96¢$19
5d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes96¢$104
5d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes96¢$267
5d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo4.0¢$12
5d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes96¢$39
5d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes96¢$599
5d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes96¢$96
5d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo4.0¢$2
5d agokekkoneMidSellYes93¢$33
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes92¢$155
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes92¢$165
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes92¢$407
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes92¢$253
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes92¢$494
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes92¢$568
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes92¢$10
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes93¢$277