Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $15.7K·Volume $31.6K·Ends Nov 17, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$8,110 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$6,051
72h +$8,057
Smart money entered95¢100¢at 17:25(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesin 6d(Nov 17, 2026)Liquidity$15.7K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $8,110 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$6,051, +$8,057 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:25
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 99¢ | $991 |
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 99¢ | $991 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $737 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $737 |
| 8h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 70¢ | $15 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $215 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $217 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $218 |
| 9h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 90¢ | $897 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $215 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $217 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $218 |
| 9h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 90¢ | $897 |
| 12h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $1,585 |
| 12h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $1,585 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $937 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $935 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $579 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 92¢ | $386 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 94¢ | $470 |
| 5d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $278 |
| 5d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $478 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 98¢ | $381 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 92¢ | $52 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 92¢ | $12 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $1,116 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 92¢ | $460 |