US imports Russian diesel by November 30?
ActiveLiquidity $7,349·Volume $387.8K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes6%No94%
Smart money leans
No
94% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
80%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
94%price94%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$6,215 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$579
72h +$579
Smart money entered64¢94¢at 22:48(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$7,349
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $6,215 riding on it.
The price of 94% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 64¢; the price was 94¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$579, +$579 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 22:48
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 5.8¢ | $3 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 5.8¢ | $3 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 5.8¢ | $6 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 5.8¢ | $6 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $94 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $95 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $94 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $95 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $57 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $57 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $20 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $7 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $20 |
| 7h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $7 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $9 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $27 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 9h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $7 |
| 14h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $20 |
| 14h ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 91¢ | $281 |
| 14h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $20 |
| 14h ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 91¢ | $281 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $76 |
| 15h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $121 |
| 16h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $23 |
| 16h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $23 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $76 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $76 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $18 |
| 1d ago | klli27Mid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $65 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $37 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $35 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $43 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $90 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $21 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $7 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $23 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $4 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $2,418 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $104 |