Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
ActiveLiquidity $1.4M·Volume $44.9M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
Yes
1% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
1%price1%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$259 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered0.4¢0.9¢at 03:18(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$1.4M
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $259 riding on it.
The price of 1% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 0.4¢; the price was 0.9¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $259 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:18
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | plumbisMid | Buy | Yes | 0.7¢ | $140 |
| 5d ago | DragontreeMid | Sell | Yes | 0.7¢ | $142 |
| 5d ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 0.7¢ | $3 |
| 5d ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $3 |
| 6d ago | congoterrierMid | Buy | Yes | 0.9¢ | $94 |
| 1w ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $160 |
| 9w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $6 |
| 9w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $2 |
| 9w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $10 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $18 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $2 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $2 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $1 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $1 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $2 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $10 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $1 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $74 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $4 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $1 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $1 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $3 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $7 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $2 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $28 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $11 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $9 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $0 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $2 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $7 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $2 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $29 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $12 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $1 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $83 |
| 10w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $1 |
| 11w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $10 |
| 11w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $7 |
| 11w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $10 |
| 12w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $156 |
| 12w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $93 |
| 12w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $55 |
| 12w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $2 |
| 12w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $2 |
| 12w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $2 |
| 12w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $2 |
| 12w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $1 |
| 12w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $185 |