Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $4,969·Volume $188.2K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes6%No94%
Smart money leans
No
94% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
94%price94%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,758 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered82¢94¢at 16:39(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$4,969
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,758 riding on it.
The price of 94% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 82¢; the price was 94¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,758 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:39
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 82¢ | $212 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 81¢ | $168 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 82¢ | $4 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 82¢ | $105 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 80¢ | $317 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 83¢ | $16 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 81¢ | $179 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 80¢ | $22 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 83¢ | $40 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 83¢ | $83 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 83¢ | $12 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 83¢ | $127 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 80¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 80¢ | $7 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 80¢ | $3 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 80¢ | $6 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 80¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 80¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 80¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 80¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 80¢ | $81 |
| 5w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | No | 80¢ | $149 |
| 8w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $60 |
| 8w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $5 |
| 9w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $309 |