Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
ActiveLiquidity $780.9K·Volume $14.4M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes11%No89%
Smart money leans
No
89% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
70%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
89%price89%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$53.9K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered87¢89¢at 06:46Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$780.9K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is strongly betting on "No", with $53.9K riding on it.
The price of 89% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 87¢; the price was 89¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $53.9K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:46
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | JesetradingTop | Sell | Yes | 12¢ | $232 |
| 5d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $97 |
| 5d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $7 |
| 5d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $87 |
| 5d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $2 |
| 5d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $7 |
| 5d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $464 |
| 6d ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $57 |
| 1w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $131 |
| 1w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $58 |
| 1w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $8,441 |
| 1w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $8,670 |
| 1w ago | thebug44Mid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $518 |
| 1w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $34 |
| 1w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $50 |
| 1w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $174 |
| 1w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | thebug44Mid | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $353 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $3,876 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $7 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $7 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $7 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $1,327 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $174 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $7 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $13 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $102 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $98 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $1,738 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $19 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $1,306 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $9 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $860 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $103 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $7 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $129 |
| 2w ago | thebug44Mid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $23 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $11 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $5,997 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $873 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $344 |
| 2w ago | thebug44Mid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $2 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $402 |
| 2w ago | thebug44Mid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $0 |