Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $7,480 riding on it.

The price of 89% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 76¢; the price was 89¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$103, +$3,972 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.