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Will Democrats win the Alaska Governor election and Republicans win the Alaska Senate election?

ActiveLiquidity $29.7K·Volume $11.5K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes1%No99%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 11:49computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$167 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$152
72h +$809
Smart money entered98¢99¢at 11:49(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy16h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$29.7K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $167 riding on it.

The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $167 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$152, +$809 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 11:49
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
16h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo97¢$75
16h agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo97¢$75
2d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo98¢$325
2d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo98¢$325
5d ago0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eMidBuyYes4.5¢$1
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo98¢$48
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes5.0¢$2
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes5.0¢$2
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes5.0¢$1
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes5.0¢$2
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes5.0¢$1
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes5.0¢$2
6d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes5.0¢$1
1w agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes21¢$3
2w agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes12¢$2
2w agolava-lavaTopBuyYes13¢$11
2w agolava-lavaTopBuyYes13¢$4
2w agolava-lavaTopBuyYes13¢$3
2w agolava-lavaTopBuyYes13¢$11
2w agolava-lavaTopBuyYes13¢$1
2w agolava-lavaTopBuyYes13¢$4
2w agolava-lavaTopBuyYes13¢$0
2w agolava-lavaTopBuyYes13¢$4
2w agolava-lavaTopBuyYes13¢$3
2w agolava-lavaTopBuyYes13¢$9
2w agolava-lavaTopBuyYes13¢$7
2w agolava-lavaTopBuyYes13¢$1
2w agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes14¢$8
7w agolongliveapplesTopBuyYes12¢$27
11w agoHolyMoses7MidBuyNo72¢$38