Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $3,562·Volume $109.7K·Ends Feb 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$20.3K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered83¢99¢at 07:03(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 82d(Feb 1, 2027)Liquidity$3,562
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $20.3K riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $20.3K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:03
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No smart trades recorded yet. | |||||