Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $28.1K·Volume $37.9K·Ends Mar 1, 2027
Price now:Yes66%No34%
Smart money leans
Yes
66% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
66%price66%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$547 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered41¢66¢at 07:07(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 110d(Mar 1, 2027)Liquidity$28.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $547 riding on it.
The price of 66% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 41¢; the price was 66¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $547 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:07
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Sell | Yes | 69¢ | $419 |
| 6d ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Sell | Yes | 55¢ | $432 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | No | 57¢ | $123 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 52¢ | $11 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 52¢ | $63 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 51¢ | $37 |
| 1w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $158 |
| 1w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $26 |
| 1w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 41¢ | $308 |
| 1w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $578 |
| 2w ago | HolyMoses7Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $61 |