Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $8,547·Volume $29.8K·Ends Nov 23, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$6,878
72h +$6,878
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 00:24(16% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy9h agoResolvesin 12d(Nov 23, 2026)Liquidity$8,547
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 16% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$6,878, +$6,878 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:24
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9h ago | CoinTrickMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $10 |
| 9h ago | CoinTrickMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $3,434 |
| 9h ago | CoinTrickMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $3,434 |
| 1d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | Yes | 14¢ | $56 |
| 2d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $12 |
| 4d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $269 |