TailSlip
Log in

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $18.7K·Volume $186.0K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes98%No2%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 17:47computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$19.3K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered91¢98¢at 17:47(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$18.7K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $19.3K riding on it.

The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 91¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $19.3K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 17:47
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
4d agothoodrTopBuyYes98¢$27
4d agothoodrTopBuyYes98¢$157
4d agothoodrTopBuyYes98¢$277
4d agothoodrTopBuyYes98¢$310
1w agothoodrTopBuyYes98¢$2,887
1w agoTenebrus7TopSellYes87¢$174
4w agothoodrTopBuyYes88¢$746
5w agothoodrTopBuyYes92¢$12
5w agothoodrTopBuyYes92¢$138
5w agothoodrTopBuyYes93¢$280
5w agothoodrTopBuyYes92¢$12
5w agothoodrTopBuyYes92¢$37
5w agothoodrTopBuyYes92¢$33
5w agothoodrTopBuyYes92¢$185
5w agothoodrTopBuyYes92¢$173
5w agothoodrTopBuyYes92¢$1,783
5w agothoodrTopBuyYes92¢$5
5w agothoodrTopBuyYes92¢$115
5w agothoodrTopBuyYes91¢$822
5w agothoodrTopBuyYes91¢$2,730
5w agothoodrTopBuyYes86¢$246
5w agothoodrTopBuyYes88¢$265
5w agothoodrTopBuyYes88¢$7,040
5w agothoodrTopBuyYes89¢$358
6w agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes90¢$90
6w agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes89¢$89
6w agothoodrTopBuyYes80¢$665