TailSlip
Log in

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?

ActiveLiquidity $66.9K·Volume $394.2K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes66%No34%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:34Smart money exiting · $945 sold 24hcomputed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
31% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
81%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
31%price31%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$2,119 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$70
72h +$221
Smart money entered27¢31¢at 06:34(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy11h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$66.9K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $2,119 riding on it.

The price of 31% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 27¢; the price was 31¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Warning: wallets that backed "No" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$70, +$221 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.

Delayed 1h · as of 06:34
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2h agoxxNyxMidSellNo36¢$4
2h agoxxNyxMidSellNo33¢$288
2h agoxxNyxMidSellNo36¢$79
3h agoxxNyxMidSellNo25¢$436
7h agopiepedMidSellNo20¢$714
8h agoCarMidSellYes80¢$3
8h agoCarMidSellYes80¢$1
8h agoCarMidSellYes80¢$152
8h agoCarMidSellYes80¢$0
8h agoCarMidSellYes80¢$0
8h agoCarMidSellYes80¢$3
8h agoCarMidSellYes80¢$1
10h agoCarMidSellYes79¢$158
10h agoCarMidSellYes78¢$18
10h agoCarMidSellYes78¢$8
10h agoCarMidSellYes78¢$107
11h agopiepedMidBuyNo24¢$4
11h agopiepedMidBuyNo24¢$720
12h agopiepedMidBuyNo24¢$133
12h agohugecaulkMidSellNo24¢$48
12h agopiepedMidBuyNo24¢$133
17h agocongoterrierMidBuyNo25¢$283
17h agocongoterrierMidBuyNo25¢$283
18h agoCarMidSellYes78¢$23
18h agoCarMidSellYes78¢$23
1d agoCarMidBuyYes70¢$140
1d agoAllByMyseIfMidSellNo30¢$919
1d agoAllByMyseIfMidSellNo30¢$1,841
1d agotroimMidBuyNo27¢$301
1d agotroimMidBuyNo27¢$301
1d agoG.HchenTopSellYes71¢$185
1d agoG.HchenTopSellYes71¢$185
1d agoG.HchenTopSellYes72¢$352
1d agotroimMidBuyNo27¢$185
1d agotroimMidBuyNo27¢$185
2d agotroimMidBuyNo27¢$54
2d agotroimMidBuyNo27¢$54
2d agoAllByMyseIfMidBuyNo26¢$52
2d agoAllByMyseIfMidBuyNo28¢$581
2d agoAllByMyseIfMidBuyNo28¢$39
2d agoAllByMyseIfMidBuyNo28¢$0
2d agoAllByMyseIfMidBuyNo28¢$14
2d agoAllByMyseIfMidBuyNo28¢$8
2d agoAllByMyseIfMidBuyNo28¢$54
2d agoCarMidBuyYes71¢$0
2d agoAllByMyseIfMidBuyNo28¢$3
2d agoCarMidBuyYes71¢$4
2d agoAllByMyseIfMidBuyNo28¢$8
2d agoCarMidBuyYes71¢$4
2d agoAllByMyseIfMidBuyNo28¢$8