Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $61.4K·Volume $673.3K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$8,517 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered97¢98¢at 19:49(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$61.4K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $8,517 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $8,517 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.