Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
ActiveLiquidity $262.9K·Volume $1.6M·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.4pp
model below price
Consensus
86%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$116.9K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$11.8K
72h +$15.7K
Smart money entered96¢98¢at 07:44Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$262.9K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $116.9K riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$11.8K, +$15.7K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:44
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $4,900 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $4,900 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $145 |
| 4h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $240 |
| 5h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $168 |
| 5h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $98 |
| 6h ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $1,175 |
| 1d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 3.5¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 3.5¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 3.5¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 3.5¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 4.0¢ | $52 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 4.0¢ | $52 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $102 |
| 1d ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $102 |
| 1d ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.8¢ | $3,224 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 5.6¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 5.7¢ | $126 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 5.6¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 5.7¢ | $126 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 5.6¢ | $69 |