Trump out as President before 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $312.2K·Volume $14.3M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.8pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$25.5K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$886
72h -$8,553
Smart money entered97¢98¢at 00:14Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$312.2K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $25.5K riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$886, -$8,553 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:14
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | Rafael88Top | Buy | No | 98¢ | $300 |
| 7h ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $294 |
| 7h ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $294 |
| 1d ago | Rafael88Top | Buy | No | 98¢ | $1,000 |
| 1d ago | Rafael88Top | Buy | No | 98¢ | $1,000 |
| 1d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $390 |
| 1d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $390 |
| 1d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $194 |
| 1d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $194 |
| 1d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $196 |
| 1d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $392 |
| 1d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $392 |
| 2d ago | classifiedMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $10,239 |
| 2d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $489 |
| 2d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $782 |
| 2d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $878 |
| 2d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $98 |
| 2d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $489 |
| 2d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $586 |
| 3d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $388 |
| 3d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $97 |
| 3d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $291 |
| 4d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $194 |
| 4d ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,205 |
| 4d ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $2,603 |
| 4d ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,007 |
| 4d ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $4,572 |
| 5d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $97 |
| 5d ago | zthunderfuryMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,842 |
| 5d ago | zthunderfuryMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,925 |
| 5d ago | zthunderfuryMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,038 |
| 5d ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $768 |
| 5d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $288 |
| 5d ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $4,725 |
| 6d ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $158 |
| 6d ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $178 |
| 6d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $75 |
| 6d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $68 |
| 6d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $48 |
| 6d ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $140 |
| 6d ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $4,750 |
| 6d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $290 |
| 6d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $194 |
| 6d ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1,454 |
| 6d ago | debasedMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $1,936 |
| 6d ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $289 |
| 1w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $72 |
| 1w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $5 |