TailSlip
Log in

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

ActiveLiquidity $12.1K·Volume $37.9K·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes12%No88%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 11:42computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
89% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
89%price89%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$296 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$296
72h +$296
Smart money entered91¢89¢at 11:42(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy5h agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$12.1K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $296 riding on it.

The price of 89% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 91¢; the price was 89¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $296 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$296, +$296 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 11:42
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agoviniiTopSellNo88¢$7
1h agoviniiTopSellNo88¢$7
5h agoBunCaChamMidBuyNo91¢$304
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes1.7¢$0
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes1.4¢$1
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes1.4¢$0
8w ago0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876MidBuyYes0.5¢$1