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Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $193.8K·Volume $730.2K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes63%No37%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:58computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
38% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
76%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
38%price38%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$10.1K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,629
Smart money entered31¢38¢at 06:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$193.8K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $10.1K riding on it.

The price of 38% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 31¢; the price was 38¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,629 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 06:58
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
7h agosuleng66MidSellYes62¢$1,797
2d ago0xEf07Fe3d62195Acd4EdF278dDfD35991A627BB26-1778701643228MidBuyYes62¢$146
2d ago0xEf07Fe3d62195Acd4EdF278dDfD35991A627BB26-1778701643228MidBuyYes62¢$146
2d agovtcchampion52MidSellYes62¢$1,229
2d agorandomrandomrandomMidBuyNo37¢$570
2d agorandomrandomrandomMidBuyNo37¢$570
2d agovtcchampion52MidBuyYes69¢$32
2d agovtcchampion52MidBuyYes69¢$32
2d agovtcchampion52MidBuyYes68¢$66
2d agovtcchampion52MidBuyYes68¢$65
2d agovtcchampion52MidBuyYes66¢$37
2d agovtcchampion52MidBuyNo31¢$63
2d agovtcchampion52MidBuyYes68¢$172
2d agovtcchampion52MidBuyYes68¢$170
2d agovtcchampion52MidBuyNo28¢$29
2d agovtcchampion52MidBuyNo17¢$23
2d agovtcchampion52MidBuyNo17¢$23
2d agovtcchampion52MidBuyNo15¢$11
2d agovtcchampion52MidBuyNo15¢$11
2d agovtcchampion52MidBuyYes86¢$37
2d agovtcchampion52MidBuyYes82¢$84
2d agovtcchampion52MidBuyYes82¢$83
2d agovtcchampion52MidBuyYes82¢$82
2d agovtcchampion52MidBuyYes80¢$229
2d agovtcchampion52MidBuyYes80¢$227
2d agovtcchampion52MidBuyYes73¢$36
2d agovtcchampion52MidBuyYes73¢$36
2d agovtcchampion52MidBuyYes72¢$72
2d agorandomrandomrandomMidBuyNo27¢$17
2d agorandomrandomrandomMidBuyNo27¢$11
2d agorandomrandomrandomMidBuyNo27¢$8
2d agorandomrandomrandomMidBuyNo27¢$10
2d agorandomrandomrandomMidBuyNo27¢$2
2d agorandomrandomrandomMidBuyNo27¢$254
2d agorandomrandomrandomMidBuyNo27¢$7
2d agorandomrandomrandomMidBuyNo27¢$44
3d agoYouSayUpISayDownMidSellNo20¢$10
3d agoYouSayUpISayDownMidBuyNo19¢$11
3d agoYouSayUpISayDownMidBuyNo30¢$15
3d agondb1MidBuyYes66¢$24
3d agondb1MidBuyYes66¢$185
3d agondb1MidBuyYes66¢$32
4d agoYouSayUpISayDownMidSellNo32¢$32
5d agoYouSayUpISayDownMidBuyNo32¢$33
5d ago0xEf07Fe3d62195Acd4EdF278dDfD35991A627BB26-1778701643228MidBuyYes69¢$68
5d ago0xEf07Fe3d62195Acd4EdF278dDfD35991A627BB26-1778701643228MidBuyYes69¢$5,041
5d ago0xEf07Fe3d62195Acd4EdF278dDfD35991A627BB26-1778701643228MidBuyYes69¢$6,095
5d agoYouSayUpISayDownMidSellNo24¢$23
5d agoYouSayUpISayDownMidSellNo24¢$1
5d agoYouSayUpISayDownMidBuyNo24¢$25