Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?
ActiveLiquidity $20.9K·Volume $30.9K·Ends Sep 14, 2026
Price now:Yes42%No58%
Smart money leans
No
44% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
44%price44%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$349 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$136
Smart money entered70¢44¢at 06:39(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Sep 14, 2026)Liquidity$20.9K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $349 riding on it.
The price of 44% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 70¢; the price was 44¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $349 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$136 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:39